Primary Market

Tyler Durden's picture

$140 Billion Bond Fund Goes To Cash As It "Braces For Bond-Market Collapse"





“If you distort markets for long periods of time and then you remove those distortions, you’re subject to unanticipated volatility,” TCW's Jerry Cudzil tells Bloomberg, adding that the firm is "as defensive as [it's] been since pre-crisis.”

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Capex Recovery Is Worst In History, BofAML Says





"In the United States, it took 18 quarters (4.5 years) before fixed business investment regained its pre-recession peak, in chain-volume terms. That compares with an average of just five quarters before business investment recovered to its peak level prior to the onset of previous post-War recessions; previously, it had never taken longer than three years for that milestone to be attained."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

How Wall Street Helps US Oil Producers Extend-And-Pretend





"Wall Street’s generous supply of funds to U.S. oil drillers helped create the American energy boom. Now that same access to easy money is keeping them going, despite oil prices that are languishing around $60 a barrel," WSJ says, proving that the era of easy money has in fact led to deflation.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Bond Market Is Still Broken, JPMorgan Says





Successive rounds of government bond monetization have worked to destroy the Treasury, JGB, and EU core markets while the post-crisis regulatory regime has seen dealers back away from providing liquity in the secondary market for corporate credit just as the very same monetary policy that broke government bond markets has led to an explosion of new issuance from corporate borrowers, creating the potential for a self-feeding catastrophe in the event of selloff in corporate bonds.

 
Phoenix Capital Research's picture

The Market is Rapidly Running Out of Props…





Put simply: the market is quickly running out of props. Eventually we’re going to get a correction. But with so little buying power in the markets that could correction would very easily become a Crash.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

5 Things To Ponder: Everybody's Got One





No matter what investors SAY they will do, they will almost always succumb to the emotional investment mistakes caused by being human.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Deutsche Bank: "No One Knows How To Hedge Or Price Liquidity In This World"





"... some stressed more than others about it but all concluded that the last few weeks in rates were eye-opening. No-one really knew how to hedge or price for it in a world where you need to hit short-term performance targets. This supports my view that liquidity premiums will never be properly priced in this cycle and investors will stay in assets too long in order to maximise short-term performance.... when this cycle does end there is likely to be savage moves in markets where either investors need to sell or where they are able to sell."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Blistering Demand For Benchmark Treasurys: Indirects In 10 Year Auction Highest Since 2011





If yesterday's strong 3 Year auction caught the hordes of shorts unaware, sending the repo rate plunging from a super special -1.7% to positive, today's just concluded 10 Year auction was nothing short of epic, in virtually every possible way.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Biggest Worry" Is "Dramatic Decline" In Bond Market Liquidity, Prudential Says





“The biggest worry of the buy side around the world is that there has been a dramatic decline in liquidity from the sell side for many fixed income products,” Prudential's David Hunt tells Bloomberg, echoing Jamie Dimon and confirming what we've been shouting about for years.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Drowning In Liquidity But None In The Bond Market: The Spark Of The Next Financial Crisis?





What happens in the event a Fed rate hike triggers widening corporate credit spreads in a corporate bond market devoid of liquidity? Could it indeed be the case that the Fed’s highly anticipated “lift-off” will serve as the catalyst for credit market carnage? Some traders think so.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Crash Landing: China Home Prices Plunge At Fastest Pace On Record, Surpass Post-Lehman Collapse





Less than three weeks ago, when the PBOC proceeded with its latest "surprise" rate cut, we showed a chart that should scare everyone who is hoping that China will avoid a hard-landing would prefer would never have been revealed: the annual collapse in Chinese home prices is now so sharp and so widespread, that it has surpassed the housing collapse in the aftermath of the Lehman collapse." Overnight things went from bad to worse, when China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that contrary to hopes for a modest rebound, China's average new home prices fell at the fastest pace on record in February from a year earlier.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

ECB Releases Q&A And Terms And Conditions Of Europe's (First) Quantitative €asing





Alongside the Draghi presser, the ECB moments ago the terms and conditions of its Q€, or as the ECB calls it, the "public sector purchase programme (PSPP)" Here are the full details and the Q&A.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Pathetic 'Talk Therapy' Of Janet Yellen





What in god’s name does Janet Yellen think she is doing? Just a few weeks ago she established the ridiculous Fedspeak convention that “patient” means money market rates will not rise from the zero bound for at least two meetings. Now she has modified that message into “not exactly”.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Home Prices Suffer Biggest Annual Drop Ever: Why This Matters





While the world's attention is glued to events in Greece, the real action continues to evolve quietly thousands of kilometers east, in China, where the near record surge in new loans remains unable to offset the dramatic slowdown in shadow banking issuance. And while China's bubble-chasing, animal spirits have recently reoriented themselves from real estate to the stock market, it is the real estate that holds the bulk of China's wealth. The problem here is that as China reported overnight, new-home prices in the world's most populous country just recorded their biggest annual decline ever!

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Investors Are Now Playing An Epic Game Of Chicken"





"Central bank polices have ruptured the proper functioning of capital markets. Some investors myopically believe that 'money printing needs a home' and that it will end up in equities (the asset class with upside). However, such a belief needs to include a deep faith in the central bank’s abilities to navigate a soft landing. History is not on their side. Investors pouring into equities might be playing an epic game of chicken."

 
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