• Tim Knight from...
    10/06/2015 - 17:03
    As we head into another earnings season, the bulls better pray to whatever pagan gods they worship that company after company magically defy the downturn that the economy is quite obviously entering.


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Volkswagen: A Decade Of Deception - Full Chronology

The scandal swirling around Germany's largest listed company had its beginnings in an attempt to crack the U.S. market, the missing link in VW's global footprint. But, as Handelsblatt details, what began as expansion ended in deception (piecing together the events that led up to the scandal, based on the facts as they are currently known).

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Frontrunning: September 29

  • Commodities in crisis as Asian shares tumble and shipper files for bankruptcy (Reuters)
  • Global Rout Eases as S&P 500 Futures Advance With Oil, Glencore (BBG)
  • Chinese Stocks Decline Most in a Month in Hong Kong on Economy (BBG)
  • India cuts interest rates by more than expected (BBC)
  • Glencore Rebounds as $50 Billion Plunge Is Seen as Excessive (BBG)
  • How Congress May Have Saved Goldman Sachs From Itself (BBG)
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Of Greater Fools, Bigger Liars, & A Society In Decline

Whether it’s the economy, climate, the planet, warfare, your future obligations, your pensions, the future of your children, nobody in power tells you the truth. Human life is fast losing the value we would like to tell ourselves we assign to it. We don’t, do we? Our technological advances haven’t come with moral advances, quite the contrary, our morals turn out to be a thin layer of mere cheap veneer. What advances we’re making are the last death rattle of a society in decline, and a dying civilization.

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Frontrunning: September 25

  • Global Markets Rebound on Yellen Speech (WSJ)
  • Obama and Putin to meet; Syria and Ukraine vie for attention (Reuters)
  • Obama to host China's President Xi amid simmering tensions (Reuters)
  • Don't Fall for It, Xi! Chinese Take to Web to Scorn U.S.—and China, Too (BBG)
  • Yellen Confirms Fed Still on Track to Raise Rates This Year (BBG)... but is still China dependent?
  • Abe's New Economic Plan Confounds Analysts (BBG)
  • It's All `Perverted' Now as U.S. Swap Spreads Tumble Below Zero (BBG)
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Futures Surge On Renewed "Hopes" Of Fed Rate Hike, Sliding Yen

The market, which clearly ignored the glaring contradictions in Yellen's speech which said that overseas events should not affect the Fed's policy path just a week after the Fed statement admitted it is "monitoring developments abroad", and also ignored Yellen explicit hint that NIRP is coming (only the size is unclear), and focused on the one thing it wanted to hear: a call to buy the all-critical USDJPY carry pair - because more dollar strength apparently is what the revenue and earnings recessioning S&P500 needs - which after trading around 120 in the past few days, had a 100 pip breakout overnight, hitting 121 just around 5am, in the process pushing US equity futures some 25 points higher at last check.

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Rewarding Failure - Volkswagen CEO To Receive $32 Million Pension

Martin Winterkorn, engulfed by a diesel-emissions scandal at Volkswagen AG, amassed a $32 million pension before stepping down Wednesday, and may reap millions more in severance depending on how the supervisory board classifies his exit.

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Volkswagen's CEO Is Out, To Be Replaced By Porsche CEO Mueller: What's Next For The Troubled Carmaker

A series of dramatic moves at the helm of Germany's iconic carmaker leaves many wondering what's next. Here are some thoughts.

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Futures Plunge On Renewed Growth, Central Bank Fears; Volkswagen Shares Crash As Default Risk Surges

While Asian trading overnight started off on the right foot, chasing US momentum higher, things rapidly shifted once Europe opened as attention moved back to global growth fears, global central banks losing credibility, as well as miners and the ongoing Volkswagen fiasco.

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For Luxury Car Markers, The Chinese "Cash Cow Is Dying"

"China, the world’s largest car market by sales, has been the main engine of profitability for the likes of BMW, Daimler’s Mercedes-Benz car division and Audi in recent years, helping paper over structural weakness in Europe. But according to one Chinese dealer representative: “the cash cow is dying”.

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The Nazi Economic Mirage

Hitler’s policies are still viewed to this day as a great example of how unprecedented government intervention fixed a dire economic problem. In short, Hitler laid a golden egg and produced an economic miracle. As early as 1933, even before any miracle could be seen, the New York Times had nothing but praise for his ambitions, according to the following front page headline: “There is at least one official voice in Europe that expresses understanding of the methods and motives of President Roosevelt—the voice of Germany, as represented by Chancellor Adolf Hitler.” Unfortunately for the people living under the Third Reich, this was never allowed to happen. All of these efforts became increasingly subordinated to the logic of war.

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Frontrunning: April 13

  • As reported here first a month ago: The $9 Trillion Short That May Send the Dollar Even Higher (BBG)
  • As an instant target for foes, Clinton may struggle to get message heard (Reuters)
  • Emerging Stocks Rally 11th Day as Aussie Weakens on China (BBG)
  • Puerto Rico, Investors Enlist Ex-IMF Officials (WSJ)
  • Dollar’s Rise Reshuffles Global Economy (BBG)
  • Indonesia eyes regular navy exercises with U.S. in South China Sea (Reuters)
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi Breaches Exposure Limits to Nomura (WSJ)
  • European Bond Buyers Find Negative Doesn’t Necessarily Mean Bad (BBG)
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Frontrunning: April 2

  • Samaras Says He’d Join Alliance to Keep Greece in Euro (BBG)
  • Tensions with Warren camp could loom over Clinton campaign (Reuters)
  • Ackman Report on Herbalife in China Figures in Probe (WSJ)
  • Al Shabaab storms Kenyan university, 14 reported killed (Reuters)
  • Iraq’s Four-Mile Line of Supertankers Fuels Shipping-Rates Surge (BBG)
  • Menendez's fate could sharpen Republicans' edge in Senate (Reuters)
  • IRS Chief Chides Ted Cruz Over 'Abolish the IRS' Mantra (BBG)
  • Yemen Houthi fighters backed by tanks reach central Aden (Reuters)
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