Japan

Correcting Some Misconceptions About A New Secular Bull Market

...the reality is that the current underlying demographic trends, economic realities, and market fundamentals do not provide the base to support current price levels much less the entrance into a secular bull market akin to that of the 80’s and 90’s.

Trump Or No Trump - Why The Next 8 Years Will Be The Worst Economic Period In US History

Regardless who was chosen as president for the next two terms, 80% of the population growth in the US will come from 65+yr/olds. This is the inverse from Bill Clinton's presidency which was the benefactor of the strongest demographic and population changes. The Fed has been dropping rates ever since to incentivize the decelerating growth among the young to spend more... but the population growth to consume(r) our way out of this debt bubble is never coming.

China's President Calls Trump, Tells Him "Cooperation Is The Only Choice"

China's President Xi Jinping called Donald Trump and told him that cooperation was the only choice for relations between the world's two largest economies, with Trump saying the two had established a "clear sense of mutual respect". "The facts prove that cooperation is the only correct choice for China and the United States," China Central Television (CCTV) cited Xi as saying.

"A Barrage Of Fed Speakers": The Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

As markets continue to digest the implications of the US election outcome, there is a host of data and Central Bank communication adding to the running narrative with Fed speakers appearing on every single day of the week. In addition to barrage of daily Fed speakers, including Chair Yellen, we get US inflation data, retail sales, housing data, empire manufacturing, industrial production and the Philly Fed.

Markets In Turmoil: Global Bond Bloodbath, Currency Rout Accelerates As Stocks Erase Early Gains

Monday started off where Friday left off, with the dollar surge continuing, pushing the DXY above 100 for the first time since December, global bond yields soaring, emerging market currencies tumbling, and the Yuan slammed below 6.85 for the first time. However, where Monday is different is that while European stocks and US index futures started off far higher, E-minis have now faded the entire overnight rally and are now red for the session, on concerns that the spike in yields will cap any more stock upside.

"Markets Are Grasping At Trump's Answer To The New Normal"

"Monetary policy is no longer what’s driving these moves. Increasingly, central banks see themselves in a defensive role, reacting rather than dictating trends. The greenback’s rally is already forcing Asian and Latin American central banks to protect their currencies. More such moves may be in the offing if dollar gains continue....  But for now, after growing weary of monetary-led slow growth, markets are grasping at Trump’s answer to the New Normal."

"The Economic Peace Is Over" - Get Ready, Change Is Upon Us

"The political upheaval of Donald Trump is best understood through the lens of economic erosion suffered by the vast majority of people. If a democracy is measured in how well it serves the interests of the majority, the United States is not a democracy at all. Of course, nearly everyone already knows this. But it's been all but unspeakable in polite circles to say so. Now, it is finally becoming okay to voice."

Deutsche Warns Of Imminent "Domino Impact" For Stocks From Bond Carnage, Soaring Dollar

Sharp turn taken by commodities, after U.S. bond market “took down” EM assets Thursday, will add to EM pain, Deutsche Bank strategist Alan Ruskin writes. There’s signs that higher bond yields, “knock” of stronger USD are having a “domino impact,” taking down weakest risky assets first before moving on to next weakest.

Massive Sinkhole Swallows Entire Intersection In Japan

A gigantic sinkhole has opened up in the Japanese city of Fukuoka, swallowing an entire intersection of a 4-lane highway.  The sinkhole opened up as crews were working underground nearby to extend a subway tunnel which is believed to have triggered the collapse.

GMO's Grantham Warns Of "Dismal Consequences" For Investors In A World Where Bubbles Don't Burst

"The market is unlikely to go “bang” in the way those bubbles did. It is far more likely that the mean reversion will be slow and incomplete. The consequences are dismal for investors: we are likely to limp into the setting sun with very low returns. For bubble historians, though, it is heartbreaking for there will be no histrionics, no chance of being a real hero. Not this time."

We're All Hedge Funds Now - Central Banks Become World's Biggest Stock Speculators

There seems to be a growing assumption that the elites have finally figured out how to turn a capitalist system into a perpetual motion machine by having central banks buy up all financial assets. This is classic “peak of the cycle” thinking, and the more widespread it becomes the closer the system is to breaking down.