With the Trumpflation rally fizzling with every passing day, the only question asked by traders is "Is it time to sell the market?" According to Bank of America, the answer, at least for now, is no. Here are the seven rules and indicators Bank of America uses to make that determination.
With the S&P500 ending January on the back foot, more pain may be in store for markets in February. This is the observation of BofA's chief technician Stephen Suttmeyer, who provides several danger signals why bulls may want to be particularly cautious ahead of the coming months.
The greatest streak of stock market gains in almost 28 years may have some wondering if it is sustainable, but, according to AAII, this objective spike in valuations following Donald Trump's victory has sparked overwhelming bullishness among investors.
The market moves since the US elections have been both big and surprising, and as JPMorgan notes, fund managers have been either too slow or too reluctant to jump into the Trump trade. However, algo-based Risk-Parity funds suffered the most with their biggest loss since Dec 2015 as market 'fear' tumbles to 9 month lows (and stocks are the most overbought in 13 years).
While 'everything was awesome' this morning in stock market land (economic data, Fed uncertainty, and domestic terrorism aside), the more troubling reality under the surface of the equity market's gains is a plunge in 52-week highs... a divergence which spelled big trouble the last time it occurred.
"Ultimately everyone is forced in. Sometimes this happens through capitulation by previously sceptical investors, or sometimes it happens through pure greed as fear of missing out takes over. The big question is, how close are we to that moment? I think we are indeed getting close. Goldman Sachs data on hedge funds show that top 10 positions for average hedge funds make up 70% of long positions."