I would rather Bloomberg provide some market insight given their vast resources by reporting on how much Oil Iran is actually able to bring to market versus the rhetoric.
- Saudi Arabia Will Only Freeze Oil Production If Iran Joins (BBG)
- Japanese gloom ensures slow start to quarter for world stocks (Reuters)
- Saudi Arabia Plans $2 Trillion Megafund for Post-Oil Era (BBG)
- Prices Sag in Warning to ECB Even as Manufacturing Picks Up (BBG)
- China factories scent hint of spring, Europe still chilly (Reuters)
- Theranos Devices Often Failed Accuracy Requirements (WSJ)
For Japan, the post "Shanghai Summit" world is turning ugly, fast, because as a result of the sliding dollar, a key demand of China which has been delighted by the recent dovish words and actions of Janet Yellen, both Japan's and Europe's stock markets have been sacrificed at the whims of their suddenly soaring currencies. Which is why when Japanese stocks tumbled the most in 7 weeks, sinking 3.5%, to a one month low of 16,164 (after the Yen continued strengthening and the Tankan confidence index plunged to a 3 year low) it was anything but an April fool's joke to both local traders.
And so the great "oil production freeze" rumor, which helped halt oil's plunge after it hit a 13 year low in early February and forced a 50% short squeeze higher,has died after Bloomberg released an interview with Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, in which when asked if Iran needs to join freeze, he said: "without a doubt. If all countries including Iran, Russia, Venezuela, OPEC countries and all main producers decide to freeze production, we will be among them."
"We’re going to war — either hybrid in nature to break the Russian state back to its 1990s subordination, or a hot war (which will destroy our country). Our citizens should know this, but they don’t because our media is dumbed down in its “Pravda”-like support for our “respectable,” highly aggressive government."
- Roller-coaster first quarter ends with shares, dollar under pressure (Reuters)
- Oil prices slide as U.S. crude stocks hit record (Reuters)
- GE Files to End Fed Oversight After Shrinking GE Capital (WSJ)
- FDA Eases Rules for Abortion Pill, Making Access Simpler (BBG)
- Kremlin denies report of Russia-U.S. deal on Assad's future (Reuters)
- Thirst for Gasoline Fuels Oil Rally (WSJ)
- Landlords in last-minute rush to beat stamp duty rises (BBG)
On the last day of an extremely volatile first quarter, following the latest torrid push higher in risk assets over the past two days following Yellen's dovish Tuesday comments, today has seen a modest pull back in risk, whether because the market is massively overbought, because someone finally looked at what record multiple expansion that has taken place in Q1 as earnings are set to collapse by nearly 10%, or simply due to fears that tomorrow's payrolls number will show an abnormal amount of minimum wage waiters and bartenders added.
Will We Learn History ... Or Repeat It?
Lars Schall explores the time-honored tradition of following the money in an attempt to discover answers to yet unresolved questions regarding the terrorist attacks of 9/11 in New York City. Mr. Schall is an independent investigative journalist that has produced many hard-hitting pieces regarding Central Bankers' manipulation of gold prices, and the failure of the US Central Bank (The Federal Reserve) to return all of Germany's gold reserves in the past.
Surprise! The global oil industry is corrupt. As Huff Post reports: "A massive leak of confidential documents has for the first time exposed the true extent of corruption within the oil industry, implicating dozens of leading companies, bureaucrats and politicians in a sophisticated global web of bribery and graft. After a six-month investigation across two continents, Fairfax Media and The Huffington Post can reveal that billions of dollars of government contracts were awarded as the direct result of bribes paid on behalf of firms including British icon Rolls-Royce, US giant Halliburton, Australia’s Leighton Holdings and Korean heavyweights Samsung and Hyundai."
Iran's Future Is In Missiles, Not Dialogue, And Anyone Who Says Otherwise Is "Ignorant Traitor": AyatollahSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 03/30/2016 13:30 -0400
The US and its Mid-East allies are furious at Iran for a series of ballistic missile tests that Washington thinks may well violate a UN Security Council resolution. And while some Iranian politicians are prepared to take a conciliatory stance, the IRGC and the Ayatollah are having none of it.
- Bad News Is Great News: Cautious Yellen drives world stocks near 2016 peaks (Reuters)
- Yellen Spurs Global Stock Rally as Oil Rebounds, Dollar Tumbles (BBG)
- Trump drops pledge to back Republican presidential nominee other than himself (Reuters)
- Second judge says Clinton email setup may have been in 'bad faith' (Reuters)
- Brussels Airport Remains Shut as Police Hunt Third Attacker (BBG)
The stakes are rapidly rising in Doha given another supposed ‘freeze’ announcement would actually be read as outright OPEC / Russia failure without clear signals the market will see actual cuts. Doha doesn’t make for a quick kill. It merely prolongs the agony far deeper and far longer. Perhaps for some, that’s the redemptive point from US redetermination...
Props to Saudi Arabia. Unlike other producers, including U.S. shale producers, it maintained financial strength and flexibility during the last boom. When it began to shift the paradigm of global supply, the kingdom was explicit about its goal - market share - even if it didn’t always trumpet the proactive steps it was taking towards that goal. The now-evident objective of low prices, having been achieved and sustained, begs the question of why Saudi Arabia defended its market share.
"Key commodities markets such as oil and copper already face overhangs of excess production capacity and inventories, but also now face another obstacle in the recovery process, that of positioning which is now approaching bullish extremes. The risk for commodities is that investors seek to liquidate long positions quickly and in unison, with potentially highly negative consequences for prices." Look out below...