Purchasing Power

East Vs. West Division Is About The Dollar - Not Nuclear War

The narrative of a coming conflict between the East and the West has been boiling steadily as the U.S. election nears its end. Even the mainstream media is insinuating the potential for shots fired. Some believe the results of the election will determine the odds of war. There is a different position. It seems the rhetoric of East vs. West and nuclear exchange is being exploited as a distraction away from a different but almost equally catastrophic end game - the death of the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency.

"Pounded" - How Not To Manage A Fiat Currency

The Bank of England’s inept monetary policies under Mark Carney’s governorship seem certain to expose the fragility of fiat sterling to wider public attention and skepticism. If the consequences weren’t so serious, we might thank him for unwittingly toppling the status quo. But the inevitable crisis, many times worse than that faced in 1975, cannot be embraced even by the most extreme financial masochist. This is why people in Britain and America will increasingly find solace in gold.

The End Of Growth's "Fake Elixir"

The global elites’ false promise that neoliberal economics would cure all ills through the elixir of endless growth helps explain the angry nationalist movements ripping apart the West’s politics...

Will Eliminating Cash Save The Economy? (Spoiler Alert: Don't Be Stupid!)

The abolition of cash implies the removal of money and hence the destruction of the division of labor and the market economy. It is likely that rather than promoting economic growth, abolishing cash to permit the central banks to lower interest rates into deeper negative territory will lead to the destruction of the market economy and promote massive economic impoverishment.

America Is On A Slippery Slope

The deep state is unlikely to accept that it’s Check Mate to China and Russia. Increasing desperation and the deep state’s groupthink place a high probability on another false flag operation, or a variant thereof. The world is at a critical juncture already with Syria, where the super-powers are at war through their proxies. Let’s just hope the fears expressed in this article over the senselessness of America’s future actions are overstated.

Frontrunning: October 7

  • Pound struggles to recover after plunging 6% in 2 minutes (FT)
  • Flash Crash of the Pound Baffles Traders With Algorithms Being Blamed (BBG)
  • Pound Plummets Against Dollar in Chaotic Trading (WSJ)
  • Two-Minute Mystery Pound Rout Puts Spotlight on Robot Trades (BBG)
  • U.S. nonfarm payroll job growth seen pushing case for Fed hikes (Reuters)
  • Qatar won't sell Deutsche Bank shares, might buy more (Reuters)

What Bridgewater's Ray Dalio Told The New York Fed

  • this isn’t a normal business cycle and we are likely in an environment of abnormally slow growth
  • the current tools of monetary policy will be a lot less effective going forward
  • the risks are asymmetric to the downside
  • the impatience with economic stagnation, especially among middle and lower income earners, is leading to dangerous populism and nationalism.

"This Cannot End Well" Bill Gross Warns

"Central bankers have fostered a casino like atmosphere where savers/investors are presented with a Hobson's Choice, or perhaps a more damaging Sophie's Choice of participating (or not) in markets previously beyond prior imagination. Investors/savers are now scrappin' like mongrel dogs for tidbits of return at the zero bound. This cannot end well."

US Manufacturing "Slowed To A Crawl" In September As New Orders Hit 9-Month Lows

Despite the weakest new orders in 9 months, Markit US Manufacturing PMI managed a slightly better than expected 51.5 final print for September (still 3mo lows). Ironically, ISM data bounced perfectly to 51.5 also, after tumbling to 49.4 in August. New orders bounced in ISM data as did production, the opposite of PMI data, but as Market concluded, "Manufacturing growth slowed to a crawl in September, suggesting the economy is stuck in a soft-patch."