Porsche

Condo Flippers In Miami-Dade Left Twisting In The Wind

Miami-Dade’s spectacular condo flipping mania is in turmoil, with sales plunging, inventory-for-sale soaring, and new supply flooding the market. It’s not like Miami hasn’t been through this before.

Frontrunning: March 21

  • Gorsuch Strives to Present Himself as Above Political Fray (WSJ)
  • Investigation Could Hurt Trump’s Clout in Congress (WSJ)
  • U.S. to Ban Laptops and Tablets in Cabins of Some Mideast Flights (BBG)
  • Tillerson no-show at NATO renews European disquiet about Trump (Reuters)
  • Don’t Blame Your Social Media Feed for the Growing Political Divide (BBG)
  • High-Frequency Traders Fall on Hard Times (WSJ)

Volkswagen To Pay $4.3 Billion To Settle Diesel Scandal, Will Plead Guilty To Criminal Charges

Confirming recent leaks, Volkswagen - whose former head of US regulatory compliance was arrested on Saturday - said it was in "advanced discussions"  with US authorities to resolve charges related to its diesel emissions scandal, and has negotiated a “concrete draft of a settlement” that would see it pay $4.3bn in criminal and civil penalties, and would require the German carmaker to enter a guilty plea to various criminal charges.

Breaking The Correlation Curse

The “Curse of Correlation” may have finally met its match. The President-Elect’s proposed policies break so completely with the last 8 post-Crisis years that investors are re-evaluating everything from the trajectory of long term interest rates to which sectors stand to benefit the most under a Trump presidency.

 

Frontrunning: November 30

  • Oil soars on OPEC hopes, dollar renews its surge (Reuters)
  • Oil Rallies on OPEC Optimism, Spurring Gains in Energy Producers (BBG)
  • Saudis say to take 'big hit' on oil output for OPEC deal, Iran can freeze (Reuters)
  • Leaner and meaner: U.S. shale greater threat to OPEC after oil price war (Reuters)
  • an the U.S. Become an Energy Superpower in 2017? (BBG)
  • RBS Fails Toughest-Ever BOE Stress Test, Boosts Capital Plan (RBS)

US Futures, Global Markets Storm Higher As More Details Emerge About Japan's "Helicopter Money"

The global meltup continues with the S&P set to open at new all time highs, some 20 points higher from yesterday's close, however the driver for the latest rally is not so much the imminent BOE announcement which is expected to cut rates by 25 bps from 0.50%, but a dramatic surge in the USDJPY just after 1am Eastern when Bloomberg revealed more details about Ben Bernanke's masterplan for Japan's helicopter money.

Frontrunning: May 4

  • Donald Trump’s Win Just Latest Tremor Shaking GOP (WSJ)
  • Trump Becomes Presumptive Republican Nominee as Cruz Exits Race (BBG)
  • How 'Stop Trump' failed to halt the Republican front-runner (Reuters)
  • Islamic State seeks news blackout in Mosul as Iraqi army nears (Reuters)
  • U.S. gathers allies on next steps in Islamic State fight (Reuters)

Hookers Embrace 'War On Cash' - "Transactional Sex" Goes Digital

On the corners of Lagos' Sin Street, the purveyors of the oldest profession in the world have embraced the digital age. Amid the escalating 'war on cash', Nigerian hookers have turned to 'cashless sex' with point-of-sale machines...“I have had issues with men complaining that they wanted to have fun, but no cash at hand. But since the introduction of the PoS machine, once you have your MasterCard, you are in for fun. Fun unlimited.”

On Opex Day, It's All About The Dollar: Futures, Oil Levitate As USD Weakness Persists

It may be option expiration day (always leading to abnormal market activity) but it remains all about the weak dollar, which after crashing in the two days after the Fed's surprisingly dovish statement has put both the ECB and the BOJ in the very awkward position that shortly after both banks have drastically eased, the Euro and the Yen are now trading stronger relative to the dollar versus prior. As DB puts it, "the US Dollar has tumbled in a fairly impressive fashion since the FOMC on Wednesday with the Dollar spot index now down the most over a two-day period since 2009" which naturally hurts those countries who have been rushing to debase their own currencies against the USD.

Global Markets Surge After Traders "Reassess" ECB Stimulus

Less than 24 hours after European stocks tumbled on initial disappointment by Draghi's announcement that rates will not be cut further, mood has changed dramatically and the result has been that after "reassessing" the ECB kitchen sink stimulus, risk has soared overnight with both Asian and European stocks surging. As of this moment European bourses are all broadly higher led by banks, with the DAX and FTSE both up over 2.7%, while the Stoxx 600 is higher by 2.3% as of this writing.

Frontrunning: February 15

  • China’s Yuan Makes Largest Gain Since 2005 on PBOC Cue (WSJ)
  • Japan's Nikkei soars over 7%, for its biggest gain since 2008 (BBG)
  • Global shares rise as firmer Chinese yuan eases deflation fears (Reuters)
  • Banks' Surge Takes Europe's Stock Rally Into 2nd Day; HSBC Rises (BBG)
  • Oil extends rally on prospects OPEC could act to counter low prices (Reuters)
  • Europe's Higher-Yielding Bonds Benefit as Global Turmoil Eases (BBG)