William Dudley

Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC monetary policy meeting.

Dow Hits Record 24,000, Europe Jumps As Euphoria Returns After Tech Rout

Despite a Wednesday dive in high-flying U.S. tech stocks on worries their boom may have peaked following a MS downgrade, which presured Asian stocks leading to a slide in Hong Kong and South Korean share, on Thursday morning the dip buyers have emerged and both European stocks and US equity futures are once again solidly in the green as yesterday's tech selloff is quickly forgotten.

Key Events In The Coming Week: Senate Tax Vote; Euro Inflation; GDP; OPEC, Fed Speakers

It's a busy week as traders return from the long Thanksgiving holiday, with inflation releases in the Eurozone and Japan. We'll also get the second estimate of US GDP, housing data and ISM manufacturing, UK monetary aggregates and PMIs in China. Finally, the Russia-OPEC meeting takes place in Vienna on November 30, while the Senate hearing of Fed chair nominee Powell and Yellen's testimony before Congress will be closely watched.

Frontrunning: November 7

  • U.S. Allies Fear Trump Will Pull a Nixon in China (WSJ)
  • Partisan Tensions Flare as GOP Revises Tax Bill (BBG)
  • Tax Overhaul Faces Major Hurdles (WSJ)
  • Multinationals Scurry to Defuse House Tax Bill’s ‘Atomic Bomb’ (BBG)
  • Parties Watch New Jersey, Virginia Votes for Wider Signals (WSJ)

Frontrunning: November 6

  • Gunman kills 26 in Texas (Reuters)
  • Trump Urges Japan to Buy More U.S. Military Equipment (WSJ)
  • Ex-Catalan leader granted freedom to campaign for independence (Reuters)
  • House begins revising Republican tax bill to quell dissent (Reuters)
  • Why the Next Four Days Will Be Crucial for the GOP Tax Bill (BBG)
  • Broadcom offers to buy mobile chipmaker Qualcomm for $103 billion (Reuters)

Global Stocks Drift Lower As US Futures Rebound From Overnight Scare, Oil At 2 Year Highs

Following an early shaky start, which saw the Hang Seng tumble as much as 1.6% driven by weakness in financials and real estate names following the latest warning by PBOC governor Zhou about "sudden, complex, hidden, contagious, hazardous" risks In markets and a decline in local real estate prices, and pressure global risk, US equity futures have recouped all losses and are back to unchanged on monday morning.

Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

With a full slate of central bank meetings, data (including payrolls Friday) and earnings next week there’s a little bit for everyone. On Thursday, according to Politico, we will also know who the next Fed Chair is as well as get a first look at a version of the House tax bill in the US, perhaps on Wednesday.

Full Preview Of Today's "Historic" FOMC Meeting

In what may be one of Janet Yellen's last, and certainly her most difficult in recent history meetings, tomorrow the FOMC will not hike rates but will announce the start of its balance sheet normalization programme, while revising its economic projections and hinting whether the December meeting is "live" for one more 2017 rate hike. Here's what else to look forward to...