Frontrunning: October 16

  • McDonald’s Close to Deciding Whether to Change Structure of U.S. Real Estate (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rise as Stimulus Bets Spur $4.1 Trillion Gain; Oil Climbs (BBG)
  • Wall Street bonuses likely to plunge as trading revenue drops (Reuters)
  • Syrian army launches Aleppo offensive with Iranian support (Reuters)
  • Malaysia’s Najib Razak Played Key Role at Troubled 1MDB Investment Fund (WSJ)
  • VW Loses Market Share in Europe as Diesel-Motor Recalls Loom (BBG)

Bank Of England Tells British Banks To Reveal Their Full Exposure To Glencore And Other Commodity Traders

Overnight we got confirmation that Glencore has indeed become a systemic risk from a regulatory standpoint after the FT reported that the Bank of England has asked British financial institutions to reveal their full exposure to commodity traders and falling prices of raw materials amid concerns over the impact of the oil and metals slump. Or, in other words, their exposure to Glencore, Trafigura, Vitol, Gunvor and Mecuria.

The First Crack: Deutsche Bank Preannounces Massive Loss, May Cut Dividend

Deutsche Bank warned it expects to record a third-quarter loss of $7 billion, tied to a huge write-down in its corporate-banking-and-securities segment.  The bank said the charges are driven by the impact of expected higher regulatory capital requirements and its disposal of Postbank. It also said it will consider reducing or eliminating its common dividend for fiscal 2015.


Frontrunning: October 5

  • MOAR: Euro-Area Growth Seen Slowing in Sign More Stimulus May Be Ahead (BBG)
  • MOAR: Japan's wage growth slows in August, keeping pressure on BOJ for more stimulus (Reuters)
  • MOAR: Stocks, Copper, Emerging Markets Jump as Fed Delay on Rates Seen (BBG)
  • And yet... Central Banks Lose Bond-Market Credibility as Woes Mount (BBG)
  • World Bank cuts Asia growth forecast on China and US rates (BBC)

Frontrunning: September 17

  • Wall Street Has Doubts About Fed Lifting Interest Rates (WSJ)
  • Global stocks at three-week highs as Fed decision looms (Reuters)
  • Charting the Markets: The World Awaits the Fed (BBG)
  • Powerful quake off Chile slams waves into coastal towns; eight killed (Reuters)
  • As Fed Storm Brews, Europe Stocks Seen Weathering Turmoil Best (BBG)
  • Fiorina's rise adds another insurgent to U.S. election fray (Reuters)

Frontrunning: September 16

  • Contrarian CEOs tell the Fed: Go ahead, raise my rates (Reuters)
  • Goldman Warns Markets Unprepared for Fed as Treasuries Seesaw (BBG)
  • Investors Look Beyond Fed Meeting, See Low Rates (WSJ)
  • Volatility seen lingering no matter what the Fed does (Reuters)
  • What Rising Interest Rates Would Mean for You (BBG)
  • China Stocks Jump in Last Hour of Trading on State Support Signs (BBG)
  • No Escape for China Hedge Funds Overwhelmed by Stocks Crash (BBG)
  • Hedge Fund Bridgewater Defends Its ‘Risk-Parity’ Strategy (WSJ)

BNY Scrambles To Fix Unresolved ETF "Glitch" By Monday Market Open

A glitch in the Matrix (if you will) that affected pricing for 1,200 mutual funds and ETFs still wasn't wholly resolved as of Sunday evening after executives worked through the weekend in a frantic attempt to resolve the issue ahead of Monday's open. Remember, if anyone asks, none of this has anything to do with flash-crashing, broken markets.

Frontrunning: August 11

  • China Rattles Markets With Yuan Devaluation (BBG)
  • China Move Sparks Wave of Yuan Selling (WSJ)
  • China's devaluation raises currency war fear as Greece strikes deal (Reuters)
  • Protests return to Ferguson streets, state of emergency declared (Reuters)
  • Heavily armed 'Oath Keepers' inject new unease to riot-hit Ferguson (Reuters)
  • Greece Secures Bailout Deal After All-Night Talks in Athens (BBG)
  • U.S. Identifies Insider Trading Ring With Ukraine Hackers (BBG)

"Of What Use Is A Gun With No Bullets?", BIS Says Central Banks Defenseless Against Coming Crisis

Risk-taking in financial markets has gone on for too long. And the illusion that markets will remain liquid under stress has been too pervasive. But the likelihood of turbulence will increase further if current extraordinary conditions are spun out. The more one stretches an elastic band, the more violently it snaps back. Restoring more normal conditions will also be essential for facing the next recession, which will no doubt materialise at some point. Of what use is a gun with no bullets left?

Frontrunning: June 23

  • Greek offer to creditors runs into angry backlash at home (Reuters)
  • Tsipras Seeks to Stave Off Greek Defections Over Aid Plan (BBG)
  • Austria finmin says no agreement on Greek proposals without concrete plan (Reuters)
  • Another ELA raise, this time under €1 billion: ECB raises emergency funding for Greek banks (Reuters)
  • Greek energy, foreign ministers divided on Russia gas deal (Reuters)
  • China’s Plan for Local Debt Amounts to a Bailout (WSJ)
  • Key Democratic senators back plan for trade legislation (Reuters)
  • South Carolina Governor: Time to Furl Flag (WSJ)

The Two Contending Visions Of World Government

U.S. President Barack Obama’s proposed ‘Trade’ deals are actually about whether the world is heading toward a dictatorial world government - a dictatorship by the hundred or so global super-rich who hold the controlling blocks of stock in the world’s largest international corporations - or else toward a democratic world government - which will be a global federation of free and independent states, much like the United States was at its founding, but global in extent. These are two opposite visions of world government; and Obama is clearly on the side of fascism, an international mega-corporate dictatorship... What’s at stake here is nothing less than whether the future of the United States, and perhaps even of the world, will be democracy, or else fascism.