• BullionStar
    05/30/2016 - 21:24
    The US Gold Market is best known as the home of gold futures trading on the COMEX in New York. The COMEX has a literal monopoly on gold futures trading volumes worldwide, but very little physical...

Backwardation

Gold Money's picture

Is Gold a Commodity?





Here’s a question that might have you pondering: Is gold a commodity?

More importantly, are we doing a disservice to the gold industry by calling gold a commodity? These may sound like silly questions, but hear me out

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Is Glencore Manipulating The Price Of Oil: Swiss Trader Holds Over 30% Of June Brent Supply





One particular energy trader - a name well-known to Zero Hedge readers - Glencore, has built up a massive inventory stake in the Brent market where it now holds an unprecedented 30% position in Brent, which it is holding for offshore storage in its tankers in hopes of pushing the price of Brent, and thus the entire energy complex higher, by limiting supply.

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Paper Gold Is Rising, Report 1 May, 2016





The price of gold shot up this week, and silver moved proportionally. Headlines are screaming for gold to hit $10,000 or $50,000. Does this alleged new bull market have legs?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Will Algos Push Oil Back To $60? Morgan Stanley Begs You To "Forgive The Macros, They Know Not What They Do"





“Close your eyes and buy” seems to be the mantra for now. While fundamentals don’t justify a cyclical recovery in oil yet, the market continues to move higher. The primary driving force has been macro funds, index money and CTAs. Technicals and momentum have only added to it, and there is a sense from some of investors that they need to buy for fear of missing out. Similar to 2015, we see a confirmation bias where any bullish data point is embraced outages, weekly US production, etc) and bearish data points are dismissed or spun as a buying opportunity.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Even Goldman Says OPEC Doha Meeting Will Be A Dud: "Don't Expect A Bullish Surprise"





"We do not expect the meeting to deliver a bullish surprise as we believe production cuts make little sense given it has taken 18 months for the rebalancing to finally start. In addition, any resolute agreement that would support prices from current levels would prove self-defeating, in our view, as we believe that sustained low prices are required for the nascent non-OPEC supply adjustments to deliver a deficit in 2H16. Finally, a production freeze at recent production levels would not accelerate the rebalancing of the oil market as OPEC (ex. Iran) and Russia production levels have this year remained close to our 2016 average annual forecast of 40.5 mb/d." - Goldman

 
Tyler Durden's picture

JPMorgan Corners LME Aluminum Market, Leading To Strange "Price Anomalies"





Large amounts of aluminum traded on the London Metal Exchange over the past couple of years "have at times been in the hands of a dominant position holder." Citing sources at commodity trading houses, warehouses, producers, brokers and banks "one such position holder is U.S. bank JPMorgan."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"It's The Q2 2015 Rally All Over Again" - Morgan Stanley Warns Big Oil Drop Imminent Due To "Rampant Hedging"





"The current setup is similar to 2Q15. Back in 2015, a rally in prices driven primarily by a USD pullback led to producer hedging and capped deferred prices at $65/bbl. This resulted in a flatter curve, but it also limited the rally in the front to $60 given the state of US inventories. The current rally mirrors this period in 2015 in many ways, only that producers are willing to hedge at much lower levels. As the USD and producer hedging reasserted themselves, that rally proved to be short lived."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Curious Case Of The 550 Million Missing Barrels Of Crude Oil





Crude oil production exceeded consumption by an average of 0.9 million barrels per day in 2014 and 2.0 million bpd in 2015. This means that as of this moment, about 550 million "missing barrels" are unaccounted for "apparently produced but not consumed and not visible in the inventory statistics."

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Gold Costs 80oz of Silver, Report 21 Feb, 2016





The big news is that the gold-silver ratio closed at 80, a new post-2008 record. Why?

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Monetary Metals Brief 2016





We have made a contrarian call for a falling silver price and a rising gold to silver ratio for years. This ratio has risen a lot during this time. Are we ready to change our call yet?

 
EconMatters's picture

Oil Markets Futures Curve Have Little Predictive Value of Future Price





Sort of like all those do it yourself Gold Mining shows hitting the reality television scene pretty much nailing the near term top in the gold market.

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Murphy’s Law of Gold Analysis, Report 3 Jan





This week, the gold-silver ratio promptly moved up +2.3%. As readers will recall, we have been calling for a ratio value over 80 for a while.

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Supply and Demand Report 27 Dec, 2015





For a long time, we called for a big drop in the silver price. It stubbornly did not, or when it did drop it soon recovered. In the end, we were right and the silver bulls were wrong.

 
Monetary Metals's picture

Gold Price Drop of 6 Nov: Drilling Down





The cobasis briefly peaked around 11% (from around 0.5% previously).

 
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