Warren Buffett

Why Companies Don't Want You To Look At GAAP Earnings

"For FY 2015, the 20 companies in the DJIA that reported non-GAAP EPS reported an average year-over-year decline in non-GAAP EPS of -4.8%. These same 20 companies reported an average year-over-year decline in GAAP EPS of -12.3%." - FactSet

China Goes Full "Minority Report", Creates "Pre-Crime" Program

Xi's "Tigers and Flies" campaign may have been reasonably effective when it came to rooting out corruption in the Party and the "crackdown" on "manipulators" might served to strike fear in the hearts of any Chinese who thought about shorting stocks last autumn, but that's not good enough for China. No, a true police state needs "pre-crime."

3 Things: Recession Odds, Middle-Class Jobs, & Market Drops

"...it is not wise to dismiss recession risk." Despite the ongoing “hopes” of the always bullish media, the recent rally has not changed the slope, or scope, of current market dynamics. The current “bear market” is not over just yet.

Why JPMorgan Refuses To Buy The Market

JPM's Mislav Matejka writes, "equities are down ytd, but notably the ’16 P/E is not much cheaper today than it was at the start of the year. In fact, for the US, the P/E multiple is currently higher than it was on 1st January, at 16.8x vs 16.6x then. For MSCI World, P/E is flattish vs Jan as the ’16 EPS has been revised lower by 5% so far ytd." JPM then adds why it refuses to buy the market: "Earnings rollover is the key headwind to buying the market outright over the medium term horizon."

The Great Corporate Earnings Fraud

Corporate earnings reports for the fourth quarter are pretty much in the books. The deception, falsification, accounting manipulation, and propaganda utilized by mega-corporations and their compliant corporate media mouthpieces has been outrageously blatant. It reeks of desperation as the Wall Street shysters attempt to extract the last dollar from their muppet clients before this house of cards collapses.

Buffett's Fallacy - 2% Growth & Future Prosperity

While some may appreciate Warren’s optimistic view of the future, ignoring the facts will only delay the inevitable need for reforms needed to allow future generations to become “the next great generation.” 

Gold Money's picture

In his annual newsletter to shareholders, Buffett makes the argument that $56,000 today is six times better (even after his adjustment for inflation) than the $858 of GDP per Capita each US Citizen earned in 1929 but forgets to mention that $858 in 1929 was equivalent to 41.5 Troy Ounces of Gold in 1929. When measuring on an apple to apples comparison, there has been little to no gain in GDP per capita over the last 86 years in the United States. We show you the math.

Mind The Non-GAAP: Real S&P Earnings Are The Lowest Since 2010

If using I/B/E/S GAAP earnings, which exclude the barrage of pro-forma write offs, addbacks, "non-recurring items" and countless other "misleading numbers that can deceive investors", what one gets is a true shocker: instead of 118 in LTM EPS for the S&P 500 (shown in red in the chart below) the true, Warren Buffett-approved number (shown in blue in the chart bellow) is a paltry 91.5! This is also the lowest S&P500 GAAP earnings per share since 2010.

"We Need Shed No Tears For The Capitalists" - Key Highlights From Buffett's 2015 Annual Letter

Earlier today Berkshire Hathaway released its 2015 annual report, which among other things includes Buffett's traditional annual observations and insights. Buffett brushes past last year’s disappointing stock performance, muses on the future of America while taking a swipe at Donald Trump, dwells on Berkshire’s ties to Brazilian PE firm 3G, talks about Berkshire’s big 2015 deal, defends manufactured-housing unit Clayton Homes, bashes inequality and capitalists (just not the crony kind), and concludes with a summary of the biggest risks facing America.

Why The Keynesian Market Wreckers Are Now Coming For Your Ben Franklins

Larry Summers is a pretentious Keynesian fool, but we refer to him as the Great Thinker’s Vicar on Earth for a reason. To wit, every time the latest experiment in Keynesian intervention fails - as 84 months of ZIRP and massive QE clearly have - he can be counted on to trot out a new angle on why still another interventionist experiment or state sponsored financial fraud is just the ticket. Right now he is leading the charge for the greatest stroke of foolishness yet conceived.

Neil Howe Warns The 'Professional Class' Is Still In Denial Of The Fourth Turning

"The world has fundamentally shifted over the last decade, especially since we’ve emerged from the Great Recession... But the professional class has been very slow to understand what is going on, not just quantitatively but qualitatively in a new generational configuration that I call the Fourth Turning. They don’t accept the new normal. They keep insisting, just two or three years out there on the horizon, that the old normal will return – in GDP growth, in housing starts, in global trade. But it doesn’t return."

"Bloodbath" In Black Gold - Buffett's Phillips 66 Dumps Oil In Cushing, Crashes Crude Spreads To 5 Year Lows

The canary in the coalmine of an increasingly desperate energy industry just croaked. With "unusual timing" and at "distressed prices," Reuters reports that Phillips 66 - the major US refiner owned by Warren Buffett - dumped crude oil for immediate delivery into Cushing storage tonight. This sparked heavy selling of the front-month WTI contract (to a $26 handle) and crashed the 1st-2nd month spread to 5 year lows.