Global Stocks Jump On Mega Merger Monday, Buoyed By Earnings, PMIs, Politics

Global stocks jumped around the globe, with Europe's Stoxx 600 and US equity futures rising more than 0.5% on a surge in merger announcements over the weekend including the $85 billion mega takeout of AT&T for Time Warner, the $6.4 billion acquisition of B/E Aerospace by Rockwell Collins, the $2.7 billion deal targeting Genworth by China Oceanwide and the just announced $4 billion purchase of Scotttrade by Ameritrade.

Futures Drop As ECB Confusion Persists, Dollar Rises To Seven Month High; Yuan Plunges

Asian stocks and S&P futures fall modestly and European shares are little changed as traders digested the surprising reticence from yesterday's ECB meeting. The dollar jumped to 7 month highs, pressuring EM currencies and pushing the euro to its weakest level since March and below the Brexit lows, after Mario Draghi shut down talk of tapering, while the Yuan dropped to the lowest since 2010.

Is This The End Of The Road For Apple's Self-Driving Car?

Apple has all but thrown in the towel on its self-driving car endeavors. Its project Titan, which was supposed to release a fully autonomous vehicle in the early years of the next decade, has been scaled back substantially and will from now on focus on developing just the self-driving software used in autonomous cars.

Canaries 'In Extremis'

Nobody “important” will admit it until after the election, but the resumption of the depression is at hand.

Some Deutsche Bank Clients Unable To Access Cash Due To "IT Outage"

Deutsche Bank suffered a further blow to its image over the weekend with a third alleged "IT outage" in the space of a few months on Saturday, that prevented some customers getting access to their money for a short time: "Customers can not access their cash because it is blocked", a customer complained to Germany's Handelsblatt.

Developing Countries Emulate The US, Turn Citizens Into Debt Slaves

One of the big advantages of being a Latin American or Asian country used to be - somewhat counter-intuitively - the lack of credit available to most citizens. The banking system in, say, Brazil or Thailand simply wasn’t “advanced” enough to offer credit card, auto, or mortgage loans on a scale sufficient to turn the locals into US-style debt slaves. But that, alas, is changing as those countries adopt their rich cousins’ worst habits.

As Class 8 Truck Orders Continue Collapse, VW Has A "Fix" For Navistar's Diesel Emission Issues

Truck-related stocks have massively outperformed the broader markets this year up over 30% while the S&P 500 is up only around 7%. This outperformance has come despite abysmal Class 8 net orders which seem to just get worse each month with August 2016 net orders down over 25% compared to last year. In fact, the level of trailing 12-month net orders is the lowest since January 2011 with YoY changes now in negative territory for 18 consecutive months.

Global Stocks Decline Along With The Dollar, As Jackson Hole Begins

Global stocks declined broadly, led by European equities which fell for the first time this week while currency markets continued their subdued tone even as the recent 4-day rally in the USD appears to have topped out, as investors took to sidelines ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting which begins tonight. Japanese and Chinese stocks had suffered modest drops in Asia.  S&P 500 Index futures slipped 0.2%, continuing yesterday's modest selloff.

Frontrunning: July 26

  • Priest killed in French church before police shoot dead hostage-takers (Reuters)
  • On raucous opening night, Democratic stars make a pitch for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Sanders Backs Clinton After Fractious Opening of Convention (BBG)
  • Some in Sanders' army seem determined to march on without him (Reuters)
  • Yen hits two-week high as Japanese stimulus expectations dialled back (Reuters)

So What Did The ECB Buy? "In Short, Almost Everything"

"So what did they buy? In short, almost everything. The ECB bought “topical” credits such as VW, Glencore and EdF. They showed little concern with taking credit risk by buying a range of low-BBB names. They bought “high yield” credits such as Telecom Italia and Lufthansa. They bought corporate bonds from US, UK and Swiss companies, and ironically, the ECB’s most popular purchase has been Deutsche Bahn – an issuer where bond yields are the most negative."

Frontrunning: July 19

  • Turkey's Erdogan recounts night of coup, mulls death penalty (AP)
  • Dissidents Silenced, GOP Convention Turns Attacks on Clinton (WSJ)
  • U.S. police deaths build momentum for law to treat attacks as hate crimes (Reuters)
  • Police across US patrolling in pairs after ambush attacks (AP)
  • UK will not invoke EU Article 50 this year, government lawyer says (Reuters)

US Futures Rebound Sharply From Friday's Coup Fears, Focus Shifts To M&A

Having panciked briefly on Friday night on news of a Turkish coup, which has since not only failed but been cast away as speculation rises that it was staged and designed to give Erdogan even more authoritarian power, markets have moved on and are now focusing on the main overnight event which was the surprising $32 billion bid by Japan's SoftBank for U.K.’s semiconductor giant ARM which has sent comparable semis higher in European trading and pushing the Stoxx Europe 600 Index up by 0.6%, after surging 3.2% last week. After sliding sharply on Friday, US equity futures are up 0.1% in early trading.

Greater Fools Have Stormed The Casino

Since last Friday’s phony jobs report the casino has become so unhinged that analysis is beside the point. It is not surprising at all that the robo-machines are now gunning for the 2200 point on the S&P 500 charts. That’s what they do. What defies explanation, however, is that the several dozen humans left on Wall Street who apparently talk to Bob Pisani are actually attempting to rationalize this “breakout” of, well, madness.