Wells Fargo

Frontrunning: June 7

  • Islamic State Claims Rare Attack on Iran Parliament, Major Shrine (BBG)
  • UAE turns screw on Qatar, threatens sympathizers with jail (Reuters)
  • U.S. Oil Exports Double, Reshaping Vast Global Markets (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Closest Allies Warn President It’s Time to Stop Tweeting (BBG)
  • Trump Taps Former Assistant Attorney General Christopher Wray as New FBI Chief (WSJ)
  • Poll: Pound Could Plunge to $1.20 on Friday (BBG)

"Now The Pain Begins": S&P, Moodys Cut Illinois To Near Junk, Lowest Ever Rating For A U.S. State

“We’re going to start to see some real pain now,” Senate President John Cullerton told reporters in Springfield on Wednesday after both S&P and Moody's downgraded Illinois to just above junk, the lowest ever rating for a US state. “We’re going to start to see downgrades. We don’t have any funding for schools. We don’t have any funding for higher end and a bunch of social programs.”

Frontrunning: May 26

  • Trump's first G7 expected to be 'challenging' (Reuters); Trump Saves Worst for Last on Foreign Trip (BBG)
  • Trump Blasts German Carmakers' U.S. Sales and Threatens Barriers (BBG)
  • Trump directly scolds NATO allies, says they owe 'massive' sums (Reuters)
  • Trump Likely to Maintain Obama’s Russia Sanctions (WSJ)
  • Juncker says Trump was not aggressive on German trade surplus (Reuters)

US Household Debt Surpasses 2008 High, Hits Record $12.7 Trillion

“Almost nine years later, household debt has finally exceeded its 2008 peak. This record debt level is neither a reason to celebrate nor a cause for alarm. But it does provide an opportune moment to consider debt performance,” said Donghoon Lee, Research Officer at the New York Fed.

Frontrunning: May 12

  • World stocks ease off record highs, Fed rate hopes boost dollar (Reuters)
  • Trump Escalates FBI Fight With Comey Attack. The FBI Fights Back (BBG)
  • Trump attacks on fired FBI chief meet resistance (Reuters)
  • China Stocks Are Tumbling Again. This Time, the World Doesn’t Care (BBG)
  • Yuan Becomes Oasis of Calm in China’s Volatile Markets (WSJ)

Markets All Too Quiet Ahead Of Inflation, Retail Sales Data

Asian stocks and S&P futures are both feeling the weather this morning, while European stocks are little changed as traders have decided to hold back until today's key US CPI and retail sales data is released in under two hours.

Frontrunning: May 11

  • After Comey, Russia Probe Escalates (WSJ)
  • Comey Firing Distracts Trump White House, Risking His Agenda (BBG)
  • Trump wanted to preview Comey's Senate testimony (Reuters)
  • Traders Ask What Will Rouse Markets When Trump and Twitter Can't (BBG)
  • EU Raises Growth Forecasts but Cites Threats From Brexit, Trump (WSJ)

April Payrolls Preview: "It Better Be Good"

After the abysmal March labor report, all we - and the Fed - can say is that April better be good, or else Yellen's claim of "transitory weakness" will simply be the latest nail in the coffin of Fed credibility. Here is the consensus for the key numbers the BLS will report at 8:30am ET on Friday morning.