Las Vegas
The Investing World In 10 Objects
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/23/2014 12:18 -0500- Apple
- Ben Bernanke
- Ben Bernanke
- Bond
- Brazil
- Capital Markets
- China
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Federal Reserve
- Florida
- Germany
- Great Depression
- headlines
- Housing Bubble
- Hyperinflation
- Janet Yellen
- Las Vegas
- Monetary Policy
- New York City
- New York Times
- Quantitative Easing
- Real estate
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Reserve Currency
- Rolex
- Treasury Department
- Ukraine
- Unemployment
- Yuan
What do an old German bank note, a current $100 bill, and an apple all have in common? The answer, according to ConvergEx's Nick Colas, is that these simple objects can tell us much about the current investment scene, ranging from Europe’s economic challenges to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s attempts to reduce unemployment. Colas takes an “object-ive” approach to analyzing the current investment landscape by describing 10 common items and how they shape our perceptions of reality. The other objects on our list: a hazmat suit, a house in Orlando, a barrel of oil, a Rolex watch, a butterfly, a heating radiator in Berlin, and a smartphone.
Frontrunning: October 16
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/16/2014 06:26 -0500- American Express
- Apple
- BAC
- Baidu
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Barclays
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Boeing
- China
- Citigroup
- Cohen
- Credit Suisse
- dark pools
- Dark Pools
- Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Eurozone
- GOOG
- Housing Market
- Iran
- Las Vegas
- Merrill
- Michigan
- Morgan Stanley
- Nomura
- Obama Administration
- recovery
- Reuters
- Starwood
- Tata
- Time Warner
- Toyota
- Treasury Department
- Unemployment
- Viacom
- Volatility
- Wells Fargo
- White House
- Dallas County May Declare State of Disaster From Ebola Virus (BBG)
- Markets on edge after worst turmoil in four years (Reuters)
- Central bankers may have no quick fix as markets swoon, economy weakens (Reuters)
- Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears (Hilsenrath)
- U.S. health official allowed new Ebola patient on plane with slight fever (Reuters)
- Texas Hospital Fights Allegations About Ebola Protocols (BBG)
- Treasuries Gain as Oil Drops Below $80 While Stocks Slide (BBG)
- Greek Bonds Slump on Bailout Concern as Spain Misses Sale Target (BBG)
- White House shifts into crisis mode on Ebola response (Reuters)
- Obama Confronts Slippery Slope as Islamic State Advances (BBG)
This Time 'Is' Different - For The First Time In 25-Years The Wall Street Gamblers Are Home Alone
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/15/2014 16:00 -0500- AIG
- Alan Greenspan
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Barry Ritholtz
- Bear Stearns
- Bond
- Central Banks
- Commercial Real Estate
- Countrywide
- Discount Window
- Fannie Mae
- Fortress Balance Sheet
- Freddie Mac
- GAAP
- Gambling
- Goldilocks
- Great Depression
- headlines
- Housing Bubble
- Housing Prices
- Jim Cramer
- Las Vegas
- Lehman
- Lehman Brothers
- Moral Hazard
- NASDAQ
- None
- PE Multiple
- Real estate
- Reality
- Recession
- Shadow Banking
- Yield Curve
The last time the stock market reached a fevered peak and began to wobble unexpectedly was August 2007. Markets were most definitely not in the classic “price discovery” business. Instead, the stock market had discovered the “goldilocks economy." But what is profoundly different this time is that the Fed is out of dry powder. Its can’t slash the discount rate as Bernanke did in August 2007 or continuously reduce it federal funds target on a trip from 6% all the way down to zero. Nor can it resort to massive balance sheet expansion. That card has been played and a replay would only spook the market even more. So this time is different. The gamblers are scampering around the casino fixing to buy the dip as soon as white smoke wafts from the Eccles Building. But none is coming. For the first time in 25- years, the Wall Street gamblers are home alone.
Frontrunning: October 14
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/14/2014 06:20 -0500- Apple
- B+
- Barclays
- Bond
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Sentiment
- Crude
- Delphi
- Deutsche Bank
- Evercore
- Ford
- General Electric
- General Motors
- GOOG
- Israel
- KIM
- Kimco
- Las Vegas
- Legg Mason
- Merrill
- Money Supply
- Morgan Stanley
- NASDAQ
- NFIB
- Nielsen
- Nomura
- North Korea
- Pershing Square
- Recession
- recovery
- Reuters
- Saudi Arabia
- SPY
- Toyota
- Ukraine
- Wells Fargo
- Yuan
- No Happy Ending for Investors in Central Bank Fairy Tale (BBG)
- Ebola Response Strains Hospitals (WSJ)
- Obama, foreign military chiefs, to thrash out Islamic State plans (Reuters)
- Draghi’s ‘Whatever It Takes’ Plan on Trial at EU Court (BBG)
- Too-Big-to-Fail Banks Face Up to $870 Billion Capital Gap (BBG)
- Iran’s Message to World: You Need Us to Fight Islamists (BBG)
- Facing new oil glut, Saudis avoid 1980s mistakes to halt price slide (Reuters)
- Ukraine Grannies Outprice Banks on Hryvnia Black Market (BBG)
- HK police use sledgehammers, chainsaws to clear protest barriers, open road (Reuters)
- Gazprom Quarterly Net Rises 13%, Misses Estimate on Ukraine Debt (BBG)
The Home ATM Is Back: HELOCs Surge To 2008 Levels
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/10/2014 19:26 -0500While the memory of a financial market participant can be measured in nanoseconds, it appears that the average American has also become goldfish-like as RealtyTrac reports a total of 797,865 home equity lines of credit were originated nationwide, up 20.6% from a year ago and the highest level since 2008. As Jim Quinn so eloquently notes, after a two year Wall-Street-engineered fraudulent boost in home prices in the exact markets that led the bubble in 2003 through 2007, the delusional dolts are now acting like the increase in home equity is real: As RealtyTrac's Blomquist exudes, "this recent rise in HELOC originations indicates that an increasing number of homeowners are gaining confidence in the strength of the housing recovery."
Passenger With Ebola Symptoms Quarantined At Las Vegas Airport
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/10/2014 14:16 -0500Six ambulances have surrounded a plane this morning at McCarran International Airport amid reports that a passenger on a Delta flight from New York is showing symptoms similar to Ebola, according to NBC3 local news. A passenger on board said via Twitter, there are "two sick passengers, woman and child, came from Africa and have a fever," and "CDC is now on the scene."
Frontrunning: October 7
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/07/2014 06:42 -0500- American International Group
- Apple
- BAC
- Bank of England
- Barclays
- Bitcoin
- Carlyle
- CBOE
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Credit
- Corporate Finance
- Credit Suisse
- Deutsche Bank
- Eurozone
- Evercore
- Ford
- France
- Germany
- Glencore
- headlines
- Henry Paulson
- Hong Kong
- Ikea
- Institutional Investors
- Iraq
- Japan
- JPMorgan Chase
- Kuwait
- Las Vegas
- LIBOR
- Merrill
- New York Times
- Newspaper
- Private Equity
- Quantitative Easing
- Raymond James
- Recession
- Reuters
- Time Warner
- Volkswagen
- Wilbur Ross
- World Bank
- Yen
- Liberian Rubber Farm Becomes Sanctuary Against Ebola (WSJ)
- The World’s Most Powerful Central Banker: Janet Who? (BBG)
- Islamic State moves into south west of Syrian Kurdish town (Reuters)
- Waldorf to Be Biggest Chinese Property Purchase in U.S. (BBG)
- Spain Seeks People in Contact With Ebola-Infected Nurse (BBG)
- Hong Kong protests at crossroads as traffic, frustration pile up (Reuters)
- Immigration: Grim Caseload at the Border (WSJ)
- China Cuts Thousands of ‘Phantom’ Workers From State Payroll (BBG)
- U.S., U.K. Regulators Push to Settle Deutsche Bank Libor Case This Year (WSJ)
- Wall Street Moles Go to NY’s Top Cop, Spurning SEC Cash (BBG)
- Pimco's outflow headaches only just beginning (Reuters)
- Japan Lawmakers Flag Need for Exit Strategy as Yen Falls (BBG)
"There Has Never Been A Crazier Moment In History"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2014 13:13 -0500Who can feel confident about the tending of things just now? The diminishing returns of the Information Age are about to bite our collective asses. The sum of all that digital magic is a nation completely incapable of telling itself the truth or acting honorably. Unemployment is down without employment being up. Candy Crush is making the world safe for democracy. We have the finest health care system in the world. ISIS is trying to compete with our homegrown videogame industry for supremacy in porno-violence (actually, I thought we already won that) but now we will obliterate all the bad guys in the world by remote control from the drone bunkers of Las Vegas, and that will show them. Thank goodness the long holiday season is almost upon us to juice the so-called economy ever-higher. There has never been a crazier moment in history.
Is the U.S. Secretly Egging On Hong Kong Protesters?
Submitted by George Washington on 10/01/2014 00:49 -0500There Might Be Some Truth to China's Accusation that the U.S. is Doing Its Best to Stir Up Hong Kong
"Broad-Based Deceleration" - Case-Shiller Home Prices Tumble Most Since Nov 2011, 3rd Drop In A Row
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/30/2014 08:10 -0500For the 3rd month in a row, S&P Case-Shiller home prices fell MoM with July's 0.5% drop the biggest since November 2011. This dragged the YoY growth to 6.75% (missing expectations of 7.4%) and its slowest rate of increase since November 2012. Non-seasonally-adjusted the drop is even larger (-0.6% MoM). Perhaps most notably San Francisco was the biggest drag on the index.
Goldman's Former Head Of Housing Research Predicts Housing Crash, Recession Within Three Years
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/17/2014 16:48 -0500When a former Goldman executive and the prior head of its housing research team comes out with a shocking analysis so contrary to what the same individual would do in his "former life" when he would be extolling the "inevitable" rise of home prices from here to eternity and beyond, and also throw in an open letter to none other than president Obama, predicting at least a 15% crash in home prices in the next three years, a move which would without debt catalyze the next US recession, it is time to pay attention. Meet Joshua Pollard, who in February 2009 took over coverage of US Housing at Goldman Sachs. His point, in short: "House prices are 12% overvalued today. They have already started to decline. Today’s misvaluation matches the excess of 2006-07, just before the Great Recession... 5 of the last 7 US recessions were led by a weakening housing market... I am lamentably confident that home prices will fall by 15% within three years." Or, as some may call it, crash.
4 C’s That Could Change The Financial World As We Know It, Again
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/16/2014 19:00 -0500Those 4 C’s are: Confirmation, Crisis, Contagion, Catastrophe.
At Least 17 Fake Cellphone Towers Capable Of Invasive Spying Have Been Discovered Across America
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/05/2014 20:59 -0500When Lee Goldsmith drives by one of the many fake cellphone towers being discovered throughout the U.S., his $3,500 CryptoPhone 500 will immediately display the warning message in the thumbnail image to the left. When you drive by the same fake towers, known as “interceptors,” your run of the mill iPhone or Samsung Galaxy won’t alert you to any potential security breach. And that’s exactly how those people who installed these interceptors, whoever they are, like it. What Lee Goldsmith and other users of the CryptoPhone 500 have discovered while driving across part of America will shock and disturb you.
I Blame The Central Banks
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/28/2014 15:37 -0500The current bubbles in financial assets -- in equities and bonds of all grades and quality -- raging in every major market across the globe are no accident. They are a deliberate creation. The intentional results of policy. Therefore, when they burst, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of some terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
"Widespread Slowdown In Home Price Gains": Case-Shiller Misses, Rises By Slowest Since 2012
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/26/2014 08:26 -0500The fourth (or is it fifth?) dead cat bounce in the US housing market is rapidly fading, as we just confirmed by the latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index data for the month of June, which saw a Y/Y increase in home prices of just 8.07%, below the 8.3% expected, and the slowest increase since December 2012. As the report noted, "for the first time since February 2008, all cities showed lower annual rates than the previous month." On a monthly basis, the NSA index, Case-Shiller's preferred, rose by 1.0% for the 10 and 20-City composite, with the Seasonally Adjusted composite declining for the second consecutive month: the last time there were two consecutive monthly declines during a price declining phase was in late 2010.



