Blackrock

For BlackRock, This Is The Red Flag Among Record Low Volatility

“Hiding political risk is not reflected in markets. People are not that nervous, and there are things that could go wrong, particularly when you think about all of the political risks. That adds to the argument for having gold in a portfolio.”

The Norwegian Economy In 2017: Black Swans Hovering Overhead

Norwegians are just now starting to grapple with the effects of their “single cylinder” economy, mostly dependent on oil and gas (ca. 60% of exports). Despite optimism about $50-$70/barrel oil, American crude output is surging, on track to be the highest ever, since 1970, while cracks start to form in OPEC’s latest agreement. In addition to the oil tailspin, a flock of “black swans” have taken flight, led by one with a very orange beak.

The Lowest Common Denominator

More debt and less discipline is not the solution to a pre-existing condition characterized by the same. The price tag for failing to acknowledge and address that reality rises exponentially over time.

Extreme Vetting, But Not For Banks

Donald Trump, the man who positioned himself as the common man's shield against Wall Street, signed a series of orders today calling for reviews or rollbacks of financial regulations. He did so after meeting with some friendly helpers...

Trump To Sign Executive Orders Undoing Dodd-Frank, "Fiduciary Rule"

President Trump will order a sweeping review of the Dodd-Frank Act rules enacted in response to the 2008 financial crisis, signing an executive action Friday designed to significantly scale back the regulatory system put in place in 2010. Trump also will halt another of Obama’s regulations known as the "fiduciary rule", hated by the financial industry, that requires advisers on retirement accounts to work in the best interests of their clients.

Futures Fall On Rising Trump Uncertainty; Europe Stocks Rise As Euro-Area Inflation Surges

European bonds fell and stocks rose led by banks and retailers as surging inflation data prompted investors to switch into reflationary assets even as speculation about ECB tapering has returned. Asian stocks and US equity futures declined. The Yen and gold advanced after Trump’s firing of the U.S. acting attorney general added to concern over the unpredictability of decisions in the new administration.

Frontrunning: January 26

  • Trump heads to Philly to charm congressional Republicans (Politico)
  • Trump Set to Lay Out Plans for Safe Zones Inside Syria (WSJ)
  • Trump Wants to Build a Wall. Finding Workers Won’t Be Easy (BBG)
  • Sanctuary cities face huge cuts by Trump policy (Reuters)
  • Trump Faces Criticism Over Prospect of Enhanced Interrogation Techniques (WSJ)
  • U.K. Commons to Complete Article 50 Bill Debate in Two Weeks (BBG)

Futures Rise On Friday 13th Ahead Of Deluge Of Bank Earnings; Dollar Continues To Decline

European shares rose as Fiat rebounded on hopes concerns about parallel to Volkswagen are overblown, Asian stocks were little as Chinese shares fell to the lowest level of 2017 after poor export data, and U.S. equity-index futures rose ahead of a deluge of bank earnings. The dollar is headed for a weekly loss and gold trades at the highest price in almost two months.

BlackRock's Robo-Quants Are On Pace To Post Record Losses

BlackRock’s quant hedge-fund strategies were on track for losses in 2016, according to a monthly client update sent out in late December, and according to Bloomberg, of the five included, four were set for their worst returns on record.