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As A Shocking $100 Billion In Glencore Debt Emerges, The Next Lehman Has Arrived
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/07/2015 16:27 -0500- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Bond
- CDS
- China
- Convexity
- Counterparties
- Countrywide
- Covenants
- default
- Duration Mismatch
- Enron
- Glencore
- High Yield
- Housing Market
- Investment Grade
- Lehman
- LIBOR
- Mark To Market
- Market Conditions
- Negative Convexity
- ratings
- RBS
- recovery
- Standard Chartered
- Stress Test
- Switzerland
And now the real shocker: there is over US$100bn in gross financial exposure to Glencore. From BofA: "We estimate the financial system's exposure to Glencore at over US$100bn, and believe a significant majority is unsecured. The group's strong reputation meant that the buildup of these exposures went largely without comment. However, the recent widening in GLEN debt spreads indicates the exposure is now coming into investor focus."
There Will Be Blood – Part III
Submitted by Capitalist Exploits on 10/07/2015 09:36 -0500Hedge fund manager exposes the ugly truth about America's energy revolution: it's like the housing bubble but larger!
At Least "Black Box" Glencore Is Less Complex Than Enron
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/07/2015 08:55 -0500As the following org chart of Glencore shows, the company - at least on the surface - appears to be far "simpler" than Enron was in the days preceding its biggest, for the time, and quite unexpected, bankruptcy.
The Derivatives Market: Bets, Bookies, and Fraud
Submitted by Sprott Money on 10/07/2015 04:59 -0500In the real world, any casino (legal or otherwise) which refused to pay when the “house” lost would quickly be driven out of business
Commodity Trading Giants Unleash Liquidity Scramble, Issue Record Amounts Of Secured Debt
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2015 20:54 -0500In a furious race to shore up as much liquidity as possible, Glencore - which a month ago announced a dramatic deleveraging plan - and its peers have been quietly scrambling to raise billions in secured funding. Case in point none other than Glencore's biggest competitor and the largest independent oil trader in the world, Swiss-based, Dutch-owned Vitol Group, whose Swiss unit Vitol SA earlier today raised a record $8 billion in loans.
The Phrase That Launches Recessions
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2015 16:35 -0500“It feels like someone just flipped the switch to ‘off’ without any concrete reasoning,” one of the executives commented.
Glencore Explains What Would Happen If It Is Downgraded To Junk
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2015 14:43 -0500"In the event of a downgrade by Standard & Poor’s and/or Moody’s from current ratings to the level(s) immediately below... there are $4.5 billion of bonds outstanding, where a 125bps margin step-up would apply, in the event that the bonds were rated sub-investment grade by either major ratings agency."
Nickels, Meet Steamroller: Embattled Bank Suckers Hedge Funds Into EM Insurance Bet
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/05/2015 19:59 -0500
More Pain For Biotechs Ahead: Valeant's "Astronomical" Price Increases Take Center Stage; Pfizer Gets Dragged In
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/04/2015 11:44 -0500Late last week, after looking at Valeant soaring default risk as measured by the price of its blowing out CDS, soaring to over 30% even as its stock prices was surging, we wondered - does someone know something? It appears someone may have known that this weekend, the same Andrew Pollack whose NYT article exposing Turing's 5000% price increase resulted in Hillary Clinton promising to cap specialty biotech prices if elected, has come back for round two and after taking aim at Shkreli and Turing, much to the chagrin of Bill Ackman, Pollack is now taking aim at the biggest culprit: Valeant Pharmaceutcals.
Why The US Running Out Of Cash In 4 Weeks Is Good News
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/02/2015 18:30 -0500"This earlier deadline raises the probability that the House will vote to raise the debt limit prior to the time Speaker Boehner steps down on October 30. If so, this would reduce the risk of a disruptive debate on the issue, because Speaker Boehner is more likely than his successor, in our view, to allow a "clean" debt limit increase without the debate over extraneous issues that have delayed enactment until shortly before the deadline in the past."
Chinese Cash Flow Shocker: More Than Half Of Commodity Companies Can't Pay The Interest On Their Debt
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/02/2015 16:15 -0500
US Financials' Default Risk Spikes To 2-Year High
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/02/2015 08:51 -0500US financials' stocks are tumbling as 'investor' hopes for a rate-hike (and some dream about better earning potential for banks) drag XLF (Financials ETF) back to Oct 2014 lows. However, as have noted before, it is the message of the credit markets that has been correct all along (and stocks continue to catch down) as today's jobs data (and Glencore asset sales) poke Financials credit spreads to their highest since Oct 2013.
The Dangerous Illusion That Risk Can Be Offloaded Onto Others
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/02/2015 08:41 -0500Central bank intervention/financial repression provides the illusion thay systemic risk has been disappeared, and this pushes all asset classes into correlation. The idea that some assets will escape the implosion is also illusory; what appeared uncorrelated can suddenly correlate overnight, destroying the entire fantasy that risk can be offloaded onto others.
"There Are Five Times More Claims On Dollars As Dollars In Existence" - Why This Matters
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/01/2015 18:29 -0500According to the Fed, there is about $60 trillion of US Dollar credit or claims for US dollars. Also according to the Fed, there are about $12 trillion US dollars. So, the data show plainly there are five times as many claims for US dollars as US dollars in existence. Does this matter to investors? Well, yes, it matters a lot.

Wall Street Banks Admit They Rigged CDS Prices Too
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/01/2015 18:21 -0500As Bloomberg reports, "JPMorgan Chase & Co. is set to pay almost a third of a $1.86 billion settlement to resolve accusations that a dozen big banks conspired to limit competition in the credit-default swaps market, according to people briefed on terms of the deal."




