Barclays

Frontrunning: June 19

  • UK PM May says attack on Muslims near mosque is 'sickening' (Reuters)
  • Macron Under Pressure to Deliver as French Turnout Plummets (BBG)
  • Market Volatility Has Vanished Around the World (WSJ)
  • Real victory will be in 5 years, says Macron camp after election win (Reuters)
  • Brexit Talks Kick Off in Brussels as May Urged to Soften Stance (BBG)

Frontrunning: June 15

  • Markets Are Sliding Again (BBG)
  • Trump’s Legal Peril Deepens as Mueller Expands Scope of Probe (BBG)
  • Trump blasts report on possible obstruction of justice probe (Reuters)
  • Putin says ex-FBI head Comey gave no proof Russia meddled in U.S. election (Reuters)
  • The Fed Is Flying Blind (BBG)

The ECB Has Almost Run Out Of German Bonds To Buy

Last month the average maturity of all German bond purchases by the ECB bond plunged below 4 for the first time ever, or just 3.98 years, the lowest on record.  This confirms that the ECB is actively reducing the amount of German Bunds it is buying and suggests that the ECB has almost run out of eligible German bonds to buy.

Global Stocks Rise As Oil Rebounds; Yuan Soars

S&P futures are little changed this morning, while Asian shares rise and European stocks (+0.5%) are poised to snap a five-day losing streak amid a broad-based rally. The pound declined as better-than-expected manufacturing data failed to offset political risk before the impending election, while crude oil gained.

Watch Live: Draghi Speaks At Euro Parliament, Makes Case For More Easing

In today's only major risk event, at 3pm CET (9am ET) Mario Draghi will hold his quarterly hearing before the European Parliament, and his final scheduled appearance before next week’s monetary-policy decision, in which the ECB president will be pressed about his plans for stimulus withdrawal.

Frontrunning: May 24

  • Trump Meets With Pope Francis After Policy Clashes (WSJ)
  • Fed Minutes to Offer Clues on Debate Over Path of Rate Increases (WSJ)
  • Manchester bomber had 'proven' links to Islamic State (Reuters)
  • U.K. Chides U.S. for Leaking Manchester Bombing Probe Details (BBG)
  • China Handed First Moody's Downgrade Since 1989 on Debt Risk (BBG)