KKR

Global Markets Rebound To End Volatile Week, As Trump Rout Fades

Two days after the biggest rout in US stocks in 8 months, and one day after Brazil's stock market was halted due to a circuit breaker, wiping out out 8.8% of its market cap, traders are eager to put it all in the rearview mirror and in a quiet session on the last day of the week, S&P futures are set for a green open, up 0.2%, in line with Asian and European markets, all looking to close the week on a positive note.

Crushed Vol Boosts Dollar, Commodities; Futures Flat

Asian stocks declined, while European stocks rose to the highest since 2015, led by a rebound in commodities and basic resource stocks. U.S. stock-index futures were little changed at 2,395 - just shy of all time highs - as investors focused on corporate earnings after the French election, while the VIX hovered near its lowest level since 1993.

Macron Victory Leads To "Risk Macr-Off" In Europe, Poor China Trade Data Doesn't Help

It was supposed to be Risk Macr-ON after Emmanuel Macron's avalanche victory in Sunday's French presidential elections; instead as some banks cautioned and as we showed early in the overnight session, the market reaction has been the opposite with the victory fully priced in and especially in the European currencies and stocks, as well as S&P futures, we have seen a modest episode of Risk Macr-Off.

Frontrunning: May 3

  • Fed Rate Rise Unlikely, but Possible June Move in Focus (WSJ)
  • GOP Health-Bill Woes Signal Centrists’ Rise (WSJ)
  • As U.S. and China find common ground on North Korea, is Russia the wild card? (Reuters)
  • North Korea says American was detained for 'attempted subversion' (Reuters)
  • SEC Probes Solar Companies Over Customer Cancellations (WSJ)
  • Slumping Car Sales Are Latest Data to Rattle Bets on Growth (WSJ)

Frontrunning: April 20

  • White House to risk shutdown as Trump searches for “win” (Politico)
  • Saudi Minister Wants OPEC Oil-Production Deal Extended, Perhaps for Less Than 6 Months (WSJ)
  • Russia denies Reuters report think tank drew up plan to sway U.S. election (Reuters)
  • Fed's Kaplan: Three rate rises this year 'still a good baseline' (Reuters)
  • Ex-Arconic CEO Sent Vague Threat to Hedge-Fund Boss (WSJ)

Frontrunning: April 19

  • As Trump warned N. Korea, 'armada' headed to Australia (Reuters)
  • Threat of Carrier Heading to Koreas Wasn’t All It Seemed (WSJ)
  • Markets Start to Ponder the $13 Trillion Asset Gorilla in the Room (BBG)
  • Investors’ Nightmare Scenario Takes Shape in French Election (WSJ)
  • Venezuelan opposition to hold 'mother of all marches' against Maduro (Reuters)

Median LBO Multiple Rises To 10.8x, Highest Since The Financial Crisis

According to a new report by PitchBook, after reaching new highs in 2016, acquisition multiples inched even higher in the first quarter of this year, and as a result the median EV/EBITDA multiple hit 10.8x in 1Q 2017, up from 10.7x last year. That was the highest median multiple paid since the financial crisis.

Frontrunning: March 6

  • Geopolitics, Deutsche Bank drag global stocks lower (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Turnaround Plan Gets Mixed Reaction (BBG)
  • Conservative Groups Jeopardize GOP Plan to Repeal Health Law (WSJ)
  • Russian Hackers Seek Hush Money From Liberal U.S. Groups (BBG)
  • Automakers Near a Victory on Rollback of Fuel Standards (NYT)
  • Brought Down by Long Bust, Texas Oilmen Pray for Another Boom (WSJ)

US Futures, European Stocks Rise Despite HSBC Plunge; Dollar, Oil Jump

European stocks rose again with S&P futures higher, while Asian stocks were mixed. The dollar rose jumped on hawkish comments by Philly Fed's Harker, oil rose following optimistic OPEC comments, while gold dropped. Markets have largely ignored results by financial heavyweight HSBC, which posted its largest fall since mid-2015 after reporting a 62% plunge in pretax profit.

S&P Futures, European Stocks Bounce As Dollar Rises Most In Two Weeks; Gold, Yen Slide

The dollar rebounded from a key support level, strengthening against all major peers, pushing S&P futures higher as European shares rose, led by basic resources and real estate, while Asian stocks fall. Gold fell from its highest level since November as demand for some haven assets ebbed while global bonds declined. Oil dipped, pressured by a stronger dollar.

Global Stocks Rise, Dow Flirts With 20,000 As London Reopens; Oil In Longest Winning Streak In 7 Years

Global markets continued their levitation with the UK returning from vacation, pushing the MSCI Asia Pacific Index higher for the first time in seven days, while oil headed for the longest winning streak in almost seven years ahead of the promised OPEC production cut which is set to begin in just days. The USDJPY rose for a second day, pushing US equity futures higher and the DJIA is once again teasing with the 20,000 mark.