Frontrunning: October 18

  • Commodity stocks lift global shares, inflation in focus (Reuters)
  • FBI Papers Show State Department Fought Clinton Email Classification (WSJ)
  • Russia Declares Pause in Aleppo Bombing so Rebels, Civilians Can Flee (NBC)
  • Syria rebels reject Aleppo withdrawal after Russian statement (Reuters)
  • UK lawmakers will 'very likely' have to ratify final Brexit deal: government lawyer (Reuters)

German Politicians Accuse US Of "Economic War" Against Deutsche Bank

The German parliament’s economics committee chairman Peter Ramsauer, in an interview with Welt am Sonntag, said the move against Deutsche "has the characteristics of an economic war", adding that the US had a "long tradition" of using every available opportunity to wage what amounted to trade war "if it benefits their own economy", and the "extortionate damages claims" being made in the case of Deutsche Bank were an example of that.

DOJ Is Assessing Size Of Criminal Penalty It Can Levy On Volkswagen "Without Putting Company Out Of Business"

When two weeks ago the DOJ announced a whopping $14BN settlement "ask" from Deutsche Bank, some wondered if there was an element of punitive retaliation aimed at Europe's "assault" on Apple's taxes. That question will surely grow louder when overnight Bloomberg reported that the DOJ is now assessing "how big a criminal fine it can extract from Volkswagen AG over emissions-cheating without putting the German carmaker out of business."

"Hillary Rally" Fizzles As DB Hits New Record Low; Volkswagen Slammed; Oil Slides On Iran Statement

A rally in global risk that started during last night's first presidential debate on the market's take that Hillary came out on top fizzled, following news that the DOJ is assessing how big a criminal fine it can extract from Volkswagen (-3.8%) over emissions-cheating "without putting the German carmaker out of business", while Iran's oil minister Zanganeh told reporters Iran is ununwilling to freeze output at current levels. Deutsche Bank dropped to a new all time low while its default risk hit fresh record highs.

Frontrunning: September 23

  • Futures slip after three-day rally as oil dips (Reuters)
  • Charlotte protests diminish early on Friday as family views video (Reuters)
  • Undecided Voters Are Proving a Tough Sell for Clinton and Trump (BBG)
  • Facebook Overestimated Key Video Metric For Two Years (WSJ)
  • Trump received $1.6 million from Secret Service (Politico)

Frontrunning: September 20

  • How Police Tracked Down Bombing Suspect Suspect Ahmad Khan Rahami (WSJ)
  • Dollar Falls With Treasuries Amid Fed, BOJ Countdown; Oil Rises (BBG)
  • Fed again poised to cut longer-run interest rate forecast (Reuters)
  • Pipeline Break Lights a Fire Under Gasoline Prices Across Southeast (WSJ)
  • U.S. investigators seek motive for NY, NJ weekend attacks (Reuters)
  • Carrie Tolstedt: In the Eye of the Wells Fargo Storm (WSJ)

Why Socialism Is Here To Stay

“[T]he government has to take resources from someone before it can dole them out to others. This act of taking destroys an economy. The more you take from the productive members of society, the less productive they become. That’s the primary lesson of the history of socialism.”

Developing Countries Emulate The US, Turn Citizens Into Debt Slaves

One of the big advantages of being a Latin American or Asian country used to be - somewhat counter-intuitively - the lack of credit available to most citizens. The banking system in, say, Brazil or Thailand simply wasn’t “advanced” enough to offer credit card, auto, or mortgage loans on a scale sufficient to turn the locals into US-style debt slaves. But that, alas, is changing as those countries adopt their rich cousins’ worst habits.

Frontrunning: September 7

  • Trump and Clinton look to pass U.S. commander-in-chief test (Reuters)
  • Undecided GOP-Leaning Voters Provide an Opening for Donald Trump (WSJ)
  • Stage set for iPhone 7, but many await 8 (Reuters)
  • Dollar Slides Versus Yen as Prospect of September Fed Hike Dims (BBG)
  • World stocks hit one-year highs as Fed hike prospects fade (Reuters)
  • Merkel strikes back, defends migrant policy after election rout (Reuters)

Frontrunning: September 6

  • G20 a success for China, but hard issues kicked down the road (Reuters)
  • Apple’s New iPhones Arrive, as Glow Fades (WSJ)
  • Philippines scrambles to soothe tensions after insult to Obama (Reuters)
  • CNN: Nine weeks out, a near even race (CNN)
  • More Records Releases Loom for Hillary Clinton (WSJ)

US Faces Major Setback As Europeans Revolt Against TTIP

At the turn of the century few argued when the 20th century was dubbed the "American Century." Over the past 16 years, America's fortunes have changed with dizzying speed. The safer bet is that the 21st century will not be America’s. The TTIP’s rejection by European leaders and grass roots’ protests against the agreement testify to the fact.

Frontrunning: August 26

  • Global equities set 2-week low before Yellen speech, dollar dips (BBG)
  • Lochte signs new endorsement deal, legal woes persist in Brazil (Reuters)
  • Blackstone Unleashes Cash Hoard in Texas Shale Oil Land Grab (BBG)
  • China to prosecute former statistics bureau chief for corruption (Reuters)
  • Turkey fires on U.S.-backed Kurdish militia in Syria offensive (Reuters)

Frontrunning: August 23

  • Dollar Drops on Rate Outlook as European Stocks Rise, Oil Falls (BBG)
  • Bank of Japan's rush into stocks raises fears of market distortions (Reuters)
  • With Moderate Drinking Under Fire, Alcohol Companies Go on Offensive (WSJ)
  • Merkel Says Brexit Is U.K.’s Loss While Pledging EU Results (BBG)
  • Turkey cuts rates for sixth straight month amid ratings worries (Reuters)

Stocks Creep Higher As Dollar Resumes Falling, Oil Slides For Second Day

While the summer doldrums continue, with little market-moving newsflow overnight and zombified volumes, US futures crept higher and European shares rose after EU PMIs printed modestly better than expected, while a return to dollar weakness pushed emerging markets higher, even if it failed to boost oil which as we noted last night was downgraded by Goldman on various fundamental reasons.