As you know, gold has been on a tear in 2016 as investors and traders around the globe have profited form being long. You would think that some of the "smartest" and "best-connected" traders in the world - those on Bullion Bank trading desks - would have profited from this 20% move as well. However, if you think that, you're dead wrong.
Almost all gold (95%) traded in London is unallocated and without legal title. This makes it easier to trade, but it also raises concerns about a market that is opaque to begin with. There are 5,500 tonnes of paper gold exchanging hands on paper each day, but there are only 300 tonnes of gold vaulted in London outside of the reserves for ETFs or the Bank of England. What would happen if there was ever even a small rush to get the physical asset behind the paper? Is there a system in place for such an event, and how does it work?
Following last week's Sohn Conference, where the overarching theme was one of prevailing bearishness topped by Stanley Druckenmiller's near-apocalyptic forecast that only gold will be left standing after all confidence evaporates in the "magic people" known as central bankers, yesterday some 1,800 hedge fund industry executives gathered in Las Vegas at the SkyBridge Alternatives Conference or SALT, where the prevalent concern about the future of the world continued, driven primarily by worries about China.
The 24 Banks now have a summary NET short position that is more extreme than ever. Will The Banks lose this time? Or will The Banks simply be successful again in rigging prices lower so that they can profitably cover their ill-gotten shorts?
Witness true research that reveals true facts, that unlocks true alpha, aka VALUE! Banco Popular is walking down the same path as Bear Stearns. We should know, we called out Bear in January 2008, and we called out BP months ago.
The Michael Pearson era at Valeant is officially over. Following a week of leaks that the troubled Canadian ex-rollup will hire Perrigo's CEO, Joseph C. Papa, moments ago the company confirmed this when the VRX board said that it has named Joseph C. Papa to become Valeant's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer (incidentally this comes on the day in which Periggo stock tumbled after the company slashed its 2016 EPS forecast from $9.50-$9.80 to $8.20-$8.50).
To challenge the US dollar hegemony and increase its power in the global realm of finance, China has a potent gold strategy. Whilst the State Council is preparing itself for the inevitable decay of the current international monetary system, it has firmly embraced gold in its economy. With a staggering pace the government has developed the Chinese domestic gold market, stimulated private gold accumulation and increased its official gold reserves in order to ensure financial stability and support the internationalisation of the renminbi.
I called it once in January 2008 (Bear). I called it 2x in March 2008 (Lehman), and I'm calling it again in 2016. Don't say you didn't know. These proclamations of trust will truly put my analysis - and your capital - to the test.