CEOs, Wall Street are furiously making hay while the storm moves in.
It had been a relatively quiet session overnight when as reported previously, the geopolitical situation in the middle east changed dramatically in a moment, when NATO-member country Turkey downed a Russian fighter jet allegedly over Turkish territory even though the plane crashed in Syria, and whose pilots may have been captured by local rebel forces. The news promptly slammed Turkish assets and FX, sending the Lira tumbling, pushing lower European stocks and US equity futures while sending 2 Year German Bunds to record negative yields.
As was extensively reported over the weekend, the Pfizer-Allergan tax-inverting, reverse-merger (in which the far smaller Allergan would end up "buying" Pfizer, courtesy of fungible debt which doesn't care where it ends up as long as there are cash flows) would be announced this morning, and sure enough, moments ago the long-awaited press release finally hit.
Futures are modestly higher in early trading having tracked the USDJPY once again almost tick for tick, with the carry trade of choice rising to 123 shortly after Mario Draghi's latest speech pushed the dollar strong initially only to see most gains promptly evaporate against both the Yen and the Euro. European shares are likewise little changed, after gaining earlier, while Asian stocks rise; oil also advanced in early trading only to drop to its lowest overnight level moments ago, a few dimes over $40, with aluminum and copper both posting modest increases.
- Soothing Fed sounds send shares, emerging markets higher (Reuters)
- Belgian Police Conduct Raids in Connection With Paris Attacks (WSJ)
- The Paris Attacks Can’t Lead to a Closed Europe (BBG)
- Alleged Mastermind of Paris Attacks Was ‘Emir of War’ (WSJ)
- U.S. Eyes Russia-Iran Split in Bid to End Syria Conflict (WSJ)
- Despite tensions, Asia-Pacific nations close ranks against terrorism (Reuters)
- Belgian Police 'Arrest' Public Enemy No.1 (Sky News)
- France Widens Crackdown at Home as Bombs Rain on Islamic State (BBG)
- Putin Goes From G-20 Pariah to Player at Obama Turkey Talk (BBG)
- Paris Attacks: 150 Raids as France Goes to 'War With Terrorism' (NBC)
- 'Rocket Launcher Found' In French Police Raids (Sky)
- Geopolitical worries lift oil after Paris attacks, but glut weighs (Reuters)
- Japan's economy falls back into recession again (BBC)
"They helped us understand what was going on beyond what you see on the screens."
In the next financial crisis, physical gold held outside the banking system in safe vaults in safe jurisdictions will prove to be a “financial cushion” to individuals, companies, pension funds, family offices, and indeed nations.
Good Thing Debt Doesn't Matter! </sarc>
- Stock futures little changed as Yellen comments awaited (Reuters)
- Draghi stimulus hint underpins stocks, knocks euro (Reuters)
- Black Friday's Losing Its Mojo and Retailers Might Be Relieved (BBG)
- Macy’s Fights Downward Spiral With Bet on Off-Price Backstage Stores (WSJ)
- Greece Comes to a Standstill as Unions Turn Against Tsipras (BBG)
- Euro zone production falls more than expected in September (Reuters)
- Valeant played a key role in building, operating Philidor RX (Reuters)
"The ECB’s bond buying programme has created favourable financing conditions and provides member states with an incentive to defer much-needed budget consolidation and structural reforms. However, further structural reforms to strengthen markets and competitiveness are crucial for a self-sustaining economic recovery. In addition, monetary policy is leading to a build-up of risks to financial stability which could pave the way for a new financial crisis."
While most of us would realize that something sinister is afoot right now in the global banking system if we merely diverted our attention away from the Sunday football game or the Game of Thrones episode on our TV for just 10 minutes to think about these issues, unfortunately, the vast majority of us still do not ever stop to do so.
“Bank of Ireland understands these changes may be a new way of banking for some of our customers, and the branch teams will be available to help and guide them through this change."
- World stocks on course for best month in four years (Reuters)
- Global Stocks Up Amid Stimulus Hopes (WSJ)
- BOJ Refrains From Adding Stimulus Even as Inflation, Growth Wane (BBG)
- U.S. Avoids Debt Default as Congress Passes Fiscal Plan (BBG)
- China naval chief says minor incident could spark war in South China Sea (Reuters)
- Exclusive Club: No High-Frequency Traders Allowed at Luminex (WSJ)
A bursting of property bubbles in London and New York would be expected to have an impact on national economies and indeed on national property markets. Sentiment would be badly impacted. Caution should be the order of the day.