Purchasing Power

Previewing Next Week's Main Event: What Will The BOJ Do? (Spoiler Alert: Probably Nothing)

At the BOJ's next Monetary Policy Meeting on September 20-21, the Central Bank will conduct a “comprehensive assessment” of trends in economic activity and prices under the current policy framework, as well as the policy impact, with a view to achieving its 2% price stability target at the earliest possible time. Here is what to expect from next week's main event.

Deconstructing The "Median Income Bullshit"

What do you do when the economy isn't growing the way you want it to but you need to win an election in the very near future?  Well, one option is to have the Census Bureau change its data collection methodology to goal seek the desired income growth.

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 4: "Financial Totalitarianism"

Governments and central banks would very much like to frighten people away from cash, but that only underlines its value under the current circumstances. Cash is king in a deflation. The powers-that-be know that, and would like the available cash to end up concentrated in their own hands rather than spread out to act as seed capital for a bottom-up recovery. Holding on to cash under one’s own control is still going to be a very important option for maintaining freedom of action in an uncertain future.

"If Everything's Going So Great, How Come I'm Not?"

Whether it's struggling to keep up with the rising cost of living, a 0% return on savings, working longer hours while real wages stagnate, scrimping to pay back education loans, despairing at the abuses of power in our banking and political systems, or lamenting the loss of nourishing social interaction in our increasingly isolated and digital lifestyle - most "regular" people find their own personal experiences to be at odds with the rosy "Everything is awesome!" narrative trumpeted by our media.

Negative Interest Rates & The War On Cash, Part 3: "Beware The Promoters"

The main promoters of cash elimination in favour of electronic currency are Willem Buiter, Kenneth Rogoff, and Miles Kimball... in order to implement substantially negative interest rates..."If all central bank liabilities were electronic, paying a negative interest on reserves (basically charging a fee) would be trivial. But as long as central banks stand ready to convert electronic deposits to zero-interest paper currency in unlimited amounts, it suddenly becomes very hard to push interest rates below levels of, say, -0.25 to -0.50 percent, certainly not on a sustained basis. Hoarding cash may be inconvenient and risky, but if rates become too negative, it becomes worth it."

"It Ain't Working" - Axel Merk Lashes Out At The Fed's Failed Inflationary Focus

It ain't working. Eight years after the outbreak of the financial crisis, central bank chiefs suggest they have saved the world, but have they? We argue central banks have become part of the problem, not the solution. At its core, their indoctrinated focus on inflation may well do more harm than good, with potentially perilous implications for investors.

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 2: "Closing The Escape Routes"

History teaches us that central authorities dislike escape routes, at least for the majority, and are therefore prone to closing them, so that control of a limited money supply can remain in the hands of the very few. The existence of escape routes for capital preservation undermines the viability of the banking system, which is already over-extended, over-leveraged and extremely fragile. In the 1930s, gold was the escape route, so gold was confiscated. This time cash serves that role...

How US States Can Pave The Way For Greater Use Of Sound Money

Recognizing that the departure from gold and silver backing to our money has led to crushing debt and great financial instability, a few freedom-minded state legislatures have begun to consider how to defend themselves and their citizens.

Labor Day Summary: Wage Earners Have Taken A Beating

Let's honor Labor Day by reviewing what's happened to wage-earners in the eight years since central banks "saved the financial system" with free money for financiers: It's really very simple: wage-earners have seen their real earnings stagnate or decline while those chosen few with access to near-zero interest borrowed capital have seen their net income and wealth explode higher.

Bubbles And Elevators: From FONC To F##K!

Volumes have been written on behavioral finance and the seemingly “irrational” decisions investors tend to make to avoid straying from the herd. This article examines a current example coined “FOMO” (fear of missing out), in today’s texting parlance. Through a better understanding of the psychological dynamics of bubble mentality, we hope to help investment managers better grasp the complex role they must play when their concern for poor expected returns and higher levels of risk  are pitted against their client’s fear of not keeping pace with the market.

Mike Maloney: "This Is The Peak"

"This is the peak – we have passed the peak of the bubble. It's now deflating. There is usually a little tiny roll over and then a huge crash. And the little tiny roll over is just starting right now. We are seeing it first in the top end (like luxury real estate), where the currency that was created by the central banks went to that 0.1% first. Within the next few years you are going to see probably the greatest crash in history. I have often said that the crisis of 2008 was just a speed bump on the way to the main event. We are in the process right now of seeing this unwind."