Warren Buffett

Some bad news for Uncle Warren. In a note by Barclays' Jay Gelb, the insurance analyst evaluates the impact of FinReg on that "other" company and concludes that as a result of Berkshire having $62 billion in notional derivative exposure, the additional collateral requirement contemplated in the current version of Financial Reform (don't worry, the corrupt idiots in Congress will strip it before all is said and done), which amounts to 10% of notional, or 100% of option proceeds, would result in $6-8 billion in collateral posting requirements imposed on "America's Company." Even for Buffett, this is not purely chump change.

Don Coxe of Coxe Advisors is out with his latest monthly newsletter, a must read report on why the Loonie may be a better investment than both the CNY and the USD combined, why investors should beware of Greeks baring facts, the BP disaster, and, most importantly, quotes Browning, in an extensive analysis of gold: "Leave the fire ashes. What survives is gold."

Title says it all

The first two bids in the Glide Foundation's annual Warren Buffett lunch at Smith & Wollensky are in. Both are barely enough to cover the minimum bid of $25,000. Of course, even that price is ridiculous, as this is a totally useless way to spend a day in which the Oracle says nothing of substance, regurgitates a few anecdotes about Benjamin Graham, and discusses the latest shade of red in Becky Quick's lipstick. Alternatively, it would be amusing if Zero Hedge readers can raise the required several hundred thousand (after Warren's numerous highly hypocritical appearances, the last of which under subpoena, this year, we doubt last year's $1.68 million paid by Courtenay Wolfe of Salida Capital will be matched) so that Zero Hedge can send a representative and actually ask Mr. Buffett the tough questions that he has managed to avoid for the entire second half of his multi-billionaire life, even better that no subpoena would be required. Alternatively, for those whose greatest desire in life is to hang out with the octogenarian, they can find the E-bay auction at this link.

The European Commission is proposing that an already-planned central European Union regulatory body — the European Security Markets Authority — should take on oversight of the existing rating agencies when it is due to begin work in January 2011. Will this be enough?

The WSJ issues an amusing hit piece on why gold is nothing but a "Ponzi Scheme", ignoring the fact that by its definition the stock market is precisely the very same. Either way, since we are seeing no let up in the currency debasement department of Central Banks, and gold continuing to trade near record highs, it is a good thing to occasionally have a shake out of the weak hands. After all it will merely provide far better entry prices for countries like Russia, which as we disclosed recently, have been buying up all the IMF has to sell in the open market. At the end of the day - the opinion of Brett Arends or of David Einhorn, David Rosenberg, Jim Rickards, Eric Sprott, and, oh yeah, John Paulson.

Today's rating agency hearing was a total farce: the only useful thing that could come out of it is if someone comes out with potentially perjurious information, as there were a few shaky answers provided by the Oracle of Omaha which could easily explain not only his reticence at testifying in Congress but doing so under oath. If that were to happen, the octogenarian would have to respond to both potential criminality and hypocrisy. As it stands, the only item to be covered is the latter, and Charlie Gasparino does a pretty good job at blowing apart Buffett's hypocrisy. "He believes [the rating agencies are] a sleazy business and he's gonna own it. Well that takes Warren Buffett down three notches in my book... If Moody's had a superior product, investors like Warren Buffett, who does not use the ratings, would be buying them one at a time. They do not have an effective product. They have a deformed product, a product that basically was at the forefront of the mess in 2008 and 2007. Warren Buffett who opines about politics all the time, constantly opines about right and wrong, defends wrong because it was a good investment. He is defending the indefensible. Rating agencies are not defensible at this. He is Mr. Do Good, yet he is defending the most corrupt business model in corporate America." At least one mainstream journalist out there is not afraid to call it like it is. Of course, we get the feeling that Becky Quick is no danger of losing her leathery wrinkled seat on the next NetJets trip to China.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission has started its hearing on the worthlessness of Rating Agencies. As was previously reported, Warren Buffett was subpoenaed to participate in this hearing after the refused to testify voluntarily. Interested readers can watch the full hearing live and commercial free at the following C-Span 2 site.

I am about to head out on the road (not to serfdom hope!) and before I do I want to issue a rallying cry to everyone that craves freedom both politically and economically. We must all at once stop identifying ourselves as Democrats and Republicans. The elites use these definitions as part of a divide and conquer strategy. In any event, Bush and Obama seem pretty similar to me anyway. Two thugs. We must get back to our roots and what made this country great. The enemy is not someone from a different political party or a “capitalist” or a “socialist.” The enemy is collectivist thought imposed on humanity from the top down. Top down collectivist thought has taken on many forms whether it is Communism or Fascism but in the end what happens is a small ruling elite run the lives of 99% of the population. Those that resist are killed or imprisoned. I certainly do not think I have all the answers. What I do know is that freedom loving people the world over must shed their prior false political identities and together agree on certain key principles. There is a battle going on between a small highly organized group that wants a collectivist top down structure of world government and they are rushing to put these plans into action. This is not conspiracy theory it’s very obvious if you open your eyes. Get your money into real assets and get prepared so that you are not destitute when it comes time to stand up and rebuild. We can make this world a better place but it’s not going to be easy. - Mike Krieger

The biggest beta chaser in existence, Bill Miller, who does great when the market is up, and blows up spectacularly when the market plunges, may soon be leaving Legg Mason. Reuters reports that Legg Mason has picked the "eventual successor" to "famed" stock picker Bill Miller, according to the Value Fund. Presumably, this is news.

• Asian, European stocks, commodities fall; Treasuries rise after Germany bans short selling.
• Consumer prices in US may show inflation contained as economy recovers.
• Germany to ban naked short-selling on certain financial stocks, soverign bonds.
• Hedge Funds bet Europe's $1 trillion rescue package won't cure debt crisis.
• Private Equity-backed US IPOs leave buyers with worst returns in decade.
• US Regulators proposed new curbs to tame volatility; circuit breakers for every stock.

OPA! Californians are going to suffer a major Greek hangover and they can thank former Governor Gray Davis and rosy investment projections from Calpers that back in 19999 projected the Dow Jones would reach roughly 25,000 by 2009 and 28,000,000 by 2099. That's not a typo...Dow 28,000,000!

Re: Winning at Ethics, the Goldman Way

I have reviewed no less than seven times your entire
episode on Charlie Rose.
Your artful simplicity, studied humility and former
hairline all positively radiated against the set’s dark
background.
As one of my lesser colleagues on the desk marveled,
“Lloyd seemed almost human: Why?” To which I replied, evenly:
“because he finally read my last memo.”
Of course there was no reason you should look to one of
your own traders for advice. But now that you have, we must
proceed quickly. American public opinion is volatile; our
exposure to it is peaking, and it will be more difficult than
usual to create the illusion for American mortals (or as we like
to call them, “The Morts”) that our business is in their
interest, much less that we share anything in common.
This time, please, do not wait five months to internalize
my new action items.

As Zero Hedge first pointed out on Saturday, Moody's is in very big trouble - in its 10Q, in the very last paragraph of the very last page, the company indicated that on March 18, it had received a Wells Notice and a recommendation by the SEC to pursue a Cease and Desist order against the agency's NRSRO status, in effect killing its business model. This was not lost on the market, which punished Moody's stock by 10% yesterday even as every other stock went vertical. When all is said and done the 10% could well become 100%, and as far as the market is concerned nobody would shed a tear: the conflicted rating agency model is long dead, and the independent third party vendors are the only ones that add any actual value at this point. However, far more interesting are the actions by Moody's CEO Raymond McDaniel and key shareholder and kindly grandfather, Warren Buffett, both of whom sold millions worth of Moody's share and stock, the day of, and just after, the Wells notice receipt. The New York Times has reported that Buffett, who recently has not had a problem commenting on pretty much everything, and was vociferously defending not only arch monopolist Goldman Sachs at his annual ukulele outing in Borsheims, but Moody's as well, has had "no comment" on his sales. Perhaps it is time for someone to take Mr. Buffett to task, instead of just to his word: sure, it could be just a coincidence... or three - he sold over $30 million in MCO stock on March 19, March 24 and March 26. Or it might not. However, now that it has become far too clear that nobody in the finance business has a shred of integrity and honesty left, perhaps it is time an independent and impartial jury to decide if any impropriety based on material, non-public insider information, was committed.

Our European central bank friends went and borrowed a trillion dollar bailout from us, and all we got was this lousy 6 hour bounce and rolling head and shoulder formation? Goldman Sachs is now red as the bears smell fear again, and as goes Goldman so does the market (even if it means a Warren Buffett MBO/LBO of every public stock). Look for a fun close or the announcement of another trillion dollar bailout from JCT who is now and forever the butt of every joke of bureaucratic incompetence.