Budget Deficit

After Getting Almost Nothing Right In 2016, Here Are Byron Wien's "Ten Surprises" For 2017

After incorrectly predicting virtually every "surprise" for 2016 one year ago, the bulls better beware because in Byron Wien's list of "ten surprises" for 2017, the 83-year-old Blackstoner has turned decidedly bullish this time, and expects the S&P to surge to 2,500 while the US economy grows at a brisk 3%. With that, he may have just doomed any hope for a non-recession in 2017.

Federal Reserve Initiates End Game As Trump Heads To White House

The election of Donald Trump was inevitable and would precede the triggering of the final stage of our ongoing economic crisis. The Fed’s timing of their latest rate hike is highly strategic, not only setting the stage for a series of hikes that will crush U.S. stock markets this coming year and finally shock the public out of their fiscal stupor, but it also maneuvers the crisis right into the lap of Donald Trump and the conservative movements that support him.

Forget The Fed: For JPMorgan This Is The Biggest Catalyst Heading Into 2017

"The next very big catalyst for this market will be the Trump/Ryan tax reform plan and how it makes its way through Congress. Elevated political expectations are the single biggest risk for the tape and once the year-end chase rally euphoria wears off this will likely weigh on sentiment."

US Budget Deficit Doubles As November Spending Hits All Time Monthly High

The U.S. budget deficit soared last month, highlighting the growing mismatch between government spending and revenues. The government ran a $136.7 billion deficit in November, more than double that reported one year ago. The reason for the spike: outlays rose roughly 25% compared with November 2015, and hit an all time high of $226.5 billion for the month of November.

Indian Economy Crashes As Modi's "Black Money" Theory Collapses

Amid social unrest and loss of faith in the nation's currency, India's economy has ground to a halt with its Composite PMI crashing by a record in the last month as demonetization strikes. However, even more problematic is that Indians have validated 82% of bank notes rendered worthless by PM Modi, dramatically undermining the government’s estimate of unaccounted wealth in the economy.