• Gold Standard I...
    07/28/2015 - 04:17
    Greece has no future, so long as it clings to the euro. The dollar won't servce you much better. A drachma will only harm the Greek people. That leaves one other option.

Volkswagen

Tyler Durden's picture

American Automakers High Exposure In China Is Not Good; Here's Why





The Chinese stock market crash has hit the world’s largest auto-market hard. For now, China is a dream turned sour for the Michigan-based Ford and General Motors and Germany’s Volkswagen. The risks are enormous and will become greater with time.

 
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Frontrunning: July 22





  • Stocks sour as Apple results leave bitter aftertaste (Reuters)
  • Awkward Alliance Running Germany Exposed by Greek Crisis (BBG)
  • Apple Faces Old Question of What’s Next After Record Profit (BBG)
  • Lawmakers, White House Explore Tax Revamp for U.S. Firms Overseas (WSJ)
  • Digital Misfits Link JPMorgan Hack to Pump-and-Dump Fraud (BBG)
  • More Debt Traders at Risk as European Banks Report Results (BBG)
  • Iran rejects sanctions extension beyond 10 years (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: July 9





  • Only update software on down days: NYSE, SEC Suspect Software Update Triggered Trading Halt (BBG)
  • Trade halts add to China’s Potemkin market problem (Reuters)
  • Why Beijing’s Efforts Have Failed to Tame China’s Stock Market (WSJ)
  • Irrational Exuberance Triggers Chaos as China Watchdog Sidelined (BBG)
  • China bounce ends five-day losing streak for stocks (Reuters)
  • Fear Grows in Greece as Decisive Hour Nears (WSJ)
  • Once Swarming with Greek Visitors, a Bulgarian Town Reels as Business Languishes (WSJ)
  • Greece Shuts Markets Through July 13 as Officials Debate Bailout (BBG)
  • Germany calls for European defence sector consolidation (Reuters)
 
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For Luxury Car Markers, The Chinese "Cash Cow Is Dying"





"China, the world’s largest car market by sales, has been the main engine of profitability for the likes of BMW, Daimler’s Mercedes-Benz car division and Audi in recent years, helping paper over structural weakness in Europe. But according to one Chinese dealer representative: “the cash cow is dying”.

 
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The Nazi Economic Mirage





Hitler’s policies are still viewed to this day as a great example of how unprecedented government intervention fixed a dire economic problem. In short, Hitler laid a golden egg and produced an economic miracle. As early as 1933, even before any miracle could be seen, the New York Times had nothing but praise for his ambitions, according to the following front page headline: “There is at least one official voice in Europe that expresses understanding of the methods and motives of President Roosevelt—the voice of Germany, as represented by Chancellor Adolf Hitler.” Unfortunately for the people living under the Third Reich, this was never allowed to happen. All of these efforts became increasingly subordinated to the logic of war.

 
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Futures Flat On FOMC, GDP Day; Bunds Battered After Euro Loans Post First Increase In Three Years





Today we get a two-for-one algo kneejerk special, first with the Q1 GDP release due out at 8:30 am which will confirm that for the second year in a row the US economy barely grew (or maybe contracted depending on the Obamacare contribution) in the first quarter, followed by the last pre-June FOMC statement, in which we will find out whether Janet Yellen and her entourage of central planning academics will blame the recent weakness on the weather and West Coast port strikes and proceed with their plan of hiking rates in June (or September, though unclear which year), just so they can push the economy into a full blown recession and launch QE4.

 
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Frontrunning: April 27





  • Nepal earthquake toll crosses 3700 (Reuters)
  • Greeks Add Pressure on Tsipras to Compromise as Talks Resume (BBG)
  • With No Deal on Greek Bailout Aid in Sight, Some in Europe Suggest ‘Plan B’ (WSJ)
  • BOJ Shouldn’t Ease Further; Yen Fell Enough: Business Lobby Head (BBG)
  • Clinton Foundation admits making mistakes on taxes (Reuters)
  • Here’s the Old Nemesis Starting to Spook Bond Traders Again (BBG)
  • Deutsche Bank to Trim Investment Banking (WSJ)
  • China’s Stocks Rise to Seven-Year High on SOE Merger Speculation (BBG)
 
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Equity Futures At Session Highs Following Chinese QE Hints; Europe Lags On Greek Jitters





It has been a story of two markets so far, with China's Shanghai Composite up another 3% in today's continuation of the most ridiculous, banana-stand driven move of the New Normal (and there have been many ridiculous moves in the past 6 years) on the previously reported hints that the PBOC is gearing up to start its own QE, while Europe and the Eurostoxx are lagging, if only for the time being until Citadel and Virtu engage in today's preapproved risk-on momentum ignition, on Greek jitters, the same jitters that last week were "fixed"and sent Greek stocks and bonds soaring. Needless to say, neither Greek bonds nor stocks aren't soaring following what has been the worst week for Greece in months.

 
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For Nazi Industrialists And Hitler's Banker "All Was Forgiven"





Germany had lost the war, the Nazi industrialists agreed, but the struggle would continue along new lines. The Fourth Reich would be a financial, rather than a military imperium. The industrialists were to plan for a “postwar commercial campaign.” They should make “contacts and alliances” with foreign firms but ensure this was done without “attracting any suspicion.”... The State Department’s efforts on Schacht’s behalf worked. He was initially found guilty but was then acquitted, to the fury of the Soviet judge.

 
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China To The Rescue: Global Equity Market Rebound After Latest Chinese Easing





It is only fitting that the next business day following a headline that "Global Futures Slide China Tumbles On Short Selling Boost" we would see China, in an apparent panic, not only cut its RRR by 100 bps to 18.5% - far more than expected and the most since 2008 - but, more importantly, hinted that the Friday regulatory decision to encourage short sales and tighter margin rules on "umbrella trusts" was in no way meant to pop that the Chinese stock bubble, ridiculous as it may be. End result: after Chinese futures crashed by up to 6% on Friday after the Shanghai close, overnight the SHCOMP was down just 1.64%, erasing the bulk of the futures loss. More importantly, US equity futures have seen a strong bid this morning in yet another attempt to defend not only the Apple Sachs Industrial Average from going red on the year but the all important 100 DMA technical levels.

 
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Frontrunning: April 13





  • As reported here first a month ago: The $9 Trillion Short That May Send the Dollar Even Higher (BBG)
  • As an instant target for foes, Clinton may struggle to get message heard (Reuters)
  • Emerging Stocks Rally 11th Day as Aussie Weakens on China (BBG)
  • Puerto Rico, Investors Enlist Ex-IMF Officials (WSJ)
  • Dollar’s Rise Reshuffles Global Economy (BBG)
  • Indonesia eyes regular navy exercises with U.S. in South China Sea (Reuters)
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi Breaches Exposure Limits to Nomura (WSJ)
  • European Bond Buyers Find Negative Doesn’t Necessarily Mean Bad (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: March 16





  • Germans Tired of Greek Demands Want Country to Exit Euro (BBG)
  • Weak euro powers European stocks to new highs (Reuters)
  • Siemens Cheers Euro Slump as Emerson Eases Dollar’s Sting (BBG)
  • A Police Gadget Tracks Phones? Shhh! It’s Secret (NYT)
  • If Economists Were Right, You Would Have a Raise by Now (BBG)
  • iWatch: who’s going to pay $17K for a device that will be obsolete in two years? (Barrons)
  • Ferguson Suspect Said to Claim He Wasn’t Firing at Police (BBG)
  • Why Bankers Are Leaving Finance for No-Salary Tech Jobs (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: February 23





  • Tsipras Tamed as Economists Declare Greece Loses Austerity Fight (BBG)
  • Greece readies reform plans to first sign of leftist unrest (Reuters)
  • Yellen Faces Congress Amid Direst Threat to Fed Since Dodd-Frank (BBG)
  • The war must go on: Kiev says cannot withdraw heavy weapons as attacks persist (Reuters)
  • Ukraine fears spread of war after blast in eastern city (Reuters)
  • Denmark Dismisses Report It Could Consider Capital Controls (BBG)
  • Deadline Nears on Homeland Security Funding Impasse (WSJ)
  • Gross Fund Hurt by Oil’s Plunge Amid Bets on Energy Bonds (BBG)
 
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The Greek Austerity Myth





Since the anti-austerity Syriza party's victory in Greece's recent general election, the “Greek problem" is again preoccupying markets and policymakers throughout Europe. Some fear a return to the uncertainty of 2012, when many thought that a Greek default and exit from the eurozone were imminent.

 
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