"I remember the first time I ever saw a $100 bill. I was dumbfounded. It was more money than I had ever seen in my young life.... $100 could practically pay the rent in a lot of places back in the 80s. That’s obviously no longer the case...$100 simply isn’t the awe-inspiring symbol of wealth that it used to be. And that’s because of inflation."
In October, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) committed a blunder when it issued a forecast for Venezuela’s end-of-year annual inflation rate. An inflation forecast in a country that is toying with hyperinflation is a mug’s game.
The price of Bitcoin seems to have briefly exceeded the price of gold for the first time this week; however, this comparison is completely arbitrary. Gold remains the only true global money with a size and volatility comparable to that of fiat currency.
The bedrock assumption of the Bull market is that corporate profits will keep rising indefinitely. Hiccups are allowed, but current stock market valuations are implicitly based on profits expanding. The fly in the ointment here is corporate profits have been stagnating since 2014.
"For 105 years, the Federal Reserve has exercised almost absolute and unquestioned authority over America’s monetary policy. The result has been a boom-and-bust business cycle, growth in government, increasing income inequality, and a loss of over 90% of the dollar’s purchasing power. No wonder almost 80% of Americans support Audit the Fed!"
While mortgage applications tumbled across the two-week holiday period - even seasonally-adjusted - it was the complete collapse in the refinancings that is most notable. Down over 60% since August, the refi index crashed over 22% over the xmas/new year period to its lowest since the post-Lehman collapse in Oct 2008.
It took a while, but the world are slowly coming to grips with the simple fact the Chinese miracle is built on a pile of debt with only an unconstrained printing press to support it. The danger is obviously that the political establishment in China will be in dire need to distract the hordes of angry masses that are about to lose their life savings.
We expect global monetary authorities to protect the dollar as long as they can and we expect them to fail. Stocks and bonds will react violently; stocks and weak credits falling, treasuries prices rising (at first). That failure will lead to hyperinflation – not driven by demand, but rather by central bank money printing. A new global monetary understanding will then emerge.
Contrary to the popular way of thinking, the value of a paper dollar originates from its historical link to commodity money - which happens to be gold - and not government decree or social convention. Fiat money of the sort we use today could not and would not come about in a market setting.
If the "experts" were assessed on results, they'd all be fired. Eight years of failure and counterproductive consequences is enough to declare the "experts" are only "experts" in generating excuses and failed fixes to systemic ills.
Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro suspended the elimination of the nation’s 100 bolivar bill until Jan. 2 after the government’s decision to pull its largest denomination note out of circulation left the country short of cash, sparking violent protests and looting. Maduro said Venezuelans were "victims of international sabotage," exclaiming "US, Obama are to blame for financial attacks, US Treasury ordered new bills halted."
The largest contributor to inflation and financial turmoil is dishonest money - enabling bureaucrats to run perpetual government deficits and pile up the federal debt. If Trump takes the steps outlined below, he can repair some of the damage.