GAAP

"We Should Be Concerned" - Stock Buybacks Plunge Most Since 2009

After snapping up trillions of dollars of their own stock in a five-year shopping binge that dwarfed every other buyer, U.S. companies from Apple Inc. to IBM Corp. just put on the brakes. Announced repurchases dropped 38 percent to $244 billion in the last four months, the biggest decline since 2009, data compiled by Birinyi Associates and Bloomberg show. “If the only meaningful source of demand in the market is companies buying their own shares back, then what happens if that goes away?” asked Brad McMillan, CIO of Commonwealth “We should be concerned.”

Did Apple's Didi Investment Just Kill All The Unicorns?

“But there is of course a much bigger reason why Apple and Didi were so keen to join forces: The deal is an incredible “f### y##” to Uber, a company that neither Apple nor Didi want to get much more dominant in the US... The clues that this was not just an investment but a Statement were easy to spot: A billion dollars isn’t a random number — it’s a headline-grabbing way to telegraph This Is A Big Deal.So here we have what could be the poster-child for all unicorn valuation metrics (i.e., Uber) having their valuation story for future investment and/or IPO dreams gutted in one fell swoop by Apple.

After An Abysmal First Quarter, Second Quarter Earnings Expectations Are Already Tumbling

Q1 earnings marked the first time the index has seen four consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines in EPS since Q4 2008 through Q3 2009. It also marked the largest year-over-year decline in earnings since Q3 2009 (-15.7%). More troubling is that Q2 appears set for more of the same:  the estimated decline for Q2 2016 is -4.6%, compared to "only" a 2.8% drop as of March 31, while for revenues, the estimated decline for Q2 2016 is -1.3%, a doubling in the -0.6% deterioration forecastjust 45 days ago.

David Stockman Warns "Get Out Of The Casino!"

Forget the "wall of worry," former Reagan OMB Director David Stockman warns a shocked CNBC anchorette that "the frogs are in the boiling water again on Wall Street...and they don't have enough sense to get out." The last 600 days of range-bound trading marks the top he explains adding that "we have reached the cyclical top in both GDP and earnings," which leaves a market trading at extremely expensive levels - "why would you stay in?" Stockman believes that the world economy is heading into a "deep and lasting deflationary recession." There is no evidence that America is immune, he adds, warning of the potential for 40% downside and just 2% upside in stocks...

The Frogs Are Boiling Again - Why Wall Street Stays In The Pot

Wall Street’s cockeyed faith that another stock market bailout is on the way rests on the idea of a post-election return to fiscal stimulus - since even the casino punters now see that the jig is up on ZIRP, NIRP and QE. Here’s the problem. When General (Paul) Ryan gets together in the oval office with either Hillbama or the Donald next February the budget projections will already be deep in trillion dollar deficits under current policy. Therefore what will get stimulated, if anything, is a colossal political firestorm over who bankrupted the nation. There will not be another fiscal stimulus this go round. This time the frogs of Wall Street will be left to boil.

What Manipulation Does To The Free Market

Had the federal government held a constant measuring stick rather than "tinkering, engineering, distorting" key government calculations such as the size of the economy (GDP), the rate of inflation, level of unemployment, or size of federal deficits and federal debt...the reality we face would be plain and honest choices needed.  Instead, the responsibility of those working for "the people" has been breached via falsifying and distorting each of these (over decades).  This consistently improves the output and does not allow a true means to quantify and qualify the nations health.  Simply put, the government has continually tinkered, tampered, and distorted the accounting so as to mislead or create a falsely positive appearance. 

Saving Is Dumb... Say The Central Bankers

Central bankers have been waging a war against savers. What those central bankers want you to do is either (1) spend money to increase demand, or (2) buy stocks to increase capital. Well, it sure looks like American consumers are not doing the former...

Fossil Stock Plummets 25% On Abysmal Results As US, Global Consumers Choose To Save Instead Of Spend

This was the latest confirmation that something is very badly broken with not only the US but also international consumer, who as the WaPo "determined" earlier is actively seeking to sabotage the Obama recovery by not spending on such products as Skaggen watches, but instead selfishly is saving away all available funds. Expect even more weakness in the coming quarters, especially among comparable consumer companies, if this unpatriotic saving behavior does not revert back to what made the US consumer class the most beloved across the entire world.

If Everything Is So Great, Where Are The Unicorn IPOs?

Over the course of the last week it seemed no matter where we turned in the business media one meme was being pushed above all others: It’s still a great time to be a private tech unicorn. Implying, that funding rounds were still “robust.” What wasn’t said, so we will, is this: It’s a great time to be a private “unicorn” rather, than take the chance and become the poster-child for the IPO apocalypse. For it’s better to be assumed a $BILLION dollar success story rather, than IPO and officially open the books to the market and remove all doubt – that you’re not.

Albert Edwards: "Let Me Tell You How This All Ends"

The dollar's recent rapid slide has been accompanied by a constant backdrop of dovish cooing from the Fed. Until this week, SocGen's Albert Edwards notes that both equity and commodity markets had embraced the weak dollar as the elixir to solve all their ills. That relief, however, has now proved fleeting as fear of weak economic activity has reasserted its influence on investors. The weak dollar, Edwards warns, should be seen as merely a shuffling of deckchairs on the Titanic before the global economy sinks below the icy waves.

Trumped! Why It Happened And What Comes Next, Part 1

First there were seventeen. At length, there was one. Donald Trump’s wildly improbable capture of the GOP nomination, therefore, is the most significant upheaval in American politics since Ronald Reagan. And the proximate cause is essentially the same. Like back then, an era of drastic bipartisan mis-governance has finally generated an electoral impulse to sweep out the stables.

Tesla Jumps After Smaller Than Expected Loss; Warns Cash Burn Is About To Hit Ludicrous Speed

As we previewed yesterday, perhaps more so that the longs it was the company's near record shorts who were expecting today's earnings release to see if their bearish bets on the company will pan out. And while the stock slid all day, losing 4% in regular hours after Jim Chanos announced he was short the car maket, the stock now appears to be jumping in the after hours session having just reported its Q1 results which were as follows.