KKR

Frontrunning: March 6

  • Geopolitics, Deutsche Bank drag global stocks lower (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Turnaround Plan Gets Mixed Reaction (BBG)
  • Conservative Groups Jeopardize GOP Plan to Repeal Health Law (WSJ)
  • Russian Hackers Seek Hush Money From Liberal U.S. Groups (BBG)
  • Automakers Near a Victory on Rollback of Fuel Standards (NYT)
  • Brought Down by Long Bust, Texas Oilmen Pray for Another Boom (WSJ)

US Futures, European Stocks Rise Despite HSBC Plunge; Dollar, Oil Jump

European stocks rose again with S&P futures higher, while Asian stocks were mixed. The dollar rose jumped on hawkish comments by Philly Fed's Harker, oil rose following optimistic OPEC comments, while gold dropped. Markets have largely ignored results by financial heavyweight HSBC, which posted its largest fall since mid-2015 after reporting a 62% plunge in pretax profit.

S&P Futures, European Stocks Bounce As Dollar Rises Most In Two Weeks; Gold, Yen Slide

The dollar rebounded from a key support level, strengthening against all major peers, pushing S&P futures higher as European shares rose, led by basic resources and real estate, while Asian stocks fall. Gold fell from its highest level since November as demand for some haven assets ebbed while global bonds declined. Oil dipped, pressured by a stronger dollar.

Global Stocks Rise, Dow Flirts With 20,000 As London Reopens; Oil In Longest Winning Streak In 7 Years

Global markets continued their levitation with the UK returning from vacation, pushing the MSCI Asia Pacific Index higher for the first time in seven days, while oil headed for the longest winning streak in almost seven years ahead of the promised OPEC production cut which is set to begin in just days. The USDJPY rose for a second day, pushing US equity futures higher and the DJIA is once again teasing with the 20,000 mark.

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Germany's NordLB Bank: "40% Of Our Shipping Loan Book Is Non-Performing"

Germany's second-largest shipping lender, German Landersbank NordLB warned it was facing a loss of “more than €1bn” this year, as a result of the latest shoring up of reserves against losses on its portfolio of shipping loans, and that a whopping €8 billion, or 40%, of its shipping loan book was now non-performing.

Everything Is Soaring As Trump Makes Buying Stuff Great Again

The global repricing of inflation expectations continues at a feverish pace in the aftermath of the Trump victory, leading to another surge in US equity futures, up 15 points or 0.7% to 2175 at last check, with Asian and European stock market all surging after the initial shock of Trump’s election victory gave way to optimism for fiscal stimulus will provide a boost to the global economy.  Commodity metals soared with copper surging the most since May 2013.

Frontrunning: October 31

  • FBI in Internal Feud Over Clinton Probe (WSJ)
  • As Clinton struggles, Trump tries to raise doubts (Reuters)
  • Dollar shakes off Clinton FBI scare, global stocks stay spooked (Reuters)
  • Mark Carney stands ready to serve 8-year term at Bank of England (FT)
  • Clinton Team Questions FBI Director’s Motive (WSJ)
  • OPEC Splits Prevent Deal With Other Producers to Curb Supply (BBG)

KKR Calls The Top: PE Giant Selling Distressed Debt It Bought Earlier This Year

“We are in a very significant monetization cycle, particularly in more of the distressed investments that we made,” said Nat Zilkha, who oversees the 40-year-old firm’s credit investments, adding that “we got involved in some situations in energy and coal and other commodities earlier in the year, and those have played out quite well -- frankly faster than we thought.”

Bank of America "Thinks The Unthinkable"

"The unthinkable: BB yields about to become negative. Such has been Draghi’s influence across the whole credit market that we are close to seeing our first negative yielding BB-rated bond. But if debt costs for speculative grade companies become “inverted”, then the economics of LBOs will be transformed, and the quality of the assets they are buying will become secondary. We see a growing risk that another private equity cycle emerges in Europe."

FBI Probes Firm Belonging To Brother Of Clinton Campaign Chair For Ukraine Corruption Ties

While much of the media focus over the past week has been on the potential corruption scandal involving Ukraine's former president and Donald Trump's now former advisor, Paul Manafort, perhaps it is time for it to shift attention to the Podesta Group, the lobbying firm which belongs to Tony Podesta, the brother of Hillary Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta

Global Stocks Rise, US Futures Near All Time Highs As Flood Into Emerging Markets Continues

European shares advanced, with gains in automakers  helping Germany’s benchmark DAX Index turn positive for the year for the first time. Stocks rose around the world, led by emerging-markets, as oil climbed further after its best week since April and traders pushed back bets on higher U.S. interest rates. S&P futures advance and Asian stocks little changed as rising oil prices bolstered investor sentiment.

Teachers Unions Vs Hedge Funds: The Battle Over Billions

Randi Weingarten is the president of the American Federation of Teachers, and is a name Wall Street is beginning to know quite well. Since the beginnging of her reign in 2013, having sifted through the personal charitable donations of hedge fund managers, focusing on those who want to end defined benefit pensions, and entities backing charter schools and the overhauling of public schools, she implemented a 'suggestion' to Teachers' pension fund adminstrators that if asset managers don't support unions, the unions won't invest with the funds. Some hedge fund managers - with exceptional return records - did not take kindly to her 'influence'.

Global Stocks Soar, Pound Surges Most Since 2008 As Brexit Odds Tumble

Global equities rallied and the pound strengthened the most since 2008, soaring by 300 pips since the Friday close as polls signaled the campaign for the U.K to stay in the European Union was gaining momentum. Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index surged by the most since February as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced with S&P 500 futures.  Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped.