GAAP

Target Tumbles After Cutting Guidance, Reports Poor Comps; Drags Wal-Mart Lower

Target now expects fourth quarter comparable sales in the range of (1.5) percent to (1.0) percent, compared with prior guidance of (1.0) percent to 1.0 percent. In fourth quarter 2016, Target expects both GAAP EPS from continuing operations and Adjusted EPS of $1.45 to $1.55, compared with prior guidance of $1.55 to $1.75.

David Einhorn Explains How He Is Trading The "Trump Presidency"

1) Long a variety of low-multiple, tax-paying, U.S. value stocks; 2) Long AAPL; 3) Long GM; 4) Short “bubble basket.” 5) Short oil frackers, 6) Short CAT (and other similar industrial cyclicals that have moved much higher post-election).

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Caution: Protection Required

Negativity has been replaced by positivity, any sense of caution has been thrown to the wind, bullishness is pervasive and bears look like idiots. In short: All the conditions one wants to see if one is interested in a market fade or at least in getting some protection.

Peak Euphoria: Dow Shy Of Record Overbought

Following the Dow's surge right out of the gates, it is safe to say that the "Industrial" average, where Goldman Sachs has been the star performer, and which as of last night, was more overbought on just 4 previous occasions in the past century, is at record euphoria.

Apple Slides After Missing Revenue, China, ASPs Despite Better iPhone Sales, Guidance

Despite guiding notably higher for the holiday quarter, and beating modestly on EPS, AAPL just reported its third consecutive quarter of declining results and iPhone sales, and its first fiscal year of lower revenue since 2001. The market was not impressed, despite Tim Cook's strong guidance for the holiday quarter when AAPL expects to make as much as $78 billion.

Weekend Reading: Time To Be A Contrarian?

Currently, there is little argument the “bullish trend” remains intact. As such the mainstream analysis, if you can actually call it that, continues to the tout the inherent benefits of low cost, passive indexing and the ultimate “chase for yield.” However, it is here the real danger lies. Much of the monetary flows into passive indexes is actually NOT PASSIVE. When the eventual reversion comes, and it will, the pain inflicted on individuals, as is always the case, will turn “passive indexers” in “panicked sellers.”