Barclays

BlackRock's Robo-Quants Are On Pace To Post Record Losses

BlackRock’s quant hedge-fund strategies were on track for losses in 2016, according to a monthly client update sent out in late December, and according to Bloomberg, of the five included, four were set for their worst returns on record.

Three "Cartel" FX Traders Criminally Charged With Currency Rigging

Moments ago, U.S. prosecutors charged three traders who made up the infamous "Cartel" currency rigging chat room, and who were at the heart of a criminal investigation that has ensnared the world’s biggest banks over the rigging of currency rates.

Goldman Slams Reports Of A "Great Rotation" From Bonds To Stocks As "Fake News"

In the realm of investing, an example of “fake news” is the claim by some market participants that a “great rotation” will take place from bonds to stocks. Despite a sharp rise in interest rates during the past six months and a drop in the market value of debt holdings, we expect minimal asset rotation away from debt and into equities during 2017.

Frontrunning: January 6

  • December Jobs Data to Wrap Up Obama’s Economic Legacy (WSJ)
  • FBI Says Democrats Refused Access to Hacked E-Mail Servers (BBG)
  • As Trump attacks, Nissan at bigger risk than Toyota (Reuters)
  • Democratic leader Schumer emerges as Trump's newest punching bag (Reuters)
  • PBoC raises renminbi’s daily fix by most since 2005 (FT)
  • China central bank urges rational investment in bitcoin (Reuters)

These Are Barclays' 13 Commodity "Black Swan Threats" For 2017

Beware the commodity "black swans" in 2017, at least according to Barclays. The British bank warns that raw materials markets from oil to metals face the a high likelihood of disruptions, which among, other include a default by Venezuela, riots in Chile, a trade war with China, more terrorism in Turkey, and even a Fukushima-type disaster in China.

Frontrunning: January 5

  • Dollar Posts Biggest Drop Since Trump's Win (BBG)
  • World stocks hit 1-1/2 year high after strong China data (Reuters)
  • Apple pulls New York Times apps in China after government request (Reuters)
  • Macy’s Axes Jobs and Stores, Echoes Kohl’s on Weak Holiday (WSJ)
  • India’s Cash Woes Are Just Beginning (BBG)

Donald Trump Has An Enormous And Very Dangerous Wall Street Blind Spot

A very large percentage of the American public (including myself), remain irate at the complete lack of any justice served with regard to finance criminals in the aftermath of the economic collapse of 2008/09. When it comes to greedy, unethical behavior in the wake of that tragic period, Steve Mnuchin is in a class of his own. To appoint such a toxic financial oligarch to Treasury Secretary is a serious slap in the face to all American citizens.

U.S. Prepares To Sell Off Its Oil Reserves

The U.S. is beginning to wind down one of the core energy security policies of the past half century as the boom in domestic drilling eases concerns about supply.

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Frontrunning: December 23

  • Berlin market attack suspect killed in Italy (Reuters)
  • Tunisian Suspect Had a History of Criminal Activity, Extremism (WSJ)
  • Hijacked Libyan plane lands in Malta with 118 on board (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse Settle U.S. Probes as Barclays Sued (BBG)
  • Italy Sets Up Fund to Help Troubled Banks (WSJ)

Futures Unchanged In Thin Pre-Holiday Tape; Italian Bank Bailout Lifts European Shares

European stocks halted two days of declines, with the Stoxx 600 fractionally in the green and Italy’s bonds climbing after Monte Paschi requested a bailout and Italy pledged to provide support for its other ailing lenders. S&P futures were little changed among extremely thin volumes while Chinese stocks dropped amid concerns on higher borrowing costs.