Blackrock

Asia Jumps, Europe Stutters As Political Rumblings Return; Oil Nears $51

Global stocks were mixed to start the week, with Asian stocks higher, European stocks initially advancing then fading gains, while S&P futures are little changed after the biggest weekly drop since April (which for those keeping record was -0.4%). European shares, the euro and the pound all stumbled on Monday as rumblings in Spain, Britain and Brussels reminded investors that the region still has plenty of political uncertainty left in the tank.

What's The Worst That Could Happen?

The last time the stock/bond ratio was this elevated, it didn’t work out well for investors as volatility spiked, equity prices plunged and the “sprint for safety” send bond prices surging.

World Money: Five Hidden Signals From The IMF

"By the time the final loss of confidence arrives, much of the damage will already have been done. The analytic key is to look for those minor events pointing in the direction of lost confidence in the dollar... With that information investors can take defensive measures before it’s too late."

A Delighted Wall Street Reacts To The French Election

With European stocks on fire, and US futures moving fast to recoup recent all time highs, it is no surprise that Wall Street is feeling particularly bullish this morning. Below is a sample of slleside analyst reaction to Sunday's outcome.

Market Absurdity Squared: There Is Now An ETF ETF

A landmark event took place yesterday, one which, at least according to Bank of America, may signal that we have hit a top. After $2.9 trillion of inflows to passive funds, and $1.3 trillion redemptions from active funds past 10 years, an ETF ETF has launched.

Frontrunning: April 6

  • Senate Set to Vote to Eliminate Supreme Court Filibuster (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Xi Summit Tests Promises on Trade, North Korea  (BBG)
  • Is North Korea putting a nuclear-tipped bargaining chip on the table? (Reuters)
  • Why Xi Jinping Must Tread Carefully When He Meets Trump  (BBG)
  • China Market Access in Spotlight as Meeting Nears  (BBG)
  • Trump Rethinks Foreign Policy After Syria, North Korea Crises (WSJ)

Frontrunning: April 4

  • Europe stocks rise but bond yield falls show investor caution (Reuters)
  • Danger of Sell-Off in U.S. Stocks Grows as Auto Sales Disappoint (BBG)
  • Battle Over Gorsuch Confirmation Is Set to Hit Senate Floor (WSJ)
  • U.S. business seeks action, not trade war, in Xi-Trump summit (Reuters)
  • Uncovering the Secret History of Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (BBG)

Frontrunning: March 29

  • British PM May fires starting gun on Brexit (Reuters); Britain Starts ‘Historic’ Brexit Process (BBG)
  • Firms stack up Brexit warnings as May triggers divorce talks (Reuters)
  • Huge range of sterling forecasts clouds horizon for Brexit talks (Reuters)
  • Merger of Deutsche Börse and LSE Blocked by EU Regulator (WSJ)
  • After crippling cost overruns, Toshiba's Westinghouse files for bankruptcy (Reuters)

Biggest US Equity Outflows Since Brexit; US Banks Hit The Hardest

The latest evidence that rumors of Trumpflation trade's death are not greatly exagerated came overnight from Bank of America which reported that based equity funds saw net outflows of $8.9 billion, the largest in 38 weeks. The most impacted sector was, not surprisingly, banks - the biggest beneficiary of the post-Trump election victory rally, which suffered the biggest outflows in over a year.