Germany

The Over-Quantification Of Life

The idea that all endeavors can be distilled down to statistics has put us in the Over-Quantification Box...

The Inside Story Of How The Saudi King's Son Plotted To Oust His Rival

On the night of June 20, a group of senior princes and security officials gathered at the Safa Palace in Mecca after being informed that King Salman wanted to see them. Before midnight, Mohammed bin Nayef was told he was going to meet the king and was led into another room, where royal court officials pressured him to give up his posts as crown prince and interior minister.

Frontrunning: July 19

  • Republicans consider bipartisan healthcare talks (Reuters)
  • Health Care Collapse Could Leave Trump Winless in His First Year (BBG)
  • Republicans to Push Ahead on Repeal of Affordable Care Act (WSJ)
  • Obscure Coal CEO Rains Money on Trump While Outflanking Rivals (BBG)
  • GOP Tries to Regroup on Obamacare Repeal as Trump Lashes Out (BBG)

Global Stocks Hit Record High, Set For Longest Winning Streak Since 2015

With the USD just off 10-month lows, there continues to be an easing of loosening of financial conditions for emerging markets which also supports equities. After decent gains in Asia on the back of positive signs from China this week, MSCI's world stocks index looked set for a ninth day of gains which would mark its longest winning streak since October 2015.

The ECB's Balance Sheet Is Now The Size Of Japan's GDP

The ECB's balance sheet now stands at €4.23 trillion, making it the largest central bank holding in the World. As Deutsche Bank notes, this is the same as the GDP of Japan (€4.3 trillion) - the 3rd biggest economy in the world and a decent distance ahead of Germany (€3.02tn) - the fourth largest.

Frontrunning: July 18

  • U.S. Republicans left scrambling after health bill sinks again (Reuters); Republicans Give Up on Health-Care Reform, Now Seek Straight Repeal (BBG)
  • Trump Blames Democrats and a ‘Few Republicans’ for Health-Bill Wreck (BBG)
  • House Republicans Set Out Plan to Rewrite Tax Code (WSJ)
  • House GOP Budget Ignores Trump’s Cuts to Domestic Agencies (BBG)
  • House Republicans unveil 2018 budget with tax reform instructions (Reuters)

Dollar Tumbles, Euro Soars After Obamacare Repeal Dies; China Intervenes To Halt Rout

The Bloomberg Dollar Index tumbled to a fresh 10-month low after two more Republican defections on Monday night doomed the proposed GOP healthcare plan in the Senate. And while Treasuries rose on concerns about inflationary pressures and the viability of the Trump stimulus agenda, S&P futures rebounded gingerly from session lows, and were up 0.1%