Citigroup

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Frontrunning: December 17





  • New Calls for Gun Limits (WSJ)
  • Funerals begin for Newtown victims as schools confront tragedy (Reuters)
  • Introducing The Stock Trader of the Future (WSJ)
  • Feds knocking on 72 Cummings Ave door any minute now? SAC E-Mails Show Steve Cohen Consulted on Key Dell Trade (BBG)
  • China Signals Tolerance of Slower Growth After Meeting (BBG)
  • Huge mandate for Japan's LDP may be less than meets the eye (Reuters)
  • UBS Said to Face $1.6 Billion Libor Penalty This Week (BBG) - shareholders pay, and nobody goest to jail
  • Treasury Plan Would Cut Rates on Some Mortgages in Bonds (BBG)
  • Egypt opposition calls for protests against basic law (Reuters)
  • Euro Crisis Will Linger, Merkel Tells Summit (WSJ)
  • Economic slowdown throughout euro zone a worry for ECB: Liikanen (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: December 14





  • Obama, Boehner hold "frank" meeting amid "fiscal cliff" frustration (Reuters)
  • Rice Ends Bid Amid Criticism (WSJ)
  • EU summit delays crucial decisions (FT)
  • EU moves to cap bank bonuses at 2 times annual salary (CBC)
  • Europe Wins a Battle, but Not Yet the War (WSJ)
  • Banks Spurn Europe Bond Rush Amid Central Bank Loan Largesse (BBG)
  • German-French Sparring Over Euro Caps 2012 Crisis Fight (BBG)
  • Fed begins stress tests on bank liquidity (FT)
  • Draghi’s rallying cry for new EU powers (FT)
  • EU Seeks Plan to Handle Failing Banks Amid Cost Concerns (BBG)
  • Berlusconi says Monti has strong EU backing (FT)
  • Abe Set for Japan Victory Faces 7-Month Window to Keep Hold (BBG)
  • Japan's Abe would try to keep China ties calm-lawmakers (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: December 13





  • Bernanke Wields New Tools to Reduce Unemployment Rate (BBG)
  • Home Seizures Rise as Banks Adjust to Foreclosure Flow (BBG)
  • EU Backs Release Of Greek Aid (WSJ)
  • Democrats Confident They Have 'Cliff' Leverage (WSJ)
  • Americans Back Obama Tax-Rate Increase Tied to Entitlement Cuts (BBG)
  • Goldman flexes tentacles: Treasury open to Carney radicalism (FT)
  • Launch Fuels Asia Security Concerns (WSJ)
  • BOJ’s Unlimited Loan Program Seen Open to Use by Hedge Funds (BBG) - there are Japanese hedge funds?
  • Abe Set to Face Manufacturing Gloom as Japan Contracts (BBG)
  • US and UN condemn N Korea rocket launch (Guardian)
  • Eurozone agrees common bank supervisor (FT)
  • Berlusconi Adds to Italy Turmoil by Signaling He’d Step Aside (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: December 12





  • Here come the low margin products: Apple Tests Designs for TV (WSJ)
  • Obama and Republicans Trade Offers to Avert Fiscal Crisis (BBG)
  • Carney broaches dumping inflation target (FT)
  • Bernanke Critics Can’t Fight Bonds Showing No Inflation (BBG)
  • Corporate Taxes on Table in Cliff Talks (WSJ)
  • US business chiefs back tax rise (FT)
  • Greece Confident Bond Buyback Needed for Aid Succeeded (BBG)
  • New Faith in Europe's Banks (WSJ)
  • European Bank Sees Little Room for Rate Cuts (WSJ)
  • North Korea Claims Success in Rocket Launch (WSJ)
 
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Frontrunning: December 11





  • Fed Seen Pumping Up Assets to $4 Trillion in New Buying (BBG)
  • China New Loans Trail Forecasts in Sign of Slower Growth (BBG)
  • U.S. "fiscal cliff" talks picking up pace (Reuters)
  • Insider-Trading Probe Widens (WSJ)
  • U.K.'s Top Banker Sees Currency Risk (Hilsenrath)
  • Three Arrested in Libor Probe (WSJ)
  • Nine hurt as gunmen fire at Cairo protesters (Reuters)
  • Egyptian President Gives Army Police Powers Ahead of Vote (BBG)
  • Pax Americana ‘winding down’, says US report (FT)
  • Japan Polls Show LDP, Ally Set for Big Majority (DJ)
  • HSBC to pay record $1.9 billion U.S. fine in money laundering case (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: December 10





  • Central Banks Ponder Going Beyond Inflation Mandates (BBG)
  • Bloomberg Weighs Making Bid for The Financial Times (NYT)
  • Hedge Funds Fall Out of Love with Equities (FT)
  • Obama and Boehner resume US fiscal cliff talks (FT)
  • Italy Front-Runner Vows Steady Hand (WSJ)
  • Spanish Bailout Caution Grows as Business Lobbies Back Rajoy (BBG)
  • Japan sinks into fresh recession (Reuters)
  • China economic recovery intact, but weak exports drag (Reuters)
  • Greece extends buyback offer to reach target (Reuters)  ... but on Friday they promised it was done
  • Basel Liquidity Rule May Be Watered Down Amid Crisis (BBG) ... just before they are scrapped
  • Irish, Greek Workers Seen Suffering Most in 2013 Amid EU Slump (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: December 7





  • Bundesbank cuts growth outlook as crisis bites (Reuters)
  • Strong quake hits off Japan near Fukushima disaster zone (Reuters)
  • Greece to Buy Debt It Already Owns to Reach Target (BBG)
  • Draghi’s Go-to ECB Seen Risking Credibility Through Overload (BBG)
  • Judge urges Apple and Samsung ‘peace’  (FT) ... Alas only the US government has a Magic Money Tree; others need profit
  • Fed Exit Plan May Be Redrawn as Assets Near $3 Trillion (BBG)... make that $5 trillion this time in 2014
  • Level Global, SAC Fund Managers Ruled Co-Conspirators (BBG)
  • Egypt demonstrators reject Mursi call for dialogue (Reuters)
  • Japanese Dealerships in China Retrench in Wake of Dispute (BBG)
  • Apparel factory fire reveals big brands' shadowy supply chainsa (Reuters)
  • Republican Defectors Weigh Deal on Tax-Rate Increase (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: December 6





  • MSM discovers window dressing: Fund Managers Lift Results With Timely Trading Sprees (WSJ)
  • White House Unyielding on Debt Limit (WSJ)
  • Obama, Boehner talk; Geithner prepared to go off "cliff" (Reuters)
  • Republicans urged to resist tax rises (FT)
  • China looms large over Japanese poll (FT)
  • As predicted here two months ago, Greek Bond Buyback Leads S&P to Cut to Selective Default (BBG)
  • Japan opposition LDP set to win solid election majority – polls (BBG), but...
  • Japan Opposition LDP’s Main Ally Cautions Abe on BOJ Pressure (BBG)
  • U.S. and Europe Tackle Russia Trade (WSJ)
  • King Seen Maintaining QE as Osborne Extends Fiscal Squeeze (BBG)
  • Syria pound fall suggests currency crisis (FT)
  • Irish budget seeks extra €3.5bn (FT)
  • U.K. Extends Cuts Due to Poor Outlook (WSJ)
  • ECB Seen Refraining From Rate Cuts as Yields Sink on Bond Plan (BBG)
 
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Sentiment Shaken By Concerns Of Political Circus Returning To Italy





While trading during US hours is all about the Cliff On/Cliff Off debate, the rest of the world is simple: the overnight session begins (and largely ends) with whether or not China has done another reverse repo (if yes, then PBOC will not lower rates, and inject unsterilized billions into the market) and whether the Shanghai Composite is up or down. Last night, after jumping by 3% the session before, it was down 0.13% to 2029. Was this it for the great Chinese "bottom?" Japan may or may not figure in the equations, although with the 10 Year future just hitting a record overnight, it is amusing to see how the bond complex is indicating record deflation just in time for the market to anticipate a surge in inflation. Ah, the joys of frontrunning central planning's monetization of government bonds. And then we move on to Europe, which is a whole new level of basket case-ness...

 
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Citi Tells Clients To Avoid Steve Cohen





If the beginning of the end started two years ago as we predicted, is this end of the end?

  • CITIGROUP PRIVATE BANK SAID TO PUT SAC CAPITAL ON `WATCH' LIST
  • CITIGROUP SAID TO ADVISE CLIENTS AGAINST ADDING MONEY TO SAC
  • CITIGROUP PRIVATE BANK ALLOCATES CLIENT MONEY TO HEDGE FUNDS

Next up: all other private wealth groups halt capital allocations to SAC? Redemptions of all non-employee funds and liquidations? FBI raids, but only after orderly winddowns? It sure gets interesting...

And without Stevie Cohen running stops 24/7 in ES and every other stock that is still widely traded, what then? Will GETCO run the entire market?

 
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Citi Firing 11,000





Big news ahead of this Friday's NFP report:

  • CITI TO CUT OVER 11,000 JOBS, TAKE PRETAX CHARGE $1B IN 4Q

"Sandy's fault?" Or maybe the economy is collapsing despite all the propaganda one is spoonfed. Considering the recent termination of over 50,000 by UBS we think we know the answer. And while C stock may jump on the news, the end result is that New York and the US have both just lost 11,000 less key taxpayers most of whom are almost certainly in the $250,000+ bucket. That said we can't wait for the BLS to take this data as somehow beneficial for the unemployment rate.

 
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Frontrunning: December 5





  • LA port workers to return Wednesday (AP)
  • Iran says extracts data from U.S. spy drone (Reuters)
  • Obama to stress need to raise debt limit "without drama" (Reuters)
  • Big Lots Chief Probed by SEC (WSJ)
  • NATO missiles to be sent to Turkey, Syria clashes rage (Reuters)
  • GOP Deficit Plan Irks Conservatives (WSJ)
  • Japan Can End Deflation in Months, Shirakawa Professor Says (BBG) ... almost as good as Bernanke ending inflation in 15 minutes.
  • Osborne Prepares to Breach Fiscal Rules Amid U.K. Growth Slump (BBG)
  • Global Banking Under Siege as Regulators Guard National Interest (BBG)
  • Freeport plans return to energy (FT)
  • Serbian NATO envoy jumps to death at Brussels airport (Reuters)
  • Tide Turns After a Flood of Chinese Listings (WSJ)
  • Australian economy loses steam (FT)
  • Euro Crisis Feeds Corruption as Greece Slides in Rankings (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: December 4





  • Two weeks ago here: The Latest Greek "Bailout" In A Nutshell: AAA-Rated Euro Countries To Fund Massive Hedge Fund Profits... and now on Bloomberg: "Hedge Funds Win as Europe Will Pay More for Greek Bonds" (BBG)
  • Oracle sends shareholders cash as tax uncertainty looms (Reuters)
  • GOP Makes Counteroffer In Cliff Talks (WSJ)
  • Iran says captures U.S. drone in its airspace (Reuters)
  • IMF drops opposition to capital controls (FT)
  • Vogue Editor Wintour Said to Be Possible Appointee as U.K. Envoy (BBG)
  • Juncker Stepping Down French Finance Minister to Head Euro Group? (Spiegel)
  • Australia cuts rates to three-year low (FT)
  • Europe’s banking union ambitions under strain (Reuters)
  • EU Nations Eye New ECB Bank Supervisor Amid German Doubts (BBG)
  • Frankfurt's Ambitions Get Cut Back (WSJ)
  • House Republicans Propose $2.2 Trillion Fiscal-Cliff Plan (BBG)
 
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