Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 1: "There Is Nowhere To Go But Down"

As momentum builds in the developing deflationary spiral, we are seeing increasingly desperate measures to keep the global credit ponzi scheme from its inevitable conclusion. Credit bubbles are dynamic - they must grow continually or implode - hence they require ever more money to be lent into existence. As the peak of a credit bubble is reached, all these necessary factors first become problematic and then cease to be available at all. Past a certain point, there are hard limits to financial expansions, and the global economy is set to hit one imminently.

The Chinese Are Buying Gold, Selling Treasuries - Should You?

Since July of 2011, two of the largest and most important asset classes in the world, US Treasury debt and gold valuations, have been moving in contradiction to supply and demand data.  US Treasury rates have fallen by a third since the vast majority of previous buyers since have ceased accumulating... and gold has fallen about 25% on increasing physical demand.  These are simply not the hallmarks of a free market.  However, the only thing investors should be more afraid of than a free market correction or potential market crash is the absence of free markets...

Frontrunning: September 2

  • Donald Trump Revised Immigration Speech After Mexican Leader’s Tweet (WSJ)
  • Hillary Clinton Raised $143 Million in August for Democrats and Her Campaign (NYT)
  • Putin says he doesn't know who hacked U.S. Democratic Party (Reuters)
  • Samsung issues recall for Galaxy Note 7 after battery fires (Reuters)
  • Putin Joins "OPEC Headline" Fray, Pushes For Oil Production Freeze, Iran Exemption (ZH)

August Payrolls Loom: Futures Flat, Dollar Rises, Treasuries Slip

The much anticipated payrolls day, expected to provide at least some more clarity on future Fed policy, has arrived and heading into today's report both price action and newsflow has been muted. U.S. equity index futures were fractionally higher, as European stocks rise 0.6% while Asia was flat. Gold fell as the dollar rose, while comments by Vladimir Putin which endorsed an OPEC oil production freeze while granting Iran an exemption, have pushed oil higher.

Frontrunning: August 31

  • Treasuries Extend Drop in August on Fed Outlook as Dollar Gains (BBG)
  • Oil slips on dollar strength, still set for monthly gain (Reuters)
  • Trump to make dramatic trip to Mexico before immigration speech (Reuters)
  • Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz Beats Back Florida Primary Challenge (WSJ)
  • Ban cash because... SWIFT discloses more cyber thefts, pressures banks on security (Reuters)

Futures Flat, Global Stocks Rise As Treasury Yields See Biggest Monthly Jump In Over A Year

The August market doldrums were on display on the last day of the month as S&P futures were fractionally lower on non-existent volume, while both Europe and Asia were modestly in the green; ten-year Treasury yields headed for the biggest monthly jump in more than a year while the dhe dollar gained for a sixth day against the yen in the longest winning streak since March. European stocks advanced for a second day, adding to a monthly gain as oil trimmed its advance in the best month since April.

After Its "Predatory Tax Grab", Europe Prepares Crackdown On Amazon, McDonald's

With Europe desperate to boost its dwindling public coffers and only starting tits anti-tax avoidance campaign, AAPL is only the start in the European Commission's crackdown.  As the WSJ writes, following today's ruling that Apple got an unfair advantage over its competitors because of help it got from Ireland government’s, the EU’s antitrust regulator is likely next to turn to two other ongoing tax investigations on its docket: and McDonald's.

Frontrunning: August 30

  • EU demands Apple pay Ireland up to 13 billion euros in tax (Reuters)
  • Dollar Advances as Treasuries Drop on Rate Outlook; Stocks Rise (BBG)
  • Chinese embassy in Kyrgyzstan hit by suspected suicide car bomb (Reuters)
  • France, joining German Economy Minister, urges halt to trade talks with U.S. (Reuters)
  • Euro zone monthly economic sentiment falls more than expected (Reuters)

Futures Flat, Global Stocks Higher As Dollar Resumes Rise

The quiet overnight market had been focused on the upcoming comments by Stanley Fischer, who is set to give a Bloomberg TV interview at 6:30am ET, where he was expected to expand on his recent hawkish comments. Heading into Fischer's appearance, the dollar strengthened, global stocks rose, oil hovered around $47, while US index futures were largely flat and Treasuries fell.

Apple Ordered To Repay $14.5 Billion In "Illegal" Tax Benefits, Stock Falls 2%

As the FT reported first yesterday, the EU has judged that the Irish government granted Apple "undue tax benefits" and moments ago announced the specific size of the penalty when it ordered the tech giant repay up to €13 billion ($14.5 billion) plus interest. According to the EU, the Irish deal slashed Apple taxes from 2003 to 2014, and allowed Apple to avoid tax on almost all EU profit.