Germany

Which Countries Have The Most Immigrants?

Immigration is now at the center of American and British politics. Trump and Farage see immigration as an existential threat. But do the United Kingdom and the United States have especially large foreign-born populations? Is the number of foreign-born residents in those countries rising at rates faster than in other countries? And how is the composition of the foreign-born population changing?

"Whatever It Takes" Has Failed - European Economic Confidence Crashes To 4-Year Lows

If the premise of central-banking largesse is to maintain (or inspire) economic confidence, then Mario Draghi's smoke and mirrors have officially failed. This morning's ZEW data on German and European Consumer confidence is a disaster. Both the current situation and expectations for Germany tumbled but most worryingly, the 'hope' for European economic growth has crashed to its lowest since Draghi promised to do "whatever it takes" in the summer of 2012.

ISIS Flag Found In German Train Axe Attacker's Bedroom

Just hours after a 17-year-old Afghan refugee attacked passengers with an ax and knife on a train in Germany on Monday night, AP reports ISIS has claimed responsibility. This is likely not a surprise to many as a witness said that the attacker was shouting 'Allahu akbar' during the attack and Joachim Herrmann, Bavaria's interior minister, told ZDF Television "during a search of his room, a hand-painted IS flag was found."

US Futures Dip, European Stocks Slide After EU Court Slams Italian Bank Bailout Plans

After a head-scratching S&P500 rally - which not even Goldman has been able to justify - pushed stocks to new all time highs with seemingly daily record highs regardless of fundamentals or geopolitical troubles, overnight US equity futures dipped modestly, tracking weak European stocks as demand for safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and gold rises. Asian stocks outside Japan fall. Crude oil trades near $45 a barrel. 

Hans-Hermann Hoppe: "Put Your Hope In Radical Decentralization"

"The EU is the first step on the way toward the creation of a European Super-State, and ultimately of a one-world government, dominated by the USA and its central bank, the FED... Don’t put your trust in democracy, but neither should you trust in a dictatorship. Rather, put your hope into radical political decentralization, not just in India and China, but everywhere."

Citi Is Stunned How Quickly The "Extraordinary Political Backdrop" Is Deteriorating

"These developments point to a marked increase in political risks in systemically-significant countries. At the start of the year, we flagged many of these as  well as introducing our thesis that rising Geopolitical Risks, accompanied by rising "Vox Populi" risks such as Brexit and changing US politics, were at risk of converging in new and powerful ways. Even so, we did not anticipate quite how many would transpire, let alone within such a compressed timeframe."

John Kerry Threatens Turkey With NATO Expulsion

“NATO also has a requirement with respect to democracy and NATO will indeed measure very carefully what is happening,” Kerry tells reporters in Brussels after attending a meeting of European Union foreign ministers "My hope is that Turkey is going to move in ways that do respect what they have said to me many times is the bedrock of their country."

Herbalife: Media Materially Misstates FTC Outcome, Icahn Files Potentially Questionable Statement with SEC

In the classic "pyramid" scheme, participants attempt to make money solely by recruiting new participants into the program. The hallmark of these schemes is the promise of sky-high returns in a short period of time for doing nothing other than handing over your money and getting others to do the same. But, like most news that goes out incorrectly, nobody noticed the retraction and nobody cared. Here’s what Dow Jones’ official retraction of the morning’s news looked like when it was issued later in the morning, with Herbalife stock already trading up nearly 15%

Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"

Helicopter policies are not advocated in ‘a normal world’. They are however almost inevitable in the next recession. "Japan will be the flag bearer of fiscal stimulus.” Which will be sufficient to breath some inflationary spirit into the system. “But this is all febrile and can get over-turned by the slightest change in wind direction,” he said, tentative. “This will be the little inflation before the big helicopter-driven inflation.” But that will first require a crisis.

Italy Tasks JPMorgan With Creating A €50 Billion Bank Bailout

JPMorgan has been appointed by the Italian government to work on plans to set up a bank to buy troubled loans from the country’s lenders at approximately 20% of face value. The gross notional size of Italy's Bad Bank #2 would be €50 billion. As part of JPM's plan, the government would acquire some of the bad loans at a price of 20 cents in the euro.

Morgan Stanley: "To Make Up For A 10% Drop In The S&P, Treasury Yields Would Need To Go… Negative"

Take a 60/40 portfolio constructed today from the S&P 500 and US Treasuries. To make up for a 10% decline in the equity market, Treasury yields would need to go… negative. Not impossible, but certainly a high hurdle! We think investors in European and Japanese bonds are seeing a clear example of this dilemma, with Bunds and JGBs simply unable to rally enough to offset recent equity market declines.

Surging "Intercommunity Confrontations" In France Mean "Civil War Is Inevitable"

The global elite made a choice: they took the side against their own old and poor because those people did not want to vote for them any longer. They also made a choice not to fight Islamism because Muslims vote collectively for this global elite. No one knows if the truck terrorist, who plowed into the Bastille Day crowd in Nice killing more than 80 people, will be the trigger for a French civil war, but it might help to look at what creates the risk of one in France and other countries, such as Germany or Sweden.