Budget Deficit

Saudis Offer To Cut Production By 500,000 Barrels: "The Oil Market Situation Is Much More Critical"

Saudi Arabia offered to cut its oil output to January levels, as OPEC members seek ways to stabilize crude prices at talks this week in Algiers.“Saudi Arabia is ready to freeze production at the January level,” Boutarfa said, calling the offer “an interesting step.” Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.69 million barrels a day in August compared with 10.2 million in January, suggesting the Saudis are willing to cut total output by half a million barrels. 

Italy Is The EU's Weakest Link

Italy’s economy is weak. There is no growth. The banking system is in bad shape. Unemployment is high. There is substantial public unrest, and Renzi’s standing is weakening. Italy has been somewhere between recession and stagnation since 2008. After eight years, the situation shows no signs of improving... The faster they get out of the EU the better.

Russia Cuts Interest Rates Whilst Maintaining Tough Monetary Policy

At a time when Russia has suffered a recession any other G20 Central Bank or government finding itself in such a position would surely focus on ending the recession, not on further reducing inflation from what is by Russian standards an already historically low level. Russia however is different.

Key Events In The Coming "Fed Blackout" Week

The spotlight turns to US data and Fed speakers ahead of the Fed blackout period this week. The BoE and SNB meet to decide policy but consensus expect no change from either. Elsewhere we get inflation data from the US, UK, Sweden & EZ (F), Q2 GDP from NZ & SW and labor market data from the UK & AU.

Incompetent But Not Weak: "The Fed Doesn't Know Whether To Shit Or Go Blind"

The outlook for the US economy is deteriorating, yet the Fed is trying to raise overnight rates to keep unseen inflation from rising. Success in its strategy could force consumption lower, unemployment higher, and exacerbate real output contraction. The market, however, should not underestimate the Fed’s power based on its apparent incompetence.

Oil Slide Stalls As Saudi Hints At Massive Budget Cuts

WTI crude has dropped back to a $43 handle this morning - erasing the Saudi-Russia statement hype ramp - after China inventories and disappointing 'freeze' talk but for now the plunge has stalled as Saudi Arabia is set to review thousands of contracts aiming to cancel up to $20 billion of projects. This suggests hope for higher oil prices (improved revenues) are fading.

Is Portugal The Next "Shoe To Drop" In Europe?

Portugal 10-year yields imply that investors are starting to get a little worried about an October ratings decision that could make Portugal the EU's next big bailout candidate.

Frontrunning: August 23

  • Dollar Drops on Rate Outlook as European Stocks Rise, Oil Falls (BBG)
  • Bank of Japan's rush into stocks raises fears of market distortions (Reuters)
  • With Moderate Drinking Under Fire, Alcohol Companies Go on Offensive (WSJ)
  • Merkel Says Brexit Is U.K.’s Loss While Pledging EU Results (BBG)
  • Turkey cuts rates for sixth straight month amid ratings worries (Reuters)

The 10 Worst Places In America To Start A Business

Anywhere you start a business, it's going to be a gamble. More new businesses fail than succeed, according to the Kauffman Foundation. So it's important to set up in an area where the odds are in your favor. Some cities are more hospitable to business formation than others. Regulatory hurdles, tax rates, ease and cost of hiring, and cost of real estate are just some of the factors. Cities across the country are also dealing with demographic challenges, including population growth, an aging workforce and economic stagnation. Here are the worst 10 cities...