Germany

One Simple Reason Why Gold Can Still Jump 50%

Stocks are very expensive. Bonds are insane. Bank rates are negative for many large investors. These trends are pretty clear - there will likely be more debt, more money printing, more capital controls, and more monetary insanity in the future...And if you understand them, the case for owning at least a small amount of gold is obvious.

Erdogan Threatens To Abandon US Dollar In Trade With Russia

According to Turkey's Gunes newspaper, which said that as part of the discussion between Putin and Erdogan on Tuesday, the Turkish president suggested to abandon the US dollar in bilateral trade between Turkey and Russia, and instead to transact directly in lira and rubles.

Islam's "Quiet Conquest" Of Europe

"Dear Europeans, continue to think about a shorter working week, early retirement, abortion on demand and adultery in the afternoon. With your laws, we will conquer you. With our laws, we will convert you...".

France Moves To De-Radicalize Its Mosques

France is taking steps to de-radicalize its mosques in the hopes of preventing the radicalization of its Muslim community. Since December, the French government, acting under expanded emergency powers, has shut down twenty mosques for preaching Salafism, a strict and highly politicized Sunni interpretation of Islam.

US Futures Flat; Bonds Rise, Dollar And Oil Slide Over US Productivity Collapse Fears

Following yesterday's muted action which saw the S&P500 close unchanged, it has been more of the same listless trading overnight, with US equity index futures little changed as the Nikkei fell on the back of a stronger Yen, while government bonds rose and European stocks reversed early gains following the BOE failed bond monetization operation. Crude oil dropped for a second day after Saudi Arabia told OPEC that it pumped a record 10.67 million barrels of oil a day,

Misunderstanding The Real Problem: An Updated Version Of The "Peak Oil" Story

The amount of oil (or for that matter, any other resource) isn’t a fixed amount. If the price can be made to rise to a very high level, the quantity that can be extracted will also tend to rise–in fact, by a rather large amount. The “catch” is that wages for the vast majority of workers don’t rise at the same time. As a result, goods made with high-priced oil soon become too expensive for workers to afford, and the economy falls into recession. The result is prices that fall below the cost of production. Thus, the limit on oil supply is not the amount of oil in the ground; instead, it is how high oil prices can rise, without causing serious recession.

Germany's Migrant Rape Crisis Spirals Out Of Control

Germany's migrant rape crisis has now spread to cities and towns in all 16 of Germany's federal states. Germany now finds itself in a vicious circle: most of the perpetrators are never found, and the few who are frequently receive lenient sentences; and suppression of data about migrant rapes is "Germany-wide phenomenon," according to André Schulz, the head of the Association of Criminal Police.

Frontrunning: August 9

  • Search for yield drives stocks higher, pound falls vs dollar (Reuters)
  • China's slowing wholesale deflation takes pressure off central bank (Reuters)
  • Rajan Holds India Rates in Final Move as Inflation Quickens (BBG)
  • Brent above $45 on U.S. inventories, producer action speculation (Reuters)
  • Republican national security experts: Trump would be 'dangerous' president (Reuters)

Preview Of Key Events In The Coming Week

The coming week brings multiple macro data releases for July, including inflation, trade data, retail sales, IP, credit and money supply. A relatively light US data calendar next week with retail sales the main release on Friday but also import and producer prices and Michigan sentiment coming up. Retail sales will be closely watched to assess consumer spending growth for 3Q.

S&P To Open At New Record High As Commodities Rise, China Trade Disappoints

The meltup continues with the S&P500 set to open at new all time highs as futures rise 0.2% overnight, with European, Asian stocks higher, as job data pushed MSCI Asia Pacific Index towards highest close since Aug. 2015. Germany, U.K. economic data seen positive, with dollar, oil rising, and gold declining. The MSCI All-Country World Index rose 0.4% and was headed for its highest close in almost a year.