Crude Oil

US Crude Production At Cycle Highs As Rig Count Stabilizes; Desperate Saudis Jawbone Deeper Cuts To Come

A tough week for crude oil, which tumbled after algos tagged $50 stops yesterday following the biggest gasoline inventory build in 7 months. While the US oil rig count has stopped rising in the last few weeks, production continues to hit cycle highs stalling prices, but the Saudis are not giving up on their incessant jawboning - hinting that "deeper cuts" are still on the table.

Are Oil Bulls About To Be Burned Again?

"Fundamentals remain shaky this quarter, therefore any rally that occurs before more substantive inventory draws would be short-lived...With speculators having already staked out bullish positions, there is less room to run on the upside."

"It's The Economy, Stupid... Not Drugs & Demographics"

"Unless oil prices really break higher, then the bond market gives far more weight to what the FOMC members would all rather never consider – the problem really is money and economy rather than drugs and demographics."

Are Strong U.S. Crude Inventory Draws Sustainable?

The decline in U.S. comparative inventories since February is the most significant oil market development since prices collapsed three years ago. It means that U.S. demand has exceeded supply for most of the last 5 months. The main cause is lower net imports, not higher domestic consumption, and that is probably not sustainable.

World Stocks Hit Another All-Time High As Crude, Treasurys Drop

World stocks hit a new record high on Monday, as U.S. index futures followed Asian stocks on better-than-expected company earnings and strong US jobs data deflected attention from the rising geopolitical tension over North Korea's nuclear program. European stocks traded near session lows while Crude oil prices fall. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.

Rig Count Drops For 3rd Time In 6 Weeks As US Shale Heavyweights Boost Production

The pace of US oil rig count growth has slowed dramatically in the last six weeks as the lagged response to oil prices indicated. While US oil production continues to trend higher, in lagged response to the rise in rigs, it is also nearing its apex. However, four U.S. shale companies recently reported second-quarter production that beat targets and increased their respective full-year output growth guidance.