Trichet

The ECB Has Almost Run Out Of German Bonds To Buy

Last month the average maturity of all German bond purchases by the ECB bond plunged below 4 for the first time ever, or just 3.98 years, the lowest on record.  This confirms that the ECB is actively reducing the amount of German Bunds it is buying and suggests that the ECB has almost run out of eligible German bonds to buy.

Core Eurozone Inflation Surges To 4 Year High As CPI Nears ECB Target

Mario Draghi's job just became a little more difficult, because one day after the head of the ECB surprised markets with a more dovish statement than expected stressing risks for European inflation, on Friday morning Eurostat reported that Euro zone inflation rose by more than expected to the European Central Bank's target and core inflation increased to its highest level in four years.

Breslow: "The Pain Trades Are Giving Traders Headaches"

The Fed has been hiking. Their speeches have been consistently optimistic on the traction that’s been achieved toward reaching their mandate. And more, rather than less, portraying a board on the same page. Yet the pain trade keeps traders reacting much more to any perceived dovishness.

Global Stocks Drop Ahead Of Fed Rate Decision; Dollar Rises As Sterling Tumbles

European stocks declined for first session in five ahead of Wednesday's Dutch elections and Fed rate hike announcement. Fed concerns also dragged down Asian shares and S&P futures, while the dollar rose. Crude oil has ended its six-day drop. The pound tumbled 0.8% to the lowest since mid-January in a delayed reaction after Theresa May won permission to trigger the country’s departure from the EU.

Why The EU Is Doomed

We are accustomed to looking at Europe’s woes in a purely financial context. This is a mistake, because it misses the real reasons why the EU will fail and not survive the next financial crisis. We normally survive financial crises, thanks to the successful actions of central banks as lenders of last resort. However, the origins and construction of both the the euro and the EU itself could ensure the next financial crisis commences in the coming months, and will exceed the capabilities of the ECB to save the system.

Are Newspapers Captured By Banks?

With Donald Trump going after Jeff Bezos' "capture" of The Washington Post this week, along with Facebook's alleged liberalization of the mainstream's news feeds, the topic of press independence is once again back out of conspiracy theory back-rooms and near top of mind for many average indoctrinated joes. Almost thirty years ago, Edward Herman and Noam Chomsky claimed that media are “effective and powerful ideological institutions that carry out a system-supportive propaganda function," but as ProMarket's Luigi Zingales exposes, for Italy, there is some circumstantial evidence that Italian newspapers are captured by banks.

The End Of Europe As We Know It?

Amid secular stagnation, the Eurozone's old fiscal, monetary and banking challenges are escalating, along with new threats, including the Brexit, demise of Schengen, anti-EU opposition and geopolitical friction. Brussels can no longer avoid hard political decisions for or against an integrated Europe, with or without the euro.

"For The Sake Of Capitalism, Pepper Spray Davos"

"Please, PEPPER SPRAY ALL THE ATTENDEES OF DAVOS in order to halt the rape of taxpayers and consumers across the globe. This annual conclave is responsible for more wealth destruction and the widening disparity in GINI coefficients than any public policy."

Frontrunning: December 8

  • Anti-Trump Effort Launches Super PAC (WSJ)
  • Muslims decry Trump's proposal to keep them out of US (AP)
  • Debate Heats Up Over No-Fly List, Gun Sales (WSJ)
  • OPEC Takes Down Oil Majors as Lower-for-Even-Longer Kicks In (BBG)
  • Chinese Companies Are Trapped in IPO Logjam (WSJ)
  • Republican Ted Cruz vaults into first place in new Iowa poll (Reuters)

The IMF Experts Flunk, Again

The IMF failures in Greece bring back vivid memories of the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-98... As the Indonesian episode should teach us, the IMF’s management can be very political and often neither trustworthy nor competent. Greece offers yet another chapter.

Jim Grant: Financial Prices Should Be Discovered, Not Administered

"The modern financial animal is wont to assume that he or she lives in an age of science. The truth is we live in an age of pseudoscience. Far from dealing in science, central bankers, and, to a degree, investment bankers and security analysts, employ magical thinking... For an individual to fix Libor is a crime. For a central bank to suppress European bond yields is an act of financial statesmanship..."