Lazard

Global Stocks Jump, Dow Futs At New All Time Highs As Brexit Talks Begin

S&P futures rose 0.3% in subdued trading with Dow Jones futs once again in record territory as European stocks jump 0.6% following Sunday's landslide victory for Macron's party in the French parliamentary elections and as Brexit negotiations are set to officially roll out on Monday.

Presenting Goldman's "Worst-Case Survival Guide To Uncertainty, Taxes And Trade"

The juxtaposition of rising policy uncertainty vis a vis declining fear in risk assets raises "cause for pause" according to Goldman, which in its latest Portfolio Manager's Toolkit lays out the following "worst-case survival guide to uncertainty, taxes and trade" to help investors navigate once volatility comes back with a bang.

Frontrunning: May 11

  • After Comey, Russia Probe Escalates (WSJ)
  • Comey Firing Distracts Trump White House, Risking His Agenda (BBG)
  • Trump wanted to preview Comey's Senate testimony (Reuters)
  • Traders Ask What Will Rouse Markets When Trump and Twitter Can't (BBG)
  • EU Raises Growth Forecasts but Cites Threats From Brexit, Trump (WSJ)

This Is What Happens When Private Equity Firms Run Out Of Things To Buy

What do you do when you're part of an industry that has levered up $100's of billions of dollars in investor capital and paid a handsome premium for pretty much every asset available all while "excess cash sits on the sidelines" because there are just no deals left to do at remotely attractive valuations?  Well, just as Investindustrial...

Frontrunning: February 9

  • Airlines, Airports to Meet President Amid Travel-Ban Uncertainty (WSJ)
  • Legal battle pits Trump's powers against his words (Reuters)
  • Trump’s Oval Office Tweets Force CEOs to Choose Fight or Flight (BBG)
  • Companies Plow Ahead With Moves to Mexico, Despite Trump’s Pressure (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Labor Pick Loves Burgers, Bikinis, and Free Markets (BBG)

2016 Year In Review

We started this year with the economy deteriorating and finished it with the second interest rate increase in ten years. There were a lot of ups and downs along the way, but ultimately 2016 was defined by three key story-lines:  1) Brexit 2) The Presidential Election 3) Fed Policy. The first two events were votes that shocked the world. The stock market’s reaction to each was arguably even more shocking. 

The Chinese Buyers Are Back: China Oceanwide Acquires Genworth For $2.7 Billion

China Oceanwide Holdings, a Chinese financial conglomerate, agreed to buy US insurer Genworth Financial for $2.7 billion in cash, a 4% premium to closing, and pledging to help the U.S. firm manage its debt and strengthen life insurance units after it was hurt by higher-than-expected losses tied to long-term care coverage.

Futures Flat With Germany Closed; Sterling Slides On "Hard Brexit" Fears

With China, German and South Korea closed for holiday, it has been a relatively quiet day in overnight equity trading, especially in the one stock everyone is keeping a close eye on, Deutsche Bank, whose ADRs are trading fractionally lower, down under 1% in premarket trading. Cable plunged on "Hard Brexit" fears sending the FTSE100 to fresh 16 month highs.

Frontrunning: September 27

  • Deutsche Bank Returns to Haunt Merkel in an Election Year (BBG)
  • Saudis, Iran dash hopes for OPEC oil deal in Algeria (Reuters); Iran Doesn’t Want Oil Deal in Algiers, Won’t Freeze Output (BBG)
  • Debate of century lives up to its billing (The Hill)
  • Candidates Spar in Debate, Offer Vastly Different Visions for Leading the U.S. (WSJ)
  • Clinton gains in online betting markets after U.S. presidential debate (Reuters)
  • Presidential Debate Illuminates Voters’ Stark Choice (WSJ)

Tesla, SolarCity Merge In $2.6 Billion Transaction

Concluding a transaction that surprised the world when it was announced one month ago, and which we hope the regulators are poring over as a result of a myrida of "related party transactions", moments ago SolarCity (whose stock is currently halted) announced that Tesla and SolarCity would combine in all-stock deal; in which SCTY stockholders will receive 0.110 Tesla common shares per SCTY share, valuing SCTY common stock at $25.37 per share.