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Global Stocks Fall For First Time In Six Days As Commodity Rout Spills Over Into Stocks

As a result of the global commodity weakness, global stocks have fallen for the first time in six days as the sell-off in commodities continued, dragging both US equity futures and European stocks lower. However, putting this in context, last week the MSCI All Country World Index posted its biggest weekly gain in six weeks: alas, without a coincident rebound in commodity prices, it will be merely the latest dead cat bounce.

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"This Isn't Going To End Well" - Junk Bonds Under Pressure

There are seemingly always “good reasons” why troubles in a sector of the credit markets are supposed to be ignored – or so people are telling us, every single time. Some still recall how the developing problems in the sub-prime sector of the mortgage credit market were greeted by officials and countless market observers in the beginning in 2007. Meanwhile, the foundation of the economy continues to look rotten (the newest round of Fed surveys has begun with another bomb and other manufacturing-related data continue to disappoint as well). This isn’t going to end well, if history is any guide.

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"No QE For You!": ECB May Cut "Lifeline" To Portugal After Socialists Overthrow Government

In what sounds like the plot of a McCarthy-era propaganda spy novel, the Socialists and Communists have overthrown the government in Portugal. That means it's time for the troika to start pushing back against the undesirables by threatening the country with financial ruin. Just call it "tough love." 

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Frontrunning: November 6

  • Dollar at three-month high as payrolls paralysis sets in (Reuters)
  • 5 Things to Watch in the October Jobs Report (WSJ)
  • China to Lift Ban on IPOs (WSJ)
  • ArcelorMittal Is Latest Victim of China's Steel-Export Glut (BBG)
  • 'Hope to see you again': China warship to U.S. destroyer after South China Sea patrol (Reuters)
  • Giants Tighten Grip on Internet Economy (WSJ)
  • Questions Surround Valeant CEO Pearson (WSJ)
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One Analyst Says China's Banking Sector Is Sitting On A $3 Trillion Neutron Bomb

"While traditional bank loans are not Chu’s prime focus -- she looks at the wider picture, including shadow banking -- she says her work suggests that nonperforming loans may be at 20 percent to 21 percent, or even higher."

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It's Back To The Future As Stocks, Futures Jump On The Latest Abysmal Economic News; China Tremors Return

26 years ago, today was envisioned as day when cars flew, holographic movies were box office hits, hoverboards roamed, and people were fired by fax. None of the happened. Instead the only "back to the future" moment this morning is a deja vu one we have seen every day for the past 7 years: bad economic news leading to surging stocks.

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In Latest Humiliation For Illinois, Fitch Downgrades State's Credit Rating To BBB+

Last week, beleaguered Illinois Comptroller Leslie Geissler Munger admitted that, thanks to the bitter budget battle going on in Springfield, the state would miss a $560 million pension payment in November. Now, in a move that shouldn't exactly surprise anyone, Fitch has cut the state's GO rating citing the budget impasse. The move affects some $27 billion in debt.

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Fitch Downgrades Brazil From BBB To BBB-, Outlook Negative - Full Text

Brazil's economic recession is likely to be deeper and longer than Fitch's earlier expectations and its performance has diverged materially from those of its rating peers. Medium-term prospects also look weak compared to peers and most other large emerging markets. Fitch forecasts that Brazil's economy will contract by 3% and 1%, respectively in 2015 and 2016 before recording modest growth in 2017, with risks skewed largely to the downside.

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The First Crack: Deutsche Bank Preannounces Massive Loss, May Cut Dividend

Deutsche Bank warned it expects to record a third-quarter loss of $7 billion, tied to a huge write-down in its corporate-banking-and-securities segment.  The bank said the charges are driven by the impact of expected higher regulatory capital requirements and its disposal of Postbank. It also said it will consider reducing or eliminating its common dividend for fiscal 2015.


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