Howard Marks

The Rise Of Robots & The Risk To Passive

"...things like “Robo-advisors” and “ETF herding” are symptomatic of a lengthy bull market advance where the pain of previous losses has finally been erased... but when the 'robot trading algorithms' begin to reverse, it will not be a slow and methodical process but rather a stampede with little regard to price, valuation or fundamental measures as the exit will become very narrow."

5 Universal Laws Of Human (Investment) Stupidity

In 1976, a professor of economic history at the University of California, Berkeley published an essay outlining the fundamental laws of a force he perceived as humanity’s greatest existential threat: Stupidity.

Scientific Proof ETFs Make Markets Dumber

"Our evidence suggests the growth of ETFs may have (unintended) long-run consequences for the pricing efficiency of the underlying securities."

Which Hedge Funds Are The Biggest Holders Of ETFs

Despite complaints by hedge funds that ETFs are eating their lunch (and dinner), an interesting observation emerged in a new reported from Deutsche Bank: Hedge Funds are allocating increasingly more capital toward ETFs. This post shows why, and who are the 20 hedge funds with the highest ETF investments.

Howard Marks Redux: "There They Go Again" - Why Stock Investors Develop Amnesia

"Contributing to... euphoria... is the extreme brevity of the financial memory... There can be few fields of human endeavor in which history counts for so little as in the world of finance. Past experience, to the extent that it is part of memory at all, is dismissed as the primitive refuge of those who do not have the insight to appreciate the incredible wonders of the present."

Deep Thoughts From Howard Marks

"When things are going well people become greedy and enthusiastic, and when times are troubled, people become fearful and reticent. That’s just the wrong thing to do. It’s important to control fear and greed... Too little skepticism and too much eagerness in an up-market – just like too much resistance and pessimism in a down-market – can be very bad for investment results."

Howard Marks: "So Much For The Experts"

"The opinions of experts concerning the future are accorded great weight . . . but they’re still just opinions. While I take a dim view of forecasts, and especially of opinions presented as facts, I do believe there are such things as facts.  Unfortunately, however, the concept of 'facts' is among the casualties of the increasingly partisan environment.  Recently we have seen both the elevation in status of 'non-facts', as well as the tearing down of 'real facts'."