Budget Deficit

Saudi Crown Prince Flies To Washington To Meet With Donald Trump

Saudi Deputy Crown Prince, Mohammed bin Salman, responsible for the kingdom's reforms, left on Monday for Washington to meet President Donald Trump on a visit expected to pitch the world's top oil exporter as an attractive investment destination. It will be the first meeting since Trump took office in January between the U.S. President and the prince who is next in line to lead Saudi Arabia.

Global Stocks Rise, S&P Futs Flat As Dollar Rebounds Ahead Of Critical Week For Markets

European bourses advance and Asian share rose led by a surge in Hong Kong stocks which rose the most in three months as Japan hit 15 month highs. U.S. futures are little changed along while the dollar rebounded from session lows after Friday's selloff. Crude oil has continued its retreat, down 0.2% and sliding for a 6th straight day after breifly dropping below $48 in overnight trading.

US Government Revenues Suffer Biggest Drop Since The Financial Crisis

In the 12 months ended Feb. 28, total federal revenues were $3.275 trillion. This amount was 1.1% lower than the $3.31 trillion reported one year ago, and is the third consecutive month of annual receipt declines. This was the biggest drop since the summer of 2008.

UK Hikes 2017 Growth, Inflation Forecast, Trims Outer Years

In his first spring Budget speech before the House of Commons, UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond sharply raised his growth forecast for the UK for 2017, expecting 2.00% growth and 2.4% inflation, compared to the previous November forecast of 1.40% and 2.3% respectively, while modestly cutting outer years until the two projections catch up again in 2021, adding that the UK had "confounded commentators with robust growth."

China Cuts Economic Growth Forecast In Annual Report: Here Are The Key Changes

As part of the previously previewed "Two Sessions" which started on Sunday, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Sunday delivered the annual report on the work of the government in Beijing, summarizing the country’s achievements in the past year, and setting goals for this year. Here are the key targets: GDP 6.5% (down from 6.5-7%), M2 Money Supply growth 12% (down from 13%), CPI of 2-3%, Fixed Investment growth of 9%, down from 10.5%.

9 Lessons From The Reagan Tax Cuts

A close look at the ’86 tax reform shows why tax reform may not get done this year. As BofAML's Ethan Harris notes, "we are skeptical." Significant tax reform creates winners and losers, which may make it hard to find a "coalition of the willing."

Goldman: Investors Will Soon Realize They Were Too Optimistic

"We are approaching the point of maximum optimism and S&P 500 will give back recent gains as investors embrace the reality that tax reform is likely to provide a smaller, later tailwind to corporate earnings than originally expected."

The Four Key Themes From Q4 Conference Calls

Since President Trump’s surprise victory over Hillary Clinton in November, investors and management teams have been acutely focused on the new administration’s policy proposals. As expected, all 4 key themes discussed on Q4 conference calls are closely linked to Trump's policies and include tax reform, regulation, fiscal spending and trade policy.

Three Things Are About To Derail Trump's Fiscal Plan, Goldman Warns

With every passing week Goldman has been turning increasingly more pessimistic on Trump's proposed fiscal and budget plans, and it all culminated in a report released over the weekend, in which Goldman's Alec Phillips explains that over the next few months fiscal reofrm watchers will be disappointed as "three factors will make this year’s budget plans even more difficult to put together."

Frontrunning: February 8

  • Stock futures little changed amid earnings rush (Reuters)
  • Workers Set to Strike at World’s Largest Copper Mine (WSJ)
  • For Trump Travel Ban, Hard Questions From U.S. Appeals Court (BBG)
  • Melania Trump Sues Mail Online for $150 Million (BBG)
  • Ivanka Trump oversaw Murdoch daughters’ trust (FT)

The Honeymoon Is Over: Goldman Slams Trump's Economic Plan, No Longer Expects A Border Tax

"One month into the year, the balance of risks is somewhat less positive for three reasons. First, the difficulty congressional Republicans have had in moving forward on Obamacare; Second, while bipartisan cooperation looked possible following the election, the political environment appears to be as polarized as ever; Third, some of the recent actions by the Trump Administration could be disruptive for financial markets and the real economy." - Goldman Sachs

Frontrunning: January 25

  • Reignited 'Trump trades' help world stocks hit 19-month high (Reuters)
  • Trump moving forward with border wall, weighs refugee cuts (AP)
  • Trump's 'America First' lets China play world leader (Reuters)
  • High Tariffs on China, Mexico Wouldn’t Guarantee U.S. Jobs (WSJ)
  • Trump warns he's ready to 'send in the Feds' to Chicago (AP)