Japan

IMF Warns Brexit "Uncertainty" Means "Even Lower Growth" For UK, EU

“Brexit has created significant uncertainty and we believe this is likely to dampen growth in the near term, particularly in the U.K. but with repercussions also for Europe and the global economy. Prolonged periods of uncertainty and associated declines in consumer and business confidence would mean even lower growth”

Yuan Tumbles, Stabilizes After Reuters Report China Willing To Weaken Currency To 6.80

The biggest macro event overnight was a report out of Reuters that China's central bank is willing to let the yuan fall to 6.8 per dollar in 2016 to support the economy, which would mean the currency matching last year's record decline of 4.5 percent. The report promptly sent the offshore yuan tumbling, sliding much as 0.72% to 6.7021 per dollar, the lowest since January 11, however it promptly recovered losses following significant PBOC intervention in the open market.

Day 3 Of Global Post-Brexit Rally: European Stocks, US Futures At Session Highs

Day three of the post-Brexit rally continues, and after some initial weakness due to concerns about Chinese currency devaluation, both European stock and US equity futures were trading at session highs, facilitated by yesterday's stress test results which saw dozens of US banks unleash a tsunami of stock buyback announcement which in turn pushed S&P futures to new post-Brexit highs.

BofA: To Save Markets Central Banks Just Made Inequality And Populism Even Worse

"Today’s extraordinary monetary policy backdrop is likely adding to voter angst and exacerbating the theme of rising wealth inequality, rather than reducing it.  The irony of recent events is that the combination of risk-off sentiment and expectations of further central bank support has caused another surge in negative yielding debt…which will only compound the issues of wealth inequality and populism."

- Bank of America

Global Stock Surge Continues As "Investors Look To Central Banks For Support"

Why the ongoing rally? A squeeze, sure, and also month-end fund flows. But the fundamental driver remains one and the same, and we quote Bloomberg: "the relief rally endures as Asian and European stocks rally with crude oil amid speculation policy makers will use stimulus to blunt the impact of the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union, including a pause in the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. Investors are looking to policy makers for support."

WTF Chart Of The Day: When Central Planning Fails

Things have not been going according to plan for Kuroda-san and his policy-making 'Peter-Pan's in Japan. Since The Bank of Japan unleashed NIRP on its 'saving' community - which, according to the textbooks would force money to reach for riskier investments, pumping stocks up, or flush cash into inflationary consumption - stock prices have collapsed and bond prices have exploded... In fact, in six months, bonds are outperforming stocks by a central-bank-credibility-crushing 70%!!!

What Is The Source Of Today's Buying Panic: RBC Explains

"For what it’s worth, the buying in high risk periphery and banks is not “real money” nor is it on any real volume (which thus smells of short covering), while most of our real buying is a downshift in risk-profile from long onlys who have to be invested and are loading the boat in obvious sectors like utilities today." - RBC

This Is What Draghi Said To Spark Speculation Of Another Global Central Bank Bailout

The head of the ECB avoided mentioning the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union but instead called for greater alignment of policies globally to mitigate the spillover risks from ultra-loose monetary measures.  “We can benefit from alignment of policies,” Draghi said at the ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal. “What I mean by alignment is a shared diagnosis of the root causes of the challenges that affect us all; and a shared commitment to found our domestic policies on that diagnosis."

The "Synergies" Arrive: Dow Fires 2,500

Today, less than a month after Dow completed its transaction with Corning, the "synergies" which we previewed last December have begun. Moments ago Dow announced that cost-synergies would be achieved through a global RIF, or reduction in force (another of Wall Street's favorite acronyms) of approximately 2,500 jobs, or 4% of the workforce.

Frontrunning: June 28

  • Brexit vote, UK political confusion keep world markets on edge (Reuters)
  • Cameron Heads to Last Supper in Brussels Amid Impasse in London (BBG)
  • Banks Get Reprieve From Brexit Hammering (WSJ)
  • U.S. Stock Futures Rise as Stimulus Hopes Outweigh Brexit Fears (BBG)
  • Brexit adds to existing troubles faced by banks (FT)