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The Pension Bubble: How The Defaults Will Occur

Millions of Americans and Canadians who are counting on pension benefits to fund their retirements risk being severely disappointed. Ironically, as experts worry about stock, bond and real estate market excesses; the biggest challenge facing government bureaucrats and private fund administrators has nothing to do with paying back pensioners. They have known for some time that would not be possible. Their key challenge, will be to ensure that shortfalls occur on someone else’s watch.

Why Nothing Progresses (Except Dissatisfaction): Institutionalized Powerlessness

To soften the enforcement of obedience, institutions offer various blandishments of recognition: employee of the month, etc. Hierarchical organizations that must compete for workers, such as technology firms, will actively court their employees with Friday parties and various bonding events to generate a sense of purpose and community. But stripped of public-relations cheerleading, these ploys are deeply inauthentic. They aren’t designed to create a real community, but to simply soften the enforcement of obedience with superficial recognition of the human need for recognition and belonging. Their real purpose is to mask the employees’ powerlessness.

Goldman Prepares To Turn Bearish On Oil Again; Boosts 2016 Bond Default Target By 25%

"After a quiet Jan/Feb, E&P bankruptcies picked up steam in late 1Q ahead of spring borrowing base redeterminations. By our math, about $30bn of par value debt has defaulted in the HY E&P space YTD, representing about a 17% default rate. On the back of our bottom up analysis we are now raising our full year default forecast to 21% from 17% previously."

Futures Levitate To Session Highs As ECB Enters The Bond Market; Crude Hits $51

In an overnight session dominated by the latest political developments out of the US where Hillary Clinton officially claimed the democratic nomination, the financial newsflow focused on China's trade data, where exports fell 4.1% from a year earlier, in line with expectations, but imports dropped 0.4% from a year earlier, the smallest decline since they turned negative in November 2014, driven entire by soaring "imports" from Hong Kong - aka capital outflows - which soared by 243% y/y.  The other main news was the official launch of the ECB's corporate bond buying, which helped drive government bonds yields in German to new record lows, and the average yields on investment-grade corporate debt below 1%.

Valeant Shares Plunge Again After Company Slashes Guidance

The bad news for Valeant shareholders just keeps coming.  After repeatedly cutting its guidance in the past several months, earlier today VRX once again cut guidance dramatically, sending shares plunging by 10% in the premarket. In its just released Q1 results, which missed non-GAAP EPS expectations of $1.37 by 10 cents, the company took the knife to its latest set of full year 2016 projections.

It Takes A Village To Maintain A Dangerous Financial System

“The few who understand the system will either be so interested in its profits or be so dependent upon its favors that there will be no opposition from that class, while the great body of people, mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system, will bear its burdens without complaint, and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.”

Theranos: Unicorn Valley's Madoff Moment

In “The Valley” the last 7 or 8 years has seen a morphing of true business fundamentals into a place of pure financially adulterated fantasy. Here is where the story changed from “Something built that customers love and will pay for," into “Build something that can give the illusion VC’s want to see and hear so they can pay for the right to then sell that illusion to Wall Street and we all get rich.” True business metrics or morals be damned.

Michelle Obama Launches First Attack At Donald Trump

"Some folks out there today seem to have a very different perspective. They seem to view our diversity as a threat to be contained rather than as a resource to be tapped. They tell us to be afraid of those who are different, to be suspicious of those with whom we disagree." After last night's violence in San Jose, perhaps they are right...