Ireland

Frontrunning: July 13

  • Feuding U.S. Senate Republicans to get revised healthcare bill (Reuters)
  • Draghi May Address Future of ECB Stimulus at Jackson Hole (WSJ)
  • BOJ seeks to tamp down speculation on tapering (Nikkei)
  • Iran’s Stature Grows as Rivals Quarrel (WSJ)
  • China June Trade Data Buoyed by Robust Demand at Home and Abroad (BBG)

The Three Hidden Subplots Of The G20 Hamburg Summit

"The Group of Twenty, known as G20, is an unaccountable and powerful organization that is the closest thing on earth to a true world government... Financial risk, anti-globalism, immigration, and threats from terrorism will be on full display at this next G20 leaders’ summit. There will also be three key sub-plots happening off the main stage to watch closely."

Frontrunning: July 5

  • U.S. Warns North Korea It’s Ready for War Over Missiles (WSJ)
  • U.S., South Korea stage show of force against North Korea (Reuters)
  • UN to Meet on North Korea as U.S. Confirms Rocket Was ICBM (BBG)
  • Trump talks tough, options limited (Reuters)
  • North Korea, Putin Meeting Top Agenda For Trump’s Tripa (WSJ)

Global Stocks Rebound From N.Korea ICBM Jitters; US Markets Closed For "Amexit Day"

With the US out on holiday for the 4th of July, overnight trading volumes have been muted, as Europe started off in the red but has since trimmed most losses (Stoxx 600 -0.1%) while S&P500 futures rose shaprly from session lows spurred by the European open ignoring the risk-off sentiment from North Korea's latest missile launch, trading 0.2% higher, or up 4 points to 2,429.

Bill Blain: "Welcome To The Second Half In Which Many Are Very Concerned About A Bubblicious Market Reversal"

"Lots of participants remain very concerned on the prospects for bubblicious stock market reversal later this year, but others point to yet more upside. There are clear signals of concern about what the withdrawl of “extraordinary monetary policy” will mean. Normalisation is seen as a threat by some, but by others as a very useful “reset” to get markets back on a properly priced realistic track."

What Makes America Different?

"Neither blood, history, religion, language – what else is left? Only an idea: that you could come to America and be whatever you wanted to be. You might have been a bogtrotter in Ireland or a baron in Silesia; in America, you were free to become whatever you could make of yourself."