Starwood

Frontrunning: January 20

  • How Trump Aims to Broadly Reshape Policy (WSJ)
  • Trump Calls for Unity at Opening Concert as Inaugural Festivities Begin (NYT)
  • Trump Takes the Reins of a Deeply Divided Nation (BBG)
  • Washington braces for anti-Trump protests, New Yorkers march (Reuters)
  • After the Parties, a Protest for the Ages (WSJ)

The Chinese Buyers Are Back: China Oceanwide Acquires Genworth For $2.7 Billion

China Oceanwide Holdings, a Chinese financial conglomerate, agreed to buy US insurer Genworth Financial for $2.7 billion in cash, a 4% premium to closing, and pledging to help the U.S. firm manage its debt and strengthen life insurance units after it was hurt by higher-than-expected losses tied to long-term care coverage.

US Futures, Global Stocks Mixed After Lackluster Chinese Economic Data; Oil Rises Over $51

US futures were little changed, with European shares lower, and Asian stocks higher as caution returned after last night's Chinese economic data did little to clear up how the world's second largest economy is performing, and provided few positives for investors ahead of the third and final U.S. presidential debate; imminent announcements from both the ECB and the Fed also will keep traders on their toes today.

Son Of China's "Grand General" Reveals Reason Behind China's Capital Flight"

China’s most politically powerful families had been transferring money out of the country for some time. “They don’t believe they will hold on to power long enough — sooner or later they would collapse,” said Mr. Luo, a former colonel in the Chinese Army whose younger brother was a business partner with one of Anbang’s founders. “So they transfer their money.”

Frontrunning: August 24

  • 'Voices under the rubble' after quake hits Italy; at least 38 dead (Reuters)
  • Turkish tanks, special forces launch first major push into Syria to battle IS (Reuters)
  • A Year After Stocks Armageddon, It’s Smooth Sailing for Markets (BBG)
  • Global stocks ease, dollar holds ground as U.S. rate bets abound (Reuters)
  • Merkel Tells Renzi He Can’t Bend Euro Rules to Boost Growth (BBG)

Big Names Are Bailing

The list of heavy hitters who are saying bad things about this world and its financial markets - while acting aggressively on their pessimism - is growing to alarming proportions.

"We Are Unsure Whether To Wear A Helmet Or A Diaper" - Merger Arb Funds Crushed

While company officers - who have given up on major stock upside as a result of busted M&A - and investment bankers are lamenting the bursting of the M&A bubble, some of the biggest losers are on the buyside, where merger arbs have seen billions in paper profits turn into billions in paper losses in moments upon the announcement of deal termination. Indeed, broken deals have whipsawed hedge funds that focus on merger arbitrage. As the NYT poetically puts it, according to one "arb" the current mood of the industry: "Every day is like showing up unsure of whether to wear a helmet or a diaper."

Is Beijing About To Put An Abrupt End To Cross-Border M&A?

Massive capital outflows from China in an effort to preserve capital is something that we've covered extensively in the past (here and here for example). Last month, China's Ministry of Commerce (MOC) came out to do some damage control, and downplayed the extent of the activity. It also hinted that the government would "help" Chinese companies with overseas M&A in the future...

Global Stocks Plunge After Bank Of Japan "Shock"

Less than one week after the BOJ floated a trial balloon using Bloomberg, that it would reduce the rate it charged some banks which set off the biggest USDJPY rally since October 2014, we are back where we started following last night's "completely unexpected" (for everyone else: we wrote "What If The BOJ Disappoints Tonight: How To Trade It" hours before said "shock") shocking announcement out of the BOJ which did absolutely... nothing. "It’s a total shock,” Nader Naeimi, Sydney- based head of dynamic markets at AMP Capital Investors told Bloomberg. "From currencies to equities to everything -- you can see the reaction in the markets. I can’t believe this. It’s very disappointing."

Frontrunning: April 4

  • Ties between Germany and Russia enter new chill (Reuters)
  • Tax authorities begin probes into some people named in Panama Papers leak (Reuters)
  • SEC investigates ex-JPMorgan debt traders (FT)
  • Who Will Win Wisconsin? Here Are Six Credible Predictions (BBG)
  • Victim in Wall St. Scheme Was a Classmate of Its Accused Architect (NYT)

Frontrunning: April 1

  • Saudi Arabia Will Only Freeze Oil Production If Iran Joins (BBG)
  • Japanese gloom ensures slow start to quarter for world stocks (Reuters)
  • Saudi Arabia Plans $2 Trillion Megafund for Post-Oil Era (BBG)
  • Prices Sag in Warning to ECB Even as Manufacturing Picks Up (BBG)
  • China factories scent hint of spring, Europe still chilly (Reuters)
  • Theranos Devices Often Failed Accuracy Requirements (WSJ)