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One Hedge Fund CIO Is Shocked To Learn The Fed's Model Ignores "The Only Two Things That Matter"

“Wait, that’s not even part of your model?” asked the private sector, imagining itself in the presence of the Fed. “You seriously don’t even consider the crushing weight of the pension avalanche that is bearing down on us? You don’t even take into consideration what’s happening in China?” Silence. “Do you even understand today’s world? Pensions and China are the only two things that matter!" 

Congress’ Radical Plan To End Illegal Money

"Perhaps they may unwittingly do us all a favor and fail to raise the debt ceiling. Could the dopes in Congress hatch a more radical plan to put an end to the government’s illegal money? Only by accident..."

Stockman Warns Of The Imperial City's Fiscal Waterloo

"The stand by Senators Lee and Moran was much bigger than putting the latest iteration of McConnell-Care out of its misery. The move rang the bell loud and clear that the Imperial City has become fiscally ungovernable. That means there is a chamber of horrors coming. With it, an endless political and fiscal crisis that will dominate Washington for years to come. Its cause is deep and structural."

"Probably Nothing..."

Yesterday we warned of the growing anxiety in short-term Treasury-Bill markets over the looming debt-ceiling. Today, the tension has worsened with the 10/19 bill now up a shocking 13bps in 3 days leaving the curve extremely inverted around the potential debt-ceiling deadline.

BIll Gross: Beware The "Unknown Consequences Lurking In The Shadows"

"the adherence of Yellen, Bernanke, Draghi, and Kuroda, among others, to standard historical models such as the Taylor Rule and the Phillips curve has distorted capitalism as we once knew it, with unknown consequences lurking in the shadows of future years."

High Yield IED

The high yield bond market has come to resemble an IED in the financial markets for investors with risks that are both disguised and highly destructive. Awareness of these risks is the first step toward defusing them.

Gradually... And Then Suddenly

What do socialism and modern monetary policy have in common? Magical thinking. For both, it’s true on the giddy years up, and it’s true on the sad years down.

T-Bill Tantrum: Yields Spike As Debt-Ceiling Anxiety Begins To Show

US default risk has flatllined for weeks, market risk has leaked to record lows, and Treasury Bills have 'behaved'... until now. The last two days have seen a sudden aggressive spike in the yields of T-Bills around mid-October, inverting the yirld curve as debt-ceiling anxiety starts to build quietly away from NFLX and AMZN shares.