Japan

Global Stocks Sharply Lower As Bond Yields Hit New Record Lows; Oil Slides Below $50

Global stocks, U.S. index futures are sharply lower pressured by fears of another day of record low bond yields, as investors start to worry about numerous risk catalysts in the coming weeks, from the Brexit vote to Fed meeting. The Dollar spot index rose for the second day in a row, pushing commodities lower for their first two-day decline since May 24, while WTI has dipped back under $50.

Free Speech Under Attack

Speech is either free or it isn’t. One cannot have it both ways, as the EU apparatchiks apparently think. As soon as restrictions on free speech are introduced, abuse is sure to follow.

"Deliberately Overblown" Brexit Fears Backfire

As the June 23rd BREXIT (the UK-wide referendum to leave the EU) vote draws near, the polls indicate a close result. Those urging a vote for the UK to remain inside the EU are suggesting increasingly dire economic consequences that would follow a yes vote by the British people to leave. Voices from London, Brussels, and Washington have all put immense pressure on British voters to bend to the will of the elites. To listen to their commentary one would think that apocalypse was just around the corner. But is there any substance to their warnings?

The Pentagon's Great Wall Of Impotence

No one ever lost money betting on the Pentagon refraining from exceptionalist rhetoric. As expressed by neocon Carter, Pentagon rhetoric – faithful to its own estimation of China as the second biggest “existential threat” to the US (Russia is first) – revolves around the same themes; US military might and superiority is bound to last forever; we are the “main underwriter of Asian security” for, well, forever; and China better behave in the South China Sea – or else.  So here’s an instant translation: we do a NATO in Asia; we control it; you will answer to us; and then we encircle you – and Russia – for good.

A Day In The Life Of Several Hundred Laid Off Nomura Traders

They made their way in dribs and drabs. Hundreds of displaced bankers, shuffling up Suffolk Lane to All Bar One and along Upper Thames Street toward the Folly, the only pubs in the City of London open that early on an overcast Tuesday morning. One group of traders was threatened with dismissal after being caught on closed-circuit TV stealing candy from a vending machine. The shell-shocked men and women sipping pints and consoling each other had become part of a growing population. Faced with a toxic blend of zero-interest rates, stiffer capital requirements and a collapse in trading revenue, banks have announced large cuts to their European operations in recent months.

 

Peak Youth

The world will experience "peak youth" in 2020 for the first time in human history, as the number of people aged over 65 is expected to outnumber those under 5 years old.

New Tensions Erupt In The East China Sea, This Time With A Russian Twist

While China regularly sends nonmilitary patrol vessels to the area, this was the first time a Chinese warship was spotted. Japan's Vice Foreign Minister Akitaka Saiki summoned the Chinese ambassador in Tokyo around 2 a.m. to express serious concern over the matter - "China's actions unilaterally escalate tensions in the area, and we are seriously concerned." The warship, a frigate, was spotted less than 24 nautical miles from the uninhabited island chain. In an interesting twist, Japan said two Russian vessels were also spotted in the islands contiguous zone around the same time.

Yes, There Are Safe Havens (If You Want Them)

What we have now is pedal to the metal front-running of central banks and the nagging fear that when the fun ends there won’t be a bid anyway, so why bother being prudent.

Pity Poor China: There's No Easy Fix To The S-Curve

This decline is inevitable in fast-expanding economies that depended on export growth and investment booms. Everything that worked so well for 30 years is only making the economy more precarious.

Frontrunning: June 9

  • European Bond Yields Hit Record Lows as Stocks Tumble (WSJ)
  • Oil prices soften on profit taking after hitting 2016 highs (Reuters)
  • Wooing Sanders supporters will be tough task for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Clinton ally Warren weighs potential VP role, sees hurdles (Reuters)
  • Rise of the Machines Fueled by Higher Asia Manufacturing Wages (WSJ)

Futures Slide On Rising Dollar As Global Bond Yields Hit Fresh Record Lows

Please do not adjust your screens: that off-green color you are seeing, that is not a malfunction. Yes, for the first time in six days, global stocks are lower with the MSCI all-country world index dipping from a 6 month high dragged down by lower European and Japanese equity markets, as the USDJPY dropped to a fresh five-week low while Treasury yields continued to hit new record lows because, as Bloomberg explains, "traders assessed the outlook for the global economy."

NIRP Goes Political For Japan's Abe As Opposition Party Demands "Withdrawal Of Negative Interest Rates"

It's taken roughly five months, but in addition to having skeptics within the BoJ, NIRP has now encountered political opposition... "The Democratic Party wants to call for the withdrawal of negative interest rates. Negative interest rates shift the burden onto savers. They cause unease among smaller companies because they make financial institutions unwilling to loan, or prompt them to call loans in early."

Deutsche Bank's Shocking ECB Rant: Warns Of Social Unrest And Another Great Depression

"In the 1920s the Reichsbank thought it could have 2,000 printing presses running day and night to finance government spending without creating inflation. Around the same time the Federal Reserve allowed more than a third of US deposits to be destroyed via bank failures, in the belief that banking crises where self-correcting. The Great Depression followed.... Today the behaviour of the European Central Bank suggests that it too has gone awry."