Germany
Frontrunning: August 13
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2015 06:46 -0500- China central bank tries to soothe global markets, says no reason for yuan to fall further (Reuters)
- Huge blasts at Chinese port kill 44, with hundreds injured (Reuters)
- China efforts to slow yuan fall hoist Europe shares, bond yields (Reuters)
- Greek Economy Unexpectedly Surged Before Capital Controls (BBG)
- Joe Biden Is Sounding Out Allies About a 2016 Bid (WSJ)
- U.K. Tries to Kick-Start Shale Gas With Planning Speedup (BBG)
Risk On Despite Third Chinese Devaluation In A Row As PBOC Jawbones, Intervenes In FX Market
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2015 05:49 -0500- Aussie
- B+
- Bond
- Central Banks
- China
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Daimler
- Equity Markets
- European Central Bank
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Policy
- NASDAQ
- Natural Gas
- Nikkei
- Nominal GDP
- Price Action
- recovery
- Shenzhen
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Yuan
With everyone now focused on what China's daily Yuan fixing will be ever night, there was some confusion why last night the PBOC decided to devalue the CNY by another 1.1% to 6.4010, despite its promise that the devaluation would be a "one-off" event, taking the 3 day devaluation to just about 4.5%. However, subsequently in a press conference, central bank vice-governor Yi Gang said that the PBoC will continue to step in when the market is ‘distorted’, that there is no economic basis for the Yuan to fall continuously and that it will look to keep the exchange rate ‘basically stable’. The Vice-Governor also said that the PBoC will closely monitor cross-border capital flows and that reports suggesting the Central Banks wants to see the currency depreciate 10% are ‘groundless’. Which is ironic considering after just 3 days, the PBOC is already half the way there!
Understanding Why The Clinton Emails Matter
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/12/2015 20:30 -0500The problem for Clinton may be particularly damaging. Every email sent within the State Department’s own systems contains a classification; an employee technically cannot hit “send” without one being applied. Just because Clinton chose to use her own hardware does not relieve her or her staff of this requirement. Some may say even if Clinton committed security violations, there is no evidence the material got into the wrong hands – no blood, no foul. Legally that is irrelevant. Failing to safeguard information is the issue.
Sorry Troika, Spain's Economic Recovery Is "One Big Lie"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/12/2015 14:15 -0500During six months of protracted and terribly fraught negotiations between Athens, Berlin, Brussels, and the IMF, the idea that Spain, Italy, and Ireland somehow represented austerity "success stories" was frequently trotted out as the rationale behind demanding that Greece embark on a deeper fiscal retrenchment despite the fact that the country is mired in recession. For many in the periphery, the notion of an economic recovery is fiction, plain and simple.
DAX Crashes After Germany Warns Greek Bailout "Insufficient"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/12/2015 09:07 -0500With the Greek bailout deal now nearly done, all that stands in the way of disbursal is the Greek parliamnent and a predictably incalcitrant Germany which, according to Bild (citing EU sources) has now determined that the new bailout plan is "insufficient."
Equity Futures Tumble Again, S&P To Open Under 200DMA, 10Y Yield Approaches 1-Handle
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/12/2015 05:43 -0500The overnight market has been a repeat of yesterday's action, when following China's repeat 1.6% devaluation of the CNY (which was to be expected since the PBOC made it quite clear the fixing would be based off the market value, a value which continues plunging), the second biggest in history following Monday's 1.9% plunge, traders appeared stunned having believed the PBOC's lies that the devaluation was a one-off and as a result the E-Mini tumbled overnight, and is now 30 points lower from last night's PBOC fixing announcement, trading at around 2058, and far below the "magical" 200-DMA support line, which has now been solidly breached.
This Is What Global Currency War Looks Like: A Complete History Of Recent FX Interventions
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/11/2015 09:54 -0500To help remind readers of what happens when the entire world engages in wholesale currency war, here is a complete list of all the recent FX interventions, courtesy of Stone McCarthy.
Third Time's The Charm? Greece Agrees To Bailout Amid Rampant Skepticism
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/11/2015 06:41 -0500After what were described as "marathon" negotiations, Greece and its creditors have agreed to the terms of the country’s third bailout program. Although some remain optimistic, the general consensus seems to be that, as Finnish Foreign Minister Timo Soini said over the weekend, "we should just admit that this isn't going to work."
China's Historic Devaluation Sends Equity Futures, Oil, Bond Yields Sliding, Gold Spikes
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/11/2015 05:48 -0500- Aussie
- Bank of England
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Bond
- Carry Trade
- Central Banks
- China
- Copper
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Daimler
- Equity Markets
- Federal Reserve
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Investor Sentiment
- Jim Reid
- Kraft
- M2
- NFIB
- Nikkei
- Precious Metals
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Wholesale Inventories
- Yuan
If yesterday it was the turn of the upside stop hunting algos to crush anyone who was even modestly bearishly positioned in what ended up being the biggest short squeeze of 2015, then today it is the downside trailing stops that are about to be taken out in what remains the most vicious rangebound market in years, in the aftermath of the Chinese currency devaluation which weakened the CNY reference rate against the USD by the most on record, in what some have said was an attempt by China to spark its flailing SDR inclusion chances, but what was really a long overdue reaction by an exporter country having pegged to the strongest currency in the world in the past year.
And The Biggest Beneficiary Of The Greek Crisis Is...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/10/2015 13:45 -0500"These savings exceed the costs of the crisis - even if Greece were to default on its entire debt. [That is] even if Greece doesn't pay back a single cent, the public purse has benefited financially from the crisis."
Key Events In The Coming Week
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/10/2015 08:27 -0500Following last week's economic data tempest, capped with the disappointing US nonfarm payrolls, which has provided virtually no clarity on just what the "(Dow Jones) data-driven" Fed will do in a world in which not only is the US economy rolling over, but China is imploding, commodity deflation is raging, and global stock markets are propped up by a handful of stocks, the coming week will be far less exciting (which is just how the Hamptons crowd wants it).
Chinese Stocks Soar On Terrible Economic Data; US Futures Levitate; Brent Drops To 6 Month Lows
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/10/2015 05:54 -0500- Barclays
- Bond
- China
- Consumer Sentiment
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Fail
- fixed
- Foreclosures
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Market Conditions
- Market Manipulation
- Michigan
- Morgan Stanley
- NASDAQ
- NFIB
- Nikkei
- Price Action
- Quantitative Easing
- RANSquawk
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Trade Balance
- Unemployment
- University Of Michigan
- Volatility
- Yen
- Yuan
Following last week's bad news for the economy (terrible ADP private payrolls, confirmed by a miss in the NFP) which also resulted in bad news for the market which suffered its worst week in years, many were focused on how the market would react to the latest battery of terrible economic news out of China which as we observed over the weekend reported abysmal trade data, and the worst plunge in Chinese factory prices in 6 years. We now know: the Shanghai Composite soared by 5%, rising to 3,928 and approaching the key 4000 level because the ongoing economic collapse led Pavlov's dog to believe that much more easing is coming from the country which as we showed last night has literally thrown the kitchen sink at stabilizing the plunge in stocks.
"They'll Blame Physical Gold Holders For The Failure Of Monetary Policies" Marc Faber Explains Everything
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/09/2015 18:00 -0500- Afghanistan
- Apple
- Auto Sales
- Bear Market
- Bond
- Brazil
- Central Banks
- China
- Copper
- CPI
- default
- Donald Trump
- Eastern Europe
- Fail
- Federal Reserve
- Fisher
- France
- Germany
- Global Economy
- Greece
- Hong Kong
- Housing Bubble
- India
- Iran
- Iraq
- Italy
- Japan
- Kondratieff Wave
- Krugman
- Marc Faber
- Middle East
- Mortgage Backed Securities
- Napoleon
- Neocons
- New Home Sales
- PIMCO
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- Puerto Rico
- Purchasing Power
- Real estate
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Roman Empire
- Saudi Arabia
- Saxo Bank
- Social Mood
- Sovereign Debt
- Swiss National Bank
- Switzerland
- The Economist
- Trade Balance
- Ukraine
- Yen
"The future is unknown and we are not dealing with markets that are free markets anymore...now we have government interventions everywhere. [But] in the last say twelve months, I have observed an increasing number of academics who are questioning monetary policies. That's why I think they will take the gold away and go back to some gold standard by revaluing the gold say from now $1000/oz to say $10,000 dollars. An individual should definitely own some physical gold. The bigger question is where should he store it? because... the failure of monetary policies will not be admitted by the professors that are at central banks, they will then go and blame someone else for it and then an easy target would be to blame it on people that own physical gold because - they can argue - well these are the ones that do take money out of circulation and then the velocity of money goes down - we have to take it away from them... That has happened in 1933 in the US."
"We Should Admit This Isn’t Going To Work": One Country's Grim Assessment Of Greece's Future
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/09/2015 12:58 -0500"If Greece collapsed and Grexit would be tomorrow’s reality, we would lose 3-4 billion euros more or less at once. So I hope that the EU and euro zone, that in due course, we can face the facts and say enough is enough and that we must do something else."
Ron Paul's Foreign Policy Of Peace Is Central To The Message Of Freedom
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/07/2015 20:15 -0500"It isn’t for nothing that again and again, countries abandoned the gold standard when they went to war. We rarely pause to consider what that tells us. If they needed to abandon the gold standard to go to war, that means the gold standard was a barrier against war. Of course, the ease with which governments could abandon the gold standard serves to remind us of the need to separate money and state altogether, and that the state cannot be trusted to maintain a sound money standard."


