Gundlach

Gross Echoes Gundlach, Says Trump Rally Is Misguided: "Move To Cash"

On the heels of Jeff Gundlach's "there's going to be a buyer's remorse period" warnings yesterday, the other 'bond king' has raised similar fears that the Trump rally is overdone (as are the prospects for growth behind it). Putting aside the book-talking as their bond portfolios suffer, Gross echoes Gundlach's "Trump's not the wizard of oz" comments, noting that the next president faces serious structural headwinds and warns investors "should move to cash," as any fiscal stimulus gains will be temporary at best.

3 Things: Exuberance, Small Caps, & 6% Realities

"...there is a long way to go between President-elect taking office, drafting bills and getting them passed. There is even a further period of time before any actions actually passed by the Trump administration actually create perceivable effects within the broader economy. In the meantime, there are many concerns, from a technical perspective, that must be recognized within the current market environment."

Druckenmiller Joins Gundlach In Predicting 6% Yields; Expects Market Correction As Rates Rise

Stanley Druckenmiller spoke at the Robin Hood Investors Conference today where repeated he is bullish on the American economy following Trump's victory, anticipates a much stronger dollar and higher bond yields. Notably, he joined Gundlach in predicting 10Y yields would rise to 6% over the next year or two, a process which would lead to an equity market selloff.

"What If Market Consensus Is Wrong" - A Hedge Fund Ponders The Alternative

"What if consensus is wrong: what if rates are rising due to the end of Quantitative Easing and not because of reflation/escape velocity on growth? Rates then rise without growth, perhaps even without much inflation. Indeed, rates started rising back in August, on momentous shifts in policy by BoJ (forced by capacity constraints and collateral damage). Such scenario is not good for equities, contrary to what currently believed by markets."

"Everything Is Not Awesome" - Don't Be The Turkey

"Things have not suddenly become awesome over the course of the past week... It is very easy to be sucked into the gushingly positive narratives and often unsupported narratives put forth by the financial media. This is particularly true when the move in asset prices can make minutes seem like days and hours seem like months. Excessive market valuations, weak internal measures, and a deteriorating backdrop has historically been a “wicked brew” for investor outcomes."

Gundlach: "We Got The Bearish Signal; Stocks Are Going Down - You Can Feel It"

"We got the bearish signal," Gundlach said about the S&P 500 dropping below 2,130 on Monday. "It is more noteworthy and reinforces the bear signal that the market is down a lot today. The dam is breaking, you can feel it." Gundlach expected another 5-10% drop in the S&P 500, which closed at 2,111.72 on Tuesday.