Just over 10 years ago, HSBC was the first canary in the world's financial crisis coalmine to signal trouble ahead. Today's 7% bloodbath in the banking behemoth is the biggest drop since the financial crisisafter reporting fourth-quarter profit that missed estimates on a surprise drop in revenue, which it warned could fall again this year.
"Rapid home price appreciation and tepid wage growth have combined to erode home affordability during this housing recovery, and the recent uptick in mortgage rates only accelerated that trend in the fourth quarter,” said RealtyTrac's Daren Blomquist: "The prospect of further interest rate hikes in 2017 will likely cause further deterioration of home affordability next year."
Following yesterday's 7 standard deviation beat in New Home Sales, Existing Home Sales for July missed expectations by 2 standard deviations dropping 1.64% YoY - the first annual decline since Nov 2015. The blame for this collapse - according to NAR's Larry Yun - is "frustratingly low inventory levels."
One month ago, we showed three prominent "red flags" that the US housing market was starting to roll over. Fast forward one month and we find that the adverse trends observed in early July have gotten progressively worse, and we can now add one more.
With the S&P500 at all time highs, it is time to look at the US housing market where, however, courtesy of some recent data by RealtyTrac, Bank of America and Credit Suisse we find that not all is well.
As we have discussed many times in the past, for the Average American, owning a home is increasingly unaffordable. This has led to a dramatic surge in rents, and ultimately to a significant squeeze on the cash flow of renters across the nation. As Hillbama slam any fiction-peddler as unpatriotic, the inconvenient trith is that while nearly universal among lowest-income households, cost burdens are rapidly spreading among moderate-income households as well, especially in higher-cost coastal markets.
Home prices are rising faster than wages in most of the United States, making homeownership increasingly difficult for average Americans in some of the most populous areas of the country, according to a report released on Thursday. The report found that home price growth exceeded wage growth in nearly two thirds of the nation's housing markets so far this year, with urban centers like San Francisco and New York City among the least affordable.
Sure, the stock market had a great October with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping by 8.5%, but the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is too stark to ignore, and the Federal Reserve is about to pop the easy-money financial bubble.