GAAP

Here's What's So Crazy About This Stock Market

...Instead of punishing the shares of a company with declining sales and profits, huge write-offs, and a sky-high P/E ratio, markets simply continue to drive the stock higher, no matter what. Other stocks experience the same thing. This earnings season, more than ever, is turning into the Theater of the Absurd.

This 'Market' Discounts Nothing Except Monetary Cocaine

In short, the market is not trading on a rebound in GDP, revenue growth or a breakout of already elevated profit margins. It’s just high on one more dose of monetary cocaine that in short order will prove to have been not even that.

IBM "Beats" Despite 17th Straight Revenue Decline; Margin Miss; Spike In Net Debt

After 16 consecutive quarters, or 4 years, of declining annual revenue growth, there were some whispers that this could be the quarter IBM finally breaks the trend. Alas, it was not meant to be, and moments ago IBM reported Q2 revenues of $20.24BN, which will beating consensus of $20.03BN, was still 2.8% lower than a year ago. But more troubling is that despite the relatively modest drop in revenue, GAAP profit tumbled 27% to $2.61BN, with Net Income plunging 29% to $2.5BN.

With The S&P 140 Points From Its 2018 Year End Target, Goldman Is Confused

Goldman found itself in the confusing position of being far more bearish than its clients, predicting that the S&P will rise less than 150 points over the next two and a half years and has to explain the reasons behind its bearishness, as well as the reason why it expects a sharp 5-10% drawdown in the S&P in the coming months.

With "Stock Valuations At Extremes" Goldman's Clients Are Asking Just One Question

This week the S&P 500 surged to a new record high of 2164 this week while the 10-year US Treasury yield touched an all-time low of 1.37%. As a result Goldman, and especially its clients, are stumped. As chief equity strategist David Kostin admits, they have one burning question. As Kostin puts it, they "are struggling to reconcile how extreme valuations of both assets can co-exist."

"We Shouldn't Be At New All Time Highs" - Even Larry Fink Doesn't Get It

 "I don't think we should be at new [stock] highs... We are seeing investors worldwide pausing, we are seeing quite a large sum of money being pulled out of equities over the last year. And yet we are at record highs. That's just a sign of how much money is being taken out by central banks in their bond purchases, and stock repurchases from companies."

Greater Fools Have Stormed The Casino

Since last Friday’s phony jobs report the casino has become so unhinged that analysis is beside the point. It is not surprising at all that the robo-machines are now gunning for the 2200 point on the S&P 500 charts. That’s what they do. What defies explanation, however, is that the several dozen humans left on Wall Street who apparently talk to Bob Pisani are actually attempting to rationalize this “breakout” of, well, madness.

How Alcoa Just Converted A Half A Billion LTM Loss Into Half A Billion Profit

It is once again on an LTM basis that Alcoa has absolutely outdone itself. Here, things get downright comical, because whereas Alcoa's GAAP Net Income for the LTM period ended December 31 was a net loss of $506 million, when one adds back all the charges incurred over the past 12 months, the "net income", on a non-GAAP Basis of course, soars to a whopping $495 million.

Bank of America Throws In The Towel: "The Profits Recovery Won't Live Up To Expectations"

"In the wake of the weaker-than-our-expected 1Q results and recent macro headwinds, we are trimming our S&P 500 EPS forecasts by 3% in 2016 and 2% in 2017. Given the S&P 500’s 15% rally since mid- February, we are concerned that much of the improvement in earnings growth may already be priced in, especially with signs that earnings revision trends may be rolling over."

Goldman Warns Of A Sharp Plunge In Stocks In "Next Few Months"

"Tactically, we continue to expect the market will experience a pullback of 5%-10% during the next few months before ending the year at 2100. Strategically, we expect a continuation of the range-bound market that has challenged investors for nearly two years. A maturing economic cycle with elevated valuations, decelerating buybacks, and growing political uncertainty provide the basis for potential market weakness in the second half."

Theranos: Unicorn Valley's Madoff Moment

In “The Valley” the last 7 or 8 years has seen a morphing of true business fundamentals into a place of pure financially adulterated fantasy. Here is where the story changed from “Something built that customers love and will pay for," into “Build something that can give the illusion VC’s want to see and hear so they can pay for the right to then sell that illusion to Wall Street and we all get rich.” True business metrics or morals be damned.

Marc Faber Warns Of "Moral Degeneration" From America's "Consensual Hallucination"

The flood of money that central banks are creating pollutes the Western capitalistic system and free markets, as well as democracy. The consequences are anemic economic growth, deep social discontent, a culture of cheating, and moral degeneration. At the same time, “the bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of an expanding bureaucracy” (Oscar Wilde). Hardly a recipe for sustainable economic growth and rising standards of living.