Construction trends may be good for incumbents, but for homeowners, banks, and taxpayers, they're costly....
Remember when it was your job to be cheerful and optimistic if creating forecasts for insolvent and nationalized entities, whose entire pseudo-business model is predicated upon the return of the housing bubble and the overall Ponzi resuming? Apparently not, especially if one has read the following forecast from none other than Fannie Mae. So while we have Barclays, Deutsche, JPM, TCW, and any other axed bank , you name it, defending PrimeX which is nothing more or less than a bet on the "safe" tranche of US home price prospects and housing overall, here is the one entity with more mortgages on its books than any other organization, telling us how it really feels.
It is now time to short Apple: Fannie Mae has just announced that it will no longer condone the same kind of irresponsible behavior that the Obama administration will soon be trying hard to codify into law, namely strategic defaulting. According to Dow Jones, bankrupt GSE Fannie Mae, announced "it won't back new mortgage loans for seven years for homeowners who walk away from their mortgages although they were able to pay or did not seek a workout in good faith with their lender." Terence Edwards, an EVP for Fannie, after having been a recipient of trillions in moral hazard (and having a job as a result), finds out that being on the receiving end of a total lack of integrity is not quite as pleasant: ""We're taking these steps to highlight the importance of working with your servicer. Walking away from a mortgage is bad for borrowers and bad for communities." Oh, now they tell us.
Nothing to say on this really, except that Bernanke will be more than happy to oblige every and all requests which will further his goal of destroying the dollar and bring the dollar down to 1.0000 ER against its Zimbabwean brother from another mother.
January Fannie Mae Delinquency Rate Climbs To New Record At 5.52%, 14 bps Higher Than December, Double From Year AgoSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 03/31/2010 12:45 -0400
Fannie Mae reported its January total serious delinquency rate for single-family houses: the rate hit a new record of 5.54%, a jump from the December's 5.38%, and double the 2.77% in January 2009. All in all a perfect time for the Fed to be moving away from the mortgage market, pardon, to no longer being the mortgage market. The one saving grace for the Fed, was that new issuance keeps declining: $43.9 billion in MBS was issued in February, 7% less than the $47.6 billion in January. Yet $44 billion is not zero, and we anticipate ongoing new issuance which will need to find private buyers now that taxpayers are out of the picture. And even as Fannie's total book of business grew at a 1% annualized pace to $3,229,645 MM, the actual guaranteed MBS and mortgage loans declined at 0.9% to $2,882,552.
Fannie Mae Reports Massive Q3 Loss, Asks For Another $15 Billion From Government As It Is Set To Become Largest US LandlordSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/05/2009 18:05 -0400
The latest particular does of lunacy and economic calamity coming out of the intellectual midgets at Fannie and the FHA should be sufficient to push the market well into 1,100 territory tomorrow. FNM's loss for Q3 is $18.9 billion, up from $14.8 billion in Q2, a time when the market was up a good 15%: ever wonder who keeps on subsidizing those gain? That's right - you. Credit-related expenses increased to $22 billion in Q3 from $18.8 billion in Q2. Oh, and Fannie now wants another $15 billion rescue from the Treasury (which is having some troubles with getting that pesky debt ceiling raised to one googol) so it can continue with its plan of keeping shadow inventory away from the market, rent foreclosed houses to their owners at staggeringly low rates, and continue the pretence that bank's balance sheets are well capitalized. Seriously, is the twilight zone any more palatable if one just drinks the Kool Aid or takes some crazy/stupid pills? We are ready and willing for the plunge.
The FNM "seriously delinquent" rate has gone parabolic, increasing by roughly 5% sequentially and just under 300% YoY. As mere text will simply not do this metric justice, please enjoy this chart of the dataset from Blytic. It tells you all you need to know about the Fed's containment of the housing problem.