Japan

10 Straight Weeks Of Equity Inflows As All The New Money Goes To ETFs

The flood of retail money into the global stocks showed no sign of relenting in the latest week, after investors around the globe pumped money into stocks for the tenth straight week, according to EPFR data cited by BofA, which showed some $11.8 billion in equity inflows, however in continued disappointment for active asset managers, over $15 billion of was allocated to ETFs, while mutual funds saw another outflow of $3.6 billion.

S&P Futures, Global Stocks Jump Ahead Of US Payrolls As Global Bond Rout Continues

European and Asian shares rise along with a jump in S&P futures which are pointing to a solidly green open on US payrolls day. The dollar, trading somewhat weaker against the euro was stronger against the yen, and was on track for its firth week of gains, while the rout in global Treasuries continued following a Mario Draghi conference that was interpreted as more hawkish than expected.

China As A Superpower: "They Will Not Be Humiliated Again"

"if China seeks to be a great power in a multipolar world... then China needs to seek a significantly reduced role of the United States in the region. If you accept these propositions, then China clearly needs the capability to counterbalance America’s military dominance in Asia today. After the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait crises, they concluded that they needed certain capabilities to ensure that they are not humiliated again."

It's 1994 Again: Why Albert Edwards Expects An Imminent "Bond Market Bloodbath"

"Accelerated Fed rate hikes will cause tremors in the Treasury bond markets, forcing rates up, most especially in the 2 year – just like 1994. But as yet another central bank-inspired global recession unfolds, I  believe US 10y bond yields will ultimately converge with Japanese and European yields well below zero"

Crude Plunges Below $49, Dragging Markets Lower; All Eyes On Draghi

While trader attention will soon be focused on the ECB and any potential tightening hints from the central bank, a more pressing development as US traders walk in today, will be ongoing collapse in WTI, which after crashing 5.5% yesterday, has tumbled more than 2% this morning, sliding not only below $50 for the first time since December 1, but also dropped under $49, as a near record number of net long spec positions suddenly rushes to unwind their exposure.

Frontrunning: March 8

  • GOP Disagrees on How—and Whether—to Pay for Tax Cuts (WSJ)
  • 'It's like kumbaya:' Trump's genial private meetings with CEOs jar with public attacks (Reuters)
  • New Health Plan Sparks Debate Over Obamacare Comparisons (WSJ)
  • China Grants Preliminary Approval to 38 New Trump Trademarks (BBG)
  • Questions About Loyalty to Trump Stall Treasury Picks (BBG)
  • Women in U.S. plan to stay off the job, rally in anti-Trump protests (Reuters)

Stocks Mixed As Treasuries Suffer Longest Losing Streak Since 2012, Dollar Pops Ahead Of ADP

Asian markets dropped following disappointing China trade and Japan GDP data, while European stocks rebounded for the first time in five sessions led by miners and banks. US futures were little changed with a strong dollar pressuring oil below $53; sterling slid for the eighth day out of nine before the chancellor of the exchequer delivers his spring budget. Treasuries are headed for their longest losing streak since 2012 ahead of a 10Y U.S. debt auction, and today's ADP private payrolls report.

The Beginning Of The End Of Calm Bond Markets

Although the market is convinced the Federal Reserve will get aggressive with their rate hikes, I am not sure market participants have thought this through. Let’s not forget the Federal Reserve is sitting on the largest balance sheet in history.