The Merry Month of May Ends
Submitted by David Fry on 05/31/2013 19:17 -0500Sell in May and go away will be on every investor’s mind after Friday’s week performance. It’s always been when you sell that’s been the measure for this maxim to be effective. If so the high for SPY would have been May 21st at $167.17. Then there’s the reappearance of the Hindenburg Omen but that’s for another day’s discussion.
Meanwhile, In Turkey...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/31/2013 13:50 -0500
While most of the headlines this week have centered on Syria, Sweden (and Switzerland), Turkey has been cooking and today has broken into full-scale riots. As Reuters reports, Turkish police fired tear gas and water cannon on Friday at demonstrators in central Istanbul, wounding scores of people and prompting rallies in other cities in the fiercest anti-government protests for years. The growing unrest centers on disquiet at the authoritarianism of Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and his Islamist-rooted Justice and Development Party (who just visited Obama). "We do not have a government, we have Tayyip Erdogan ... Even AK Party supporters are saying they have lost their mind, they are not listening to us." The protests somewhat surprisingly were sparked by the uprooting of trees but rapidly escalated (as seen below) into riot police, water cannon, and tear gas battles as protesters exclaim, "we're fed up... we don't like the direction the country is heading."
Stick Save To Close The Week
Submitted by David Fry on 05/24/2013 20:01 -0500The market’s performance Thursday and Friday are misleading since there is so much destruction in many sectors globally. But the media depends on selling what’s going on with the DJIA. It’s just window dressing for the tourists frankly.
Political Polling Popularity?
Submitted by Pivotfarm on 05/23/2013 11:49 -0500Popularity is something that can be determined by two things. Firstly, it doesn’t last! When too many people start liking you anyway, there is always someone that is there ready to knife you in the back. ‘Heil Caesar!’ soon turns into ‘Et tu, Brute’!
Ben Bernanke Crushes Hedge Funds: Average Hedgie Underperforming S&P by 65% In 2013
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/22/2013 07:10 -0500
For all those curious why all real money managers (and not those who spend 18 hours a day on the modern day Yahoo Finance known as Twitter, "trading" with monopoly money while selling $29.95 newsletters) are furious at what Bernanke and company are doing as shown in the most recent Ira Sohn conference, we present the chart below from Goldman which confirms what most have already known: the Federal Reserve has made hedge funds a thing of the past, whose investors are sure to keep underperforming the S&P until the moment when it all goes tumbling down.
The Macro Story as Told by Gold, Copper and Oil
Submitted by EconMatters on 05/22/2013 06:47 -0500Unless there's a shock to the system when people start seeking safety, there's not much upside momentum for gold.
Oil Market Manipulation Reaches Absurd Levels
Submitted by EconMatters on 05/21/2013 00:49 -0500There are some strange things happening right now in the oil market worth mentioning.
Saudi 'Religious Police' Warn Anyone Using Twitter Will Go To Hell
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/20/2013 16:48 -0500
You know something isn’t right in your country when you have a “religious police force.” You know something is really, really not right in your country when the head of that religious police force starts condemning twitter and saying its users will go to hell as a consequence - echoing comments from the imam of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in April who used his sermon – seen by millions on TV – to warn that Twitter was a threat to national unity.
Market Rally Continues Along With QE
Submitted by David Fry on 05/17/2013 19:28 -0500Aside from light volume there’s no argument with the tape. It’s quite positive but much overbought. Earnings news is beginning to wane leaving less for bulls to respond to. Many previous reliable technical indicators are succumbing to all the money printing. Looking at those markets where QE is not taking place perhaps reveals the real market conditions.
Frontrunning: May 17
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/17/2013 06:31 -0500- Apple
- Bain
- Barclays
- Bill Gates
- Boeing
- China
- Chrysler
- Citigroup
- Corporate Finance
- Corruption
- Dell
- Deutsche Bank
- Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Dreamliner
- Gambling
- General Motors
- Glencore
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Japan
- JPMorgan Chase
- Keefe
- LIBOR
- Medicare
- Merrill
- Mexico
- Morgan Stanley
- Private Equity
- Reuters
- Robert Rubin
- SAC
- Saudi Arabia
- Sears
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- World Gold Council
- Yuan
- Mine union threatens to bring South Africa to 'standstill' (Reuters)
- Russia Raises Stakes in Syria (WSJ) - as reported here yesterday
- Japan buys into US shale gas boom (FT)
- Bill Gates Retakes World’s Richest Title From Carlos Slim (BBG) - so he can afford a Tesla now?
- China Wages Rose Sharply in 2012 (WSJ)
- Regulators Target Exchanges As They Ready Record Fine (WSJ)
- Citi Takes Some Traders Off Bloomberg Chat Tool (WSJ)
- After Google, Amazon to be grilled on UK tax presence (Reuters)
- Apple CEO Cook to Propose Tax Reform for Offshore Cash (BBG)
- French, German politicians to pressure Google on tax (Reuters)
- Gold Bears Revived as Rout Resumes After Coin Rush (BBG)
- A stretched Samsung chases rival Apple's suppliers (Reuters)
Peter Thiel Gets the Bitcoin Bug
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/16/2013 18:57 -0500
We recently described in detail what a venture capitalist might see in Bitcoin and it appears that some of that message got through... Interesting news out today in the Bitcoin world. As you may recall, last week I highlighted how the highly respected venture capital firm Union Square Ventures (Fred Wilson, early investor in Twitter) invested in Coinbase. Today we learn that another very high profile investor has plunged into the Bitcoin pool. In this case it’s Peter Thiel, and his investment is in BTC merchant processor Bitpay, a company I have highlighted previously on several occasions. Incredibly, the tremendous growth rate continues as they added another 1,900 merchants in April and are currently signing up around 100 additional merchants a day.
Guest Post: Fed Policy Risks, Hedge Funds And Brad DeLong’s Whale Of A Tale
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/15/2013 19:30 -0500- Ben Bernanke
- Ben Bernanke
- Bill Gross
- Bond
- Congressional Budget Office
- Creditors
- Cyclicality
- Guest Post
- Hayman Capital
- High Yield
- Jeremy Grantham
- John Maynard Keynes
- Kyle Bass
- Kyle Bass
- Maynard Keynes
- Monetary Policy
- National Debt
- Paul Volcker
- Reality
- Recession
- Student Loans
- Tyler Durden
- Unemployment
- Volatility
It’s amazing what people can trick themselves into believing and even shout about when you tell them exactly what they want to hear. It was disappointing to see Brad DeLong’s latest defense of Fed policy, which was published this past weekend and trumpeted far and wide by like-minded bloggers. If you take DeLong’s word for it, you would think that the only policy risk that concerns hedge fund managers is a return to full employment. He suggests that these managers criticize existing policy only because they’ve made bad bets that are losing money, while they naively expect the Fed’s “political masters” to bail them out. Well, every one of these claims is blatantly false. DeLong’s story is irresponsible and arrogant, really. And since he flouts the truth in his worst articles and ignores half the picture in much of the rest, we’ll take a stab here at a more balanced summary of the pros and cons of the Fed’s current policies. We’ll try to capture the discussion that’s occurring within the investment community that DeLong ridicules. Firstly, the benefits of existing policies are well understood. Monetary stimulus has certainly contributed to the meager growth of recent years. And jobs that are preserved in the near-term have helped to mitigate the rise in long-term unemployment, which can weigh on the economy for years to come. These are the primary benefits of monetary stimulus, and we don’t recall any hedge fund managers disputing them. But the ultimate success or failure of today’s policies won’t be determined by these benefits alone – there are many delayed effects and unintended consequences. Here are seven long-term risks that aren’t mentioned in DeLong’s article...
IRS To Conservatives: "Provide Details Regarding All Of Your Facebook Or Twitter Activity"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/14/2013 13:52 -0500
It has become difficult to keep track of all the different "-gates" the Obama administration has suddenly found itself embroiled in: perhaps an appropriate name would be Gate-r-gate? And with the just concluded farce in which Jay Carney passed off all AP-related questions to Eric Holder, who in turn recused himself and told the media to please crucify the Deputy AG instead, it is unlikely that any material new information will be disclosed any time soon. However, courtesy of The Hill, we at least have some insight into the first gross offense by the administration revealed last week: the targeting of one political group over another by the supposedly impartial IRS. Specifically, attached below is the full 7 page questionnaire sent by the IRS to the Liberty Township Tea Party containing a list of 35 questions.
The Annotated Hilsenrath
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/12/2013 20:10 -0500
In a weekend dominated by discussion of the "Taper Tantrum", i.e., interpretations of what Hilsenrath "said" after the close on Friday, what the Fed wanted him to say, what the market's response to what he said or did not say would be, and what the next steps may be, we present this convenient annotation of Hilsenrath's complete recital courtesy of Mike O'Rourke from Jones Trading.
On Jon Stewart's Ongoing Vendetta Against CNN
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/12/2013 10:52 -0500
That CNN's news coverage has been nothing but comedy-(and cringe-)worthy for the past several years, should not be news to anyone by now: perhaps there is no better testament to a society in which a network that breaks news based on fake twitter rumors is still held in high regard. However, in the spirit of reverse psychology memes, does the fact that Jon Stewart is now constantly poking fun at CNN's "news-slaughter", mean that it may be, paradoxically, time to start taking CNN - "the most busted name in news" seriously again? (...that's obviously rhetorical).





