Prudential

The First Crack: Deutsche Bank Preannounces Massive Loss, May Cut Dividend

Deutsche Bank warned it expects to record a third-quarter loss of $7 billion, tied to a huge write-down in its corporate-banking-and-securities segment.  The bank said the charges are driven by the impact of expected higher regulatory capital requirements and its disposal of Postbank. It also said it will consider reducing or eliminating its common dividend for fiscal 2015.

DEUTSCHE BANK SEES 3Q NET LOSS EUR 6.2 BLN
DEUTSCHE BANK TO RECOMMEND DIVIDEND CUT OR POSSIBLE ELIMINATION

Frontrunning: October 5

  • MOAR: Euro-Area Growth Seen Slowing in Sign More Stimulus May Be Ahead (BBG)
  • MOAR: Japan's wage growth slows in August, keeping pressure on BOJ for more stimulus (Reuters)
  • MOAR: Stocks, Copper, Emerging Markets Jump as Fed Delay on Rates Seen (BBG)
  • And yet... Central Banks Lose Bond-Market Credibility as Woes Mount (BBG)
  • World Bank cuts Asia growth forecast on China and US rates (BBC)

Frontrunning: September 17

  • Wall Street Has Doubts About Fed Lifting Interest Rates (WSJ)
  • Global stocks at three-week highs as Fed decision looms (Reuters)
  • Charting the Markets: The World Awaits the Fed (BBG)
  • Powerful quake off Chile slams waves into coastal towns; eight killed (Reuters)
  • As Fed Storm Brews, Europe Stocks Seen Weathering Turmoil Best (BBG)
  • Fiorina's rise adds another insurgent to U.S. election fray (Reuters)

Frontrunning: September 16

  • Contrarian CEOs tell the Fed: Go ahead, raise my rates (Reuters)
  • Goldman Warns Markets Unprepared for Fed as Treasuries Seesaw (BBG)
  • Investors Look Beyond Fed Meeting, See Low Rates (WSJ)
  • Volatility seen lingering no matter what the Fed does (Reuters)
  • What Rising Interest Rates Would Mean for You (BBG)
  • China Stocks Jump in Last Hour of Trading on State Support Signs (BBG)
  • No Escape for China Hedge Funds Overwhelmed by Stocks Crash (BBG)
  • Hedge Fund Bridgewater Defends Its ‘Risk-Parity’ Strategy (WSJ)

BNY Scrambles To Fix Unresolved ETF "Glitch" By Monday Market Open

A glitch in the Matrix (if you will) that affected pricing for 1,200 mutual funds and ETFs still wasn't wholly resolved as of Sunday evening after executives worked through the weekend in a frantic attempt to resolve the issue ahead of Monday's open. Remember, if anyone asks, none of this has anything to do with flash-crashing, broken markets.

Frontrunning: August 11

  • China Rattles Markets With Yuan Devaluation (BBG)
  • China Move Sparks Wave of Yuan Selling (WSJ)
  • China's devaluation raises currency war fear as Greece strikes deal (Reuters)
  • Protests return to Ferguson streets, state of emergency declared (Reuters)
  • Heavily armed 'Oath Keepers' inject new unease to riot-hit Ferguson (Reuters)
  • Greece Secures Bailout Deal After All-Night Talks in Athens (BBG)
  • U.S. Identifies Insider Trading Ring With Ukraine Hackers (BBG)

"Of What Use Is A Gun With No Bullets?", BIS Says Central Banks Defenseless Against Coming Crisis

Risk-taking in financial markets has gone on for too long. And the illusion that markets will remain liquid under stress has been too pervasive. But the likelihood of turbulence will increase further if current extraordinary conditions are spun out. The more one stretches an elastic band, the more violently it snaps back. Restoring more normal conditions will also be essential for facing the next recession, which will no doubt materialise at some point. Of what use is a gun with no bullets left?

Frontrunning: June 23

  • Greek offer to creditors runs into angry backlash at home (Reuters)
  • Tsipras Seeks to Stave Off Greek Defections Over Aid Plan (BBG)
  • Austria finmin says no agreement on Greek proposals without concrete plan (Reuters)
  • Another ELA raise, this time under €1 billion: ECB raises emergency funding for Greek banks (Reuters)
  • Greek energy, foreign ministers divided on Russia gas deal (Reuters)
  • China’s Plan for Local Debt Amounts to a Bailout (WSJ)
  • Key Democratic senators back plan for trade legislation (Reuters)
  • South Carolina Governor: Time to Furl Flag (WSJ)

The Two Contending Visions Of World Government

U.S. President Barack Obama’s proposed ‘Trade’ deals are actually about whether the world is heading toward a dictatorial world government - a dictatorship by the hundred or so global super-rich who hold the controlling blocks of stock in the world’s largest international corporations - or else toward a democratic world government - which will be a global federation of free and independent states, much like the United States was at its founding, but global in extent. These are two opposite visions of world government; and Obama is clearly on the side of fascism, an international mega-corporate dictatorship... What’s at stake here is nothing less than whether the future of the United States, and perhaps even of the world, will be democracy, or else fascism.

Frontrunning: June 16

  • Greek PM sticks to hard line as contagion hits euro zone bonds (Reuters)
  • Greek Deadlock Has Leader Hoping for Miracle to Avoid Default (BBG)
  • Greek Showdown Puts Merkel's Teflon Legacy at Risk (BBG)
  • Greek standoff saps Europe, dollar swings ahead of Fed (Reuters)
  • Allianz Increased Holdings of Greek Debt as Its Largest Investor (BBG)
  • French Bonds Infected as Greek Crisis Swells Euro-Region Spreads (BBG)
  • Statoil to cut 1,500 more jobs as savings drive intensifies (FT)
  • UnitedHealth, Anthem Seek to Buy Smaller Rivals (WSJ)
  • Five Million Reasons Why China Could Go to War (BBG)

Steen Jakobsen Warns, Brace For The Next Recession

The financial world today is now an island on its own – separated from the real economy, as can be seen by the paradox of record high valuation in the stock market coinciding with record low inflation, employment , productivity and no hope. There is asset inflation, but deflation in the real economy. When the world has been this long at the zero-bound, the misallocation, the inability to reform, and a toolbox without new tools creates a mandate for change. "I expect stocks to trade sideways for the balance of 2015 and have now sold all my fixed income, increased my gold exposure, and I’m looking to buy mining companies and overall to increase my exposure to commodities beyond the normal allocation."