Gilts

Global Stocks Rebound, US Futures Jump On Expectation Of "Coordinated Intervention By Central Banks"

After a historic two-day selloff, which as shown yesterday slammed European banks by the most on record the wildly oversold conditions, coupled with hopes for yet another global, coordinated central bank intervention, coupled with modest hope that David Cameron's trip to Brussels today may resolve some of the Article 50 gridlock, have been sufficient to prompt a modest buying scramble among European stocks in early trading, with the pound and commodities all gaining for the first time since the shock Brexit vote.

Developed Market Bond Yields Crash To Record Lows

In the last year, developed market bond yields have been cut in half with the last 2 days seeing a safe-haven flight that crashed yields to a new record low. With UK Gilts 10Y under 1% for the first time, Bunds crashing to record lows, Treasuries back below 1.50%, and JGBs smashed -22bps. With peripheral bond risk spiking and default risk surging, amid ratings downgrades, as Bloomberg's Mark Cudmore notes, "gilts may prove worthy of their name, offering a superficial coating of reward that masks significant threat."

Pound Plummets To New Lows; 10Y Gilts Slide Under 1%; British Banks Halted After Crashing

Things are going from bad to worse for the UK. "We’ve seen so many developments around Brexit over the weekend since the FTSE closed and things are now looking even more concerning," Angus Nicholson of IG Ltd., said. "It’s hard to have any idea about where fair value for the pound should be when you look at the fact that Scotland and Northern Ireland could no longer be part of the U.K. within the next year or two."

Brexit: All The Latest News, What Happens Next And How To Trade It

Sterling drops, banking stocks tumble and peripheral EGB and credit spreads widen after the U.K.’s vote to leave the EU; verbal and direct intervention by central banks help currencies off earlier lows. U.K. PM David Cameron has resigned, announcing there needs to be a new prime minister in place by October.

UBS' Trading Roadmap For The "Day After" Brexit

Moments ago we presented a contrarian thesis from Greg Peters of how markets would react to a Leave vote (and by impliocation, Remain). Next, we go back to a more conventional model of how assets would react, and present "a roadmap for the 'Day After'" from UBS, which seeks to answer the question "at what level would we buy or sell each key asset class in either a Remain or a Leave scenario?" It then show ranges of the potential near-term market reactions.

Voting Begin: Stocks Surge, Sterling Hits 2016 Highs, Futures Flirt With 2100

On the day voting for the UK referendum finally began, what started off as a trading session with a modest upward bias, promptly turned into a buying orgy in painfully illiquid markets shortly after Europe opened as an influx of buy orders pushed European stocks 2% higher, propelled by cable which was above 1.49 for the first time since December and USDJPY climbing over 1.05 in sympathy, following the release of the final Ipsos Mori poll which showed Remain at 52% to 48% for leave.

How To Trade Brexit

on "Brexit": long gold, short peripheral debt versus bunds, long EUR vol vs GBP, short volatility/long risk once sterling troughs.
on "Bremain": long DM equities for the bearish positioning unwind and short volatility immediately; short Spanish & Italian bonds vs. gilts.

How Low Can Bond Yields Go? Lower

How low can bond yields go? Every day seems to provide fresh evidence that we really don’t know. But whatever your answer, between the gravitational pull of central bank debt purchases and a slowing global economy, the reality is: probably lower.

Soaring Brexit Fears Spark Global Flight To Safety, Send 10 Year Bunds Tumbling Below 0%

The UK EU referendum is suddenly totally dominant in financial markets. The increased focus comes as the leave campaign has gathered steam as 4 polls yesterday afternoon/evening put the 'leave' campaign ahead. As a result of the continued global scramble for safety, German 10Y bunds finally dropped below 0% for the first time ever, while global risk assets are red around the globe.

Global Stocks Plunge; US Futures, Oil Slide As Brexit Fears "Jolt Markets"

Right now it is all about the immediate fate of the UK, and as Bloomberg explains the "jolted markets" and overnight plunge in global risk assets, "growing anxiety over the prospect of the U.K. exiting the European Union dominated financial markets, sending global stocks down for a third day and the British pound to an eight-week low while boosting demand for havens such as the yen and gold."