Mark To Market

Financial Market Insurance Is Not Like Hurricane Insurance

"..the hurricane is not more or less likely to hit because more hurricane insurance has been written. In the financial markets this is not true. The more people write financial insurance, the more likely it is that a disaster will happen, because the people who know you have sold the insurance can make it happen. So you have to monitor what other people are doing.”

Stupid Is As Stupid Does

If you prefer fake news, fake data, and a fake narrative about an improving economy and stock market headed to 30,000, don’t read this fact based, reality check article.

Steve 'Big Short' Eisman: Smart, Lucky, Abrasive (& Now One Of Them)

"In the movie he was portrayed as the moral compass. After hearing his praise for the awesome job Paulson did by saving the criminal Wall Street banks with taxpayer money, I think the justice and righteousness stuff is overdone. Earlier in his talk he said banks existed to “fuck you” – his exact words. Then later he says we had to save them or the world would have ended."

Howard Marks: "So Much For The Experts"

"The opinions of experts concerning the future are accorded great weight . . . but they’re still just opinions. While I take a dim view of forecasts, and especially of opinions presented as facts, I do believe there are such things as facts.  Unfortunately, however, the concept of 'facts' is among the casualties of the increasingly partisan environment.  Recently we have seen both the elevation in status of 'non-facts', as well as the tearing down of 'real facts'."

BIS Warns OF Bouts Of Extreme Volatility, As Market Undergoes "Paradigm Shift"

"Looking further ahead, the most worrying signs relate to the risk of greater protectionism. Those signs have been multiplying in recent years, and prospects have darkened considerably with the most recent political events,” said Claudio Borio, concluding that "there would be no winners, only losers. Lower global growth, and possibly higher inflation, would benefit no one."

SocGen Presents The "Toxic" Difference Between QE In The US And Japan

In the US, easy central bank policy leads to greater corporate bond issuance and leverage, which in turn result in companies buying back their own equity - and to that extent QE is now residing on individual company balance sheets. In contrast, in Japan the BOJ simply buys Japanese equities directly. This difference is important